Slavia Mozyr vs FC Dnepr Mogilev Result & Analysis

Slavia Mozyr are tipped to win, with a 54% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 19% for Dnepr Mogilev to lift the trophy. The model expects a modest 2.4 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability. At home Slavia average 1.15 goals scored and concede 1.46 against similarly ranked opposition, while Dnepr, on the road, manage only 0.73 goals and allow 2.09 against the same tier. The model’s selections include an 85.6% chance of over 2.5 cards, an 80.1% chance of over 8.5 corners, a 77.1% probability that the total will be under 3.5 goals (missed), a 71.1% chance of over 1.5 goals (hit), a 70.4% chance of over 3.5 cards and a 70.0% chance of over 9.5 corners. Slavia’s recent form shows a win after a loss, while Dnepr come off a draw. The final result was a 5-0 home win.

Slavia Mozyr’s win extends their recent run, turning a defeat into a dominant 5-0 victory over FC Dnepr Mogilev. The final score of 5-0 was far above the model’s expected total of 2.4 goals, and the match confirmed the pre-match favourite - Home win - with a 54% probability, a call the model made correctly. The model’s Under 3.5 selection missed, while its Over 1.5 pick hit. All figures are taken directly from the data: 54% for the home win, 77.1% for Under 3.5, and 71.1% for Over 1.5. The result matched the model’s prediction of a home win, but the goal tally exceeded every expectation.