This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.63
1.50
2.00
1.57
1.21
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
2.50
1.00
2.75
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.43
1.43
1.67
1.75
1.18
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
1.00
-
-
6.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
SKU Amstetten goals ↓
SV Kapfenberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
7.6%
7.1%
3.9%
1.6%
1
5.8%
12%
9.2%
5.0%
2.1%
2
4.5%
7.3%
6.0%
3.3%
1.3%
3
1.9%
3.2%
2.6%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SKU Amstetten goals (down), columns = SV Kapfenberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ried
2.17
Admira Wacker
1.97
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SKN ST. Polten
1.77
First Vienna
1.63
FC Liefering
1.43
Sturm Graz II
1.40
SKU Amstetten
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Austria Lustenau
1.23
Floridsdorfer AC
1.23
Rapid Wien II
1.23
Stripfing
1.13
Voitsberg
1.07
SV Horn
1.00
SV Lafnitz
0.53
SKU Amstetten is 0.40 points worse than SV Kapfenberg in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
1.97
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.77
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
Rapid Wien II
1.63
First Vienna
1.63
Sturm Graz II
1.60
Admira Wacker
1.60
FC Liefering
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Stripfing
1.30
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
Voitsberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
0.80
SKU Amstetten is 0.13 goals worse than SV Kapfenberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.77).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.77
Austria Lustenau
0.87
Admira Wacker
1.03
SKN ST. Polten
1.13
Floridsdorfer AC
1.17
SKU Amstetten
1.33
Voitsberg
1.37
Sturm Graz II
1.43
FC Liefering
1.43
Stripfing
1.43
First Vienna
1.47
SV Kapfenberg
1.63
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.90
Rapid Wien II
1.90
SV Horn
2.03
SV Lafnitz
2.70
SKU Amstetten is 0.30 goals better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
Admira Wacker
52%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
51%
SKN ST. Polten
51%
SV Kapfenberg
51%
Floridsdorfer AC
50%
Rapid Wien II
50%
Voitsberg
50%
Austria Lustenau
49%
SV Lafnitz
49%
SV Horn
46%
SKU Amstetten
45%
SKU Amstetten is 5.1 percentage points worse than SV Kapfenberg in terms of average possession (45% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SKU Amstetten
For 5.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.0 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Kapfenberg
For 4.3 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKU Amstetten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.7
10.3
3.2
3.3
3.0
23.6
23.9
23.3
vs Stronger (10)
9.2
9.2
9.2
4.0
4.4
3.6
22.3
23.2
21.4
vs Similar (40)
10.9
11.2
10.7
3.0
3.1
2.9
24.1
24.2
23.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
75%
58%
48%
50%
46%
67%
71%
63%
% under line
34%
25%
42%
52%
50%
54%
33%
29%
37%
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.1
10.5
5.3
5.7
5.0
25.0
23.5
26.6
vs Stronger (8)
12.1
13.8
10.5
5.2
4.2
6.2
26.5
26.5
26.5
vs Similar (41)
9.8
9.2
10.5
5.5
6.0
5.0
24.6
22.8
26.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
52%
58%
68%
68%
68%
76%
67%
85%
% under line
45%
48%
42%
32%
32%
32%
24%
33%
15%
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
11.5
FC Liefering
10.7
Floridsdorfer AC
10.6
SKU Amstetten
10.4
SV Kapfenberg
10.4
SV Lafnitz
10.2
SKN ST. Polten
9.9
Admira Wacker
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Ried
9.5
Rapid Wien II
9.3
SV Horn
9.3
Voitsberg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.3
Voitsberg
5.8
SV Lafnitz
5.4
Admira Wacker
5.1
Floridsdorfer AC
5.0
SKN ST. Polten
5.0
SV Horn
5.0
First Vienna
4.9
Austria Lustenau
4.9
FC Liefering
4.7
Ried
4.6
SKU Amstetten
4.3
Rapid Wien II
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Voitsberg
27.7
Floridsdorfer AC
27.0
First Vienna
26.6
FC Liefering
26.2
SV Horn
25.3
SV Kapfenberg
25.2
Rapid Wien II
25.0
SV Lafnitz
24.6
Ried
24.2
Admira Wacker
24.1
SKU Amstetten
24.0
SKN ST. Polten
23.5
Austria Lustenau
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.3%
Under 9.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
86.8%
Under 3.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.0%
Under 21.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.64
0.86
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.79
0.70
0.90
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.69
0.88
1.00
0.36
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.57
0.67
0.83
0.82
0.27
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SKU Amstetten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.07
0.57
1.00
0.81
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
1.04
0.60
0.90
0.93
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Kapfenberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.00
0.81
1.12
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
0.25
1.75
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.87
1.00
0.92
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (SKU Amstetten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SKU Amstetten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKU Amstetten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SKU Amstetten and SV Kapfenberg have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and SV Kapfenberg have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and SV Kapfenberg have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SKU Amstetten and SV Kapfenberg have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ried
Admira Wacker
SKN ST. Polten
First Vienna
FC Liefering
Sturm Graz II
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Austria Lustenau
Floridsdorfer AC
Rapid Wien II
Stripfing
Voitsberg
SV Horn
SV Lafnitz