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Skenderbeu Korce vs Kastrioti Krujë Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 4-0
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Vs
67%
21%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skenderbeu Korce win✓ Hit
67.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D32W21W30W20W10W00D10W10W10WA·KOR07/02H·APO14/02H·FK 21/02A·LUF01/03H·LUS07/03A·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.771.930.801.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.290.861.000.671.501.00
vs Weaker (23)1.870.742.170.831.550.64
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W12L10W01L23L01L52W02L15L12LH·FK 07/02A·LUF14/02H·APO22/02A·KOR28/02H·BES07/03A·ILI14/03H·BUR18/03H·FK 22/03A·POG04/04H·LAC11/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.671.751.440.791.93
vs Stronger (8)1.383.002.002.500.753.50
vs Similar (22)1.271.181.671.080.801.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%015%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.2%
Under 2.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-0 ✓
4.6%
Skenderbeu Korce goals ↓
Kastrioti Krujë goals →
01234
06.7%3.5%1.7%0.4%0.1%
111%10%3.5%0.9%0.2%
213%9.6%3.6%0.9%0.2%
38.8%6.7%2.5%0.6%0.1%
44.6%3.5%1.3%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skenderbeu Korce goals (down), columns = Kastrioti Krujë goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 1.15 points better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.39 goals better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.97 goals better than Kastrioti Krujë in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 1.73).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D10W10W10W00D00D00D00D00DA·KOR07/02H·APO14/02H·FK 21/02A·LUF01/03H·LUS07/03A·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.800.330.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.140.430.330.000.000.75
vs Weaker (23)0.830.390.920.420.730.36
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D00D02L01L21W01L12L02LH·FK 07/02A·LUF14/02H·APO22/02A·KOR28/02H·BES07/03A·ILI14/03H·BUR18/03H·FK 22/03A·POG04/04H·LAC11/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.810.750.360.64
vs Stronger (8)1.001.121.501.250.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.550.580.580.300.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W11D20W10W10W00D10W10W10WA·KOR07/02H·APO14/02H·FK 21/02A·LUF01/03H·LUS07/03A·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.371.130.471.000.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.140.430.670.671.500.25
vs Weaker (23)1.040.351.250.420.820.27
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kastrioti Krujë) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D10W01L21W00D31W01L03L10WH·FK 07/02A·LUF14/02H·APO22/02A·KOR28/02H·BES07/03A·ILI14/03H·BUR18/03H·FK 22/03A·POG04/04H·LAC11/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.940.690.431.29
vs Stronger (8)0.381.880.501.250.252.50
vs Similar (22)0.820.641.080.500.500.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kastrioti Krujë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
BB (20)
€2m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce's squad is €2m more valuable than Kastrioti Krujë's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
BB (8)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
LUF (6)
€0m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Skenderbeu Korce and Kastrioti Krujë have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (6)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUF (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Skenderbeu Korce and Kastrioti Krujë have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUF (8)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Skenderbeu Korce's defence is €1m more valuable than Kastrioti Krujë's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
SK wins
0
Draws
1
KK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skenderbeu Korce vs Kastrioti Krujë · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
30/01/26HSK Vs Kastrioti Krujë2-1
29/10/25AKastrioti Krujë Vs SK3-2

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26ABurreli Vs SK0-1
04/04/26HSK Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë1-0
22/03/26ABesa Kavajë Vs SK0-1
18/03/26HSK Vs Korabi Peshkopi0-0
14/03/26AApolonia Fier Vs SK0-1
07/03/26HSK Vs Lushnja2-0
01/03/26ALuftëtari Vs SK0-3
21/02/26HSK Vs FK Kukesi2-1
14/02/26HSK Vs Apolonia Fier3-2
07/02/26AKorabi Peshkopi Vs SK0-0

Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HKK Vs Laci1-2
04/04/26APogradeci Vs KK5-1
22/03/26HKK Vs FK Kukesi0-2
18/03/26HKK Vs Burreli5-2
14/03/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs KK1-0
07/03/26HKK Vs Besa Kavajë2-3
28/02/26AKorabi Peshkopi Vs KK1-0
22/02/26HKK Vs Apolonia Fier1-0
14/02/26ALuftëtari Vs KK2-1
07/02/26HKK Vs FK Kukesi2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.94
HomeWWWDW1.96
AwayDWWWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%60%56%
AVG goals2.402.802.00
Over 1.5 %66%80%52%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.461.641.28
Conceded0.941.160.72
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet42%36%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Kastrioti Krujë
Kastrioti Krujë
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.08
HomeWLWLL1.65
AwayLLLLL0.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%46%12%
AVG goals2.722.652.79
Over 1.5 %68%69%67%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.141.460.79
Conceded1.581.192.00
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet20%27%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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