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Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Vs
35%
31%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Laci
Laci
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Skenderbeu Korce a 35% win probability against Laci in the Albania: 1st Division on 2026-05-04, with 31% for the draw and 34% for Laci. The model estimates around 2.3 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Skenderbeu Korce finished 0-1 against Laci (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 35% home win, 31% draw and 34% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Skenderbeu Korce winâś— Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laci winâś“ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W30W20W10W00D10W10W10W40W11DH·FK 21/02A·LUF01/03H·LUS07/03A·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.772.000.801.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.250.881.000.671.401.00
vs Weaker (22)1.950.732.250.831.600.60
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W51W21W10W53W11D31W21W20W21WH·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04H·POG19/04H·FK 25/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.702.060.811.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.820.822.570.860.500.75
vs Weaker (19)1.790.631.670.781.900.50
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.2%
Under 2.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.1%
0-1 âś“
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
Skenderbeu Korce goals ↓
Laci goals →
01234
011%9.9%6.4%2.5%0.7%
110%15%7.6%2.9%0.8%
26.8%7.8%4.5%1.7%0.5%
32.7%3.1%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Skenderbeu Korce goals (down), columns = Laci goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.06 points worse than Laci in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.09 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Skenderbeu Korce is 0.06 goals worse than Laci in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 0.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W00D00D00D00D00D20W10WH·FK 21/02A·LUF01/03H·LUS07/03A·APO14/03H·KOR18/03A·BES22/03H·ILI04/04A·BUR11/04H·KAS19/04A·POG25/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.870.330.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.250.380.330.000.200.60
vs Weaker (22)0.860.411.000.420.700.40
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Laci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaciLaci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W11D00D30W01L11D20W10W01LH·LUF21/02A·LUS28/02H·APO07/03A·KOR14/03H·BES18/03A·ILI22/03H·BUR04/04A·KAS11/04H·POG19/04H·FK 25/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.231.000.250.570.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.091.290.140.250.00
vs Weaker (19)0.740.320.780.330.700.30
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.3%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 11. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (55)
€6m
SK (31)
€4m
LAC (24)
€3m
POG (47)
€3m
BK (34)
€3m
AF (39)
€2m
KK (24)
€2m
KP (34)
€2m
FK (38)
€2m
IF (35)
€2m
BUR (29)
€2m
LUF (42)
€2m
LUS (40)
€1m
Skenderbeu Korce's squad is €1m more valuable than Laci's (€4m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25ALaci Vs SK2-1
26/09/25HSK Vs Laci1-0
06/04/25ALaci Vs SK1-2
10/02/25HSK Vs Laci0-2
30/11/24ALaci Vs SK1-0
21/09/24HSK Vs Laci2-1
08/05/24HSK Vs Laci1-1
01/03/24ALaci Vs SK0-1

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26APogradeci Vs SK1-1
19/04/26HSK Vs Kastrioti Krujë4-0
11/04/26ABurreli Vs SK0-1
04/04/26HSK Vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë1-0
22/03/26ABesa Kavajë Vs SK0-1
18/03/26HSK Vs Korabi Peshkopi0-0
14/03/26AApolonia Fier Vs SK0-1
07/03/26HSK Vs Lushnja2-0
01/03/26ALuftëtari Vs SK0-3
21/02/26HSK Vs FK Kukesi2-1

LaciLaci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HLAC Vs FK Kukesi2-1
19/04/26HLAC Vs Pogradeci2-0
11/04/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs LAC1-2
04/04/26HLAC Vs Burreli3-1
22/03/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs LAC1-1
18/03/26HLAC Vs Besa Kavajë5-3
14/03/26AKorabi Peshkopi Vs LAC0-1
07/03/26HLAC Vs Apolonia Fier2-1
28/02/26ALushnja Vs LAC1-5
21/02/26HLAC Vs Luftëtari2-1

đź“Š 13. Overall Statistics

Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD2.00
HomeWWDWW2.04
AwayWWWWD1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals2.422.802.04
Over 1.5 %68%80%56%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %18%24%12%
Scored1.521.721.32
Conceded0.901.080.72
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners---
Cards---
Laci
Laci
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.92
HomeWWWWW2.19
AwayWWWDW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%65%46%
AVG goals2.402.732.04
Over 1.5 %70%81%58%
Over 2.5 %48%62%33%
Over 3.5 %18%23%12%
Scored1.521.811.21
Conceded0.880.920.83
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet34%31%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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