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Skeid vs Start Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-3
Skeid
Skeid
Vs
42%
25%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Start
Start
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skeid win✗ Miss
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Start win✓ Hit
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L02L30W01L01L01L05L20W12L12LH·KON23/09A·MJO30/09H·SAN07/10A·BRY22/10H·JER28/10A·KFU05/11H·KRI12/11A·GAM10/04H·RAU23/04A·ODD31/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.931.002.270.601.60
vs Stronger (12)0.582.420.832.830.332.00
vs Similar (18)0.941.611.111.890.781.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D32W31W40W21W13L11D11D14L21WH·LEV16/09A·STA21/09H·ASA25/09A·SAN28/09H·BRY05/10A·AAL21/10H·MOS26/10A·VAL02/11H·KON09/11H·SOG31/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.771.671.671.401.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.521.961.671.751.362.18
vs Weaker (7)1.571.141.671.331.501.00
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
Under 1.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
Under 2.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.9%
No
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.7%
Skeid goals ↓
Start goals →
01234
04.7%4.7%4.4%2.3%0.9%
15.5%11%7.7%4.0%1.5%
25.7%8.8%6.8%3.5%1.3%
33.3%5.1%3.9%2.0%0.8%
41.5%2.2%1.7%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skeid goals (down), columns = Start goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Skeid is 1.33 points worse than Start in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Skeid is 0.77 goals worse than Start in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Skeid is 1.03 goals worse than Start in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SkeidSkeid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L20W00D00D00D03L20W01L12LH·KON23/09A·MJO30/09H·SAN07/10A·BRY22/10H·JER28/10A·KFU05/11H·KRI12/11A·GAM10/04H·RAU23/04A·ODD31/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.600.930.330.73
vs Stronger (12)0.500.920.671.330.330.50
vs Similar (18)0.440.780.560.670.330.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D20W10W02L10W10W02L11DH·LEV16/09A·STA21/09H·ASA25/09A·SAN28/09H·BRY05/10A·AAL21/10H·MOS26/10A·VAL02/11H·KON09/11H·SOG31/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.670.600.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.910.750.750.821.09
vs Weaker (7)0.570.140.330.000.750.25
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skeid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SkeidSkeid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W01L01L01L02L00D11D00DH·KON23/09A·MJO30/09H·SAN07/10A·BRY22/10H·JER28/10A·KFU05/11H·KRI12/11A·GAM10/04H·RAU23/04A·ODD31/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.100.401.330.270.87
vs Stronger (12)0.081.500.171.500.001.50
vs Similar (18)0.500.830.561.220.440.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D31W20W11D11D01L01L12L10WH·LEV16/09A·STA21/09H·ASA25/09A·SAN28/09H·BRY05/10A·AAL21/10H·MOS26/10A·VAL02/11H·KON09/11H·SOG31/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.031.001.070.601.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.741.040.921.000.551.09
vs Weaker (7)1.001.001.331.330.750.75
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skeid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Start · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesper Cornelius22%
Steve Mvoué18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Altin Ujkani17%
Deni Dashaev17%
Ousmane Diallo Toure12%
Erlend Dahl Reitan12%
Erlend Segberg12%
Tom Strannegård12%
Eirik Schulze7%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Mikael Ugland0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
James Ampofo0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erlend Dahl Reitan41%
Steve Mvoué36%
Altin Ujkani33%
Kristoffer Tønnessen20%
Alexander Gurendal20%
Mikael Ugland19%
Ousmane Diallo Toure19%
Erlend Segberg18%
Deni Dashaev17%
Sebastian Griesbeck14%
Eirik Schulze14%
John Olav Norheim14%
Fredrik Palerud11%
Omar Jebali8%
James Ampofo7%
Jacob Pryts6%
Jesper Cornelius6%
Hakon Lorentzen0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Strannegård18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Erlend Segberg12%
Jesper Cornelius11%
Omar Jebali8%
Mikael Ugland6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
James Ampofo0%
Deni Dashaev0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesper Cornelius33%
James Ampofo20%
Deni Dashaev17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Hakon Lorentzen11%
John Olav Norheim7%
Mikael Ugland6%
Erlend Segberg6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
SKE wins
0
Draws
3
STA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skeid vs Start · H/A from SKE
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/23AStart Vs SKE3-0
13/05/23HSKE Vs Start1-4
09/10/22HSKE Vs Start3-2
25/04/22AStart Vs SKE3-2

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/25AODD Ballklubb Vs SKE2-1
23/04/24HSKE Vs Raufoss1-2
10/04/24AGamle Oslo Vs SKE0-2
12/11/23HSKE Vs Kristiansund BK0-5
05/11/23AKFUM Oslo Vs SKE1-0
28/10/23HSKE Vs jerv0-1
22/10/23ABryne Vs SKE1-0
07/10/23HSKE Vs Sandnes ULF3-0
30/09/23AMjondalen Vs SKE2-0
23/09/23HSKE Vs Kongsvinger1-2

StartStart

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/25HSTA Vs Sogndal2-1
09/11/24HSTA Vs Kongsvinger1-4
02/11/24AValerenga Vs STA1-1
26/10/24HSTA Vs Moss1-1
21/10/24AAalesund Vs STA3-1
05/10/24HSTA Vs Bryne2-1
28/09/24ASandnes ULF Vs STA0-4
25/09/24HSTA Vs Asane3-1
21/09/24AStabaek Vs STA2-3
16/09/24HSTA Vs Levanger1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skeid
Skeid
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.90
HomeLWLLL1.04
AwayLLLWL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals2.883.542.27
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %56%71%42%
Over 3.5 %34%50%19%
Scored1.141.580.73
Conceded1.741.961.54
BTTS38%54%23%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Start
Start
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.30
HomeWWDLW1.77
AwayWWWLD0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%50%17%
AVG goals2.902.962.83
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.381.621.12
Conceded1.521.351.71
BTTS66%65%67%
Clean Sheet22%31%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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