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Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci Result & Analysis

Date: 26/09/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Vs
56%
28%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Laci
Laci
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skenderbeu Korce winâś“ Hit
56.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laci winâś— Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L41W21W11D00D12L30W11D20W10WA·TEU27/03H·DIN30/03A·LAC06/04H·TIR12/04A·EGN19/04H·BYL27/04H·BUR23/08A·LUS31/08H·ILI12/09A·POG19/09← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.101.271.400.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.931.191.081.620.790.79
vs Weaker (3)2.000.332.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L12L01L10W11D21W31W01L20WH·AF 26/03A·PAR30/03H·SKE06/04A·TEU12/04H·DIN19/04A·VLL27/04A·ILI23/08H·KAS30/08A·POG13/09H·KOR19/09← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.971.330.800.671.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.890.961.210.790.571.14
vs Weaker (2)2.501.003.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.5%
Under 2.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.3%
No
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 âś“
14.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
Skenderbeu Korce goals ↓
Laci goals →
01234
011%6.2%2.7%0.7%0.1%
115%13%4.2%1.0%0.2%
212%9.0%3.3%0.8%0.1%
36.4%4.7%1.7%0.4%0.1%
42.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skenderbeu Korce goals (down), columns = Laci goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.06 points worse than Laci in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.09 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.06 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 0.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L11D10W00D11D10W10W10W00DA·TEU27/03H·DIN30/03A·LAC06/04H·TIR12/04A·EGN19/04H·BYL27/04H·BUR23/08A·LUS31/08H·ILI12/09A·POG19/09← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.600.470.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.480.540.540.360.43
vs Weaker (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L11D00D00D11D11D11D00D10WH·AF 26/03A·PAR30/03H·SKE06/04A·TEU12/04H·DIN19/04A·VLL27/04A·ILI23/08H·KAS30/08A·POG13/09H·KOR19/09← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.330.670.330.400.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.500.290.640.290.360.29
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W10W01L00D01L20W01L10W10WA·TEU27/03H·DIN30/03A·LAC06/04H·TIR12/04A·EGN19/04H·BYL27/04H·BUR23/08A·LUS31/08H·ILI12/09A·POG19/09← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.670.930.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.480.700.541.080.430.36
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L10W00D10W20W01L10WH·AF 26/03A·PAR30/03H·SKE06/04A·TEU12/04H·DIN19/04A·VLL27/04A·ILI23/08H·KAS30/08A·POG13/09H·KOR19/09← Superliga1st Division →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.670.470.270.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.390.680.570.500.210.86
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.9%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
BB (20)
€2m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
BB (8)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
LUF (6)
€0m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci have a similar attack value (both €2m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (6)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUF (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUF (8)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
SK wins
1
Draws
4
LAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25ALaci Vs SK1-2
10/02/25HSK Vs Laci0-2
30/11/24ALaci Vs SK1-0
21/09/24HSK Vs Laci2-1
08/05/24HSK Vs Laci1-1
01/03/24ALaci Vs SK0-1
17/12/23HSK Vs Laci0-1
08/10/23ALaci Vs SK2-0

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25APogradeci Vs SK0-1
12/09/25HSK Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë2-0
31/08/25ALushnja Vs SK1-1
23/08/25HSK Vs Burreli3-0
27/04/25HSK Vs Bylis1-2
19/04/25AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs SK0-0
12/04/25HSK Vs Tirana1-1
06/04/25ALaci Vs SK1-2
30/03/25HSK Vs Dinamo Tirana4-1
27/03/25ATeuta Durrës Vs SK1-0

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25HLAC Vs Korabi Peshkopi2-0
13/09/25APogradeci Vs LAC1-0
30/08/25HLAC Vs Kastrioti Krujë3-1
23/08/25AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs LAC1-2
27/04/25AVllaznia Shkodër Vs LAC1-1
19/04/25HLAC Vs Dinamo Tirana1-0
12/04/25ATeuta Durrës Vs LAC1-0
06/04/25HLAC Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-2
30/03/25APartizani Vs LAC1-0
26/03/25HLAC Vs AF Elbasani0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.24
HomeWDLWW1.36
AwayLWDDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.182.441.92
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %36%44%28%
Over 3.5 %14%24%4%
Scored1.081.200.96
Conceded1.101.240.96
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Laci
Laci
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.26
HomeLLWWW1.60
AwayLLDWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals1.881.961.80
Over 1.5 %60%64%56%
Over 2.5 %32%32%32%
Over 3.5 %10%16%4%
Scored0.961.200.72
Conceded0.920.761.08
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
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Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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