This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.53
1.93
1.64
1.38
1.44
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
2.00
3.00
2.00
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.62
1.46
1.85
1.62
1.38
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
SKU Amstetten goals ↓
SV Kapfenberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
6.8%
6.2%
3.3%
1.3%
1
6.1%
12%
8.8%
4.6%
1.8%
2
5.1%
7.9%
6.2%
3.2%
1.3%
3
2.4%
3.7%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKU Amstetten goals (down), columns = SV Kapfenberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Grazer AK
2.30
Ried
1.97
First Vienna
1.70
Leoben
1.70
Floridsdorfer AC
1.63
FC Liefering
1.57
Admira Wacker
1.57
SV Horn
1.37
SKN ST. Polten
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.30
SV Lafnitz
1.23
SV Kapfenberg
1.17
Stripfing
1.17
Dornbirn
1.10
Sturm Graz II
0.77
SKU Amstetten
0.53
SKU Amstetten is 0.63 points worse than SV Kapfenberg in terms of average points per game (0.53 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
2.23
Grazer AK
1.90
First Vienna
1.73
FC Liefering
1.70
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Leoben
1.57
SKN ST. Polten
1.53
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.40
Admira Wacker
1.40
Stripfing
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Sturm Graz II
1.30
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Dornbirn
1.07
SKU Amstetten
1.00
SKU Amstetten is 0.40 goals worse than SV Kapfenberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.73
Grazer AK
0.90
Admira Wacker
1.03
Leoben
1.03
Floridsdorfer AC
1.10
First Vienna
1.30
FC Liefering
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.50
SV Horn
1.60
Dornbirn
1.70
SKN ST. Polten
1.73
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SV Lafnitz
1.90
Stripfing
1.93
SKU Amstetten
2.03
Sturm Graz II
2.23
SKU Amstetten is 0.23 goals worse than SV Kapfenberg in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
SKN ST. Polten
55%
Floridsdorfer AC
54%
Leoben
51%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
50%
Admira Wacker
50%
SV Horn
49%
SV Lafnitz
48%
SKU Amstetten
48%
Grazer AK
48%
SV Kapfenberg
45%
Dornbirn
43%
SKU Amstetten is 3.3 percentage points better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of average possession (48% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKU Amstetten
For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Kapfenberg
For 4.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKU Amstetten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
10.0
9.1
10.9
2.6
2.5
2.6
24.6
23.7
25.5
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
8.0
11.2
2.8
2.5
3.0
24.4
24.0
24.6
vs Similar (32)
9.9
9.3
10.8
2.5
2.6
2.4
24.7
23.6
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
54%
64%
32%
25%
38%
78%
77%
79%
% under line
41%
46%
36%
68%
75%
62%
22%
23%
21%
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
10.0
9.7
10.3
3.7
4.2
3.3
25.7
27.4
23.8
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
15.0
11.0
3.4
1.0
5.0
23.8
25.0
23.3
vs Similar (36)
9.7
9.3
10.1
3.8
4.6
3.0
26.0
27.5
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
50%
54%
46%
45%
48%
81%
86%
77%
% under line
48%
50%
46%
54%
55%
52%
19%
14%
23%
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
12.0
Dornbirn
11.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.7
FC Liefering
10.3
Ried
10.3
Admira Wacker
10.1
SKU Amstetten
10.0
SV Kapfenberg
10.0
SV Lafnitz
9.7
SV Horn
9.6
Grazer AK
9.2
SKN ST. Polten
9.1
Leoben
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
5.7
SV Horn
5.0
SV Lafnitz
4.8
Dornbirn
4.8
Floridsdorfer AC
4.8
Admira Wacker
4.6
Ried
4.5
Grazer AK
4.4
Leoben
4.3
FC Liefering
4.3
SKN ST. Polten
4.2
First Vienna
4.2
SKU Amstetten
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Floridsdorfer AC
28.7
SV Horn
27.1
FC Liefering
26.9
First Vienna
26.9
Dornbirn
26.6
Grazer AK
26.4
Admira Wacker
25.9
SV Lafnitz
25.7
SV Kapfenberg
25.7
Ried
24.8
SKU Amstetten
24.6
Leoben
23.9
SKN ST. Polten
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.2%
Under 3.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.7%
Under 21.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.57
0.86
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.57
2.00
0.50
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.74
0.33
0.92
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.79
0.71
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.58
0.77
0.69
0.38
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.20
0.86
1.00
0.88
1.38
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.13
0.96
1.00
0.83
1.27
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.87
1.14
0.93
0.94
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
2.00
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.88
1.08
0.92
1.00
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SKU Amstetten and SV Kapfenberg have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and SV Kapfenberg have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and SV Kapfenberg have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and SV Kapfenberg have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Grazer AK
Ried
Leoben
First Vienna
Floridsdorfer AC
FC Liefering
Admira Wacker
SV Horn
SKN ST. Polten
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
SV Lafnitz
Stripfing
Dornbirn
Sturm Graz II