Slavia Mozyr is coming off a win against FC Dnepr Mogilev, having defeated them 3-0 in their last encounter. Meanwhile, FC Dnepr Mogilev is reeling from a 0-3 loss to the same opponent. This recent form suggests a strong home performance from Slavia Mozyr, with an average of 2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded at home.
The model's selection is a home win, with a probability of 49%. The away win percentage is 22%, while the draw percentage is 28%. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.5%.
The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals. Slavia Mozyr's home scoring and conceding against similar opponents is 2.0 and 0.9 goals respectively. FC Dnepr Mogilev's away scoring and conceding against similar opponents is 1.4 and 1.4 goals respectively.
The model suggests selecting Under 9.5 corners, with a 100% probability and a 50% edge. Other selections include Under 21.5 fouls, Under 3.5 goals, and Over 1.5 goals, all with high probabilities and edges.
The win extends Slavia Mozyr's run, with a 3-0 scoreline against FC Dnepr Mogilev. The final score confirms the actual result, a home win, which was the model's selection with a 49% pre-match probability. The model's call was correct. The model's selection, a home win, was the favourite. The suggested picks largely came in, with Under 21.5 fouls hitting (100% probability), Under 3.5 goals hitting (76.8% probability), and Over 1.5 goals hitting (71.5% probability). The only miss was Under 9.5 corners (100% probability).
Slavia Mozyr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.73 | 1.13 | 1.87 | 0.87 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.73 | 1.04 | 1.92 | 0.85 | 1.54 | 1.23 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
FC Dnepr Mogilev| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.10 | 1.62 | 1.00 | 1.71 | 1.21 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.52 | 1.17 | 1.54 | 1.08 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 2.14 | 0.86 | 2.00 | 0.67 | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
| FC Dnepr Mogilev goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 12% | 13% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Slavia Mozyr
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Slavia Mozyr| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 13.0 | 13.0 | - | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 29.0 | 29.0 | - |
| vs Stronger (6) | - | - | - | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (44) | 13.0 | 13.0 | - | 3.3 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 29.0 | 29.0 | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 100% | 100% | - | 42% | 52% | 33% | 100% | 100% | - |
| % under line | 0% | 0% | - | 58% | 48% | 67% | 0% | 0% | - |
FC Dnepr Mogilev| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 23.0 | 23.0 | - |
| vs Stronger (3) | - | - | - | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (37) | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 23.0 | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 50% | 50% | - | 8% | 8% | 8% | 50% | 50% | - |
| % under line | 50% | 50% | - | 92% | 92% | 92% | 50% | 50% | - |
Slavia Mozyr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.13 | 0.73 | 0.87 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.85 | 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+32pp vs league) | |||||
FC Dnepr Mogilev| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.69 | 0.44 | 0.79 | 0.57 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.70 | 0.52 | 0.69 | 0.46 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Slavia Mozyr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.87 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.88 | 0.58 | 0.92 | 0.69 | 0.85 | 0.46 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
FC Dnepr Mogilev| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.60 | 0.94 | 0.56 | 0.93 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.83 | 0.65 | 0.85 | 0.62 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.29 | 0.43 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 cards | 88.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 81.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 76.8% | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | +6.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 4.5 cards | 76.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.4% | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.27 | 1.26 | - | - | +2.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 71.5% | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | -2.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 15/03/24 | H | 2-0 | |
| 12/11/22 | H | 5-0 | |
| 16/07/22 | A | 1-3 |
Slavia Mozyr| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 29/11/25 | A | 0-3 | |
| 23/11/25 | H | 2-3 | |
| 09/11/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 01/11/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 05/10/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 2-3 | |
| 21/09/25 | H | 0-1 |
FC Dnepr Mogilev| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 10/07/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 04/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 22/11/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 17/11/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 13/11/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 08/11/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 1-2 | |
| 11/10/25 | H | 0-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC Vitebsk | 7 | 18 | 86% | 2.6 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 1.4 | 29% | 14% | 0% | 9.8 | 50% | 2.8 | 0% | 20.2 | 25% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 46% |
| 2 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 6 | 16 | 83% | 2.7 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 2.5 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 11.6 | 80% | 3.2 | 20% | 26.2 | 75% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 47% |
| 3 | Dinamo Brest | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 50% | 11.0 | 100% | 3.4 | 40% | 27.8 | 100% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 4 | Neman | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 1.7 | 50% | 17% | 0% | 9.4 | 60% | 3.0 | 20% | 27.7 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 58% |
| 5 | FC Minsk | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.3 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 11.2 | 60% | 1.8 | 0% | 19.4 | 20% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 48% |
| 6 | Baranovichi | 7 | 9 | 29% | 1.3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 2.7 | 71% | 29% | 29% | 11.8 | 80% | 2.8 | 25% | 28.2 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 44% |
| 7 | FC Gomel | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 1.8 | 33% | 17% | 17% | 11.8 | 75% | 3.2 | 50% | 28.7 | 100% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 55% |
| 8 | ML Vitebsk | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 13.2 | 100% | 3.8 | 75% | 27.8 | 75% | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 63% |
| 9 | Bate Borisov | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.0 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 11.8 | 100% | 3.7 | 33% | 25.3 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 10.2 | 50% | 4.2 | 75% | 26.5 | 75% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 11 | Dinamo Minsk | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 12.2 | 100% | 3.0 | 33% | 27.8 | 75% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 60% |
| 12 | Belshina | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.2 | 83% | 17% | 17% | 11.4 | 80% | 2.6 | 40% | 21.8 | 60% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 43% |
| 13 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 7 | 4 | 0% | 0.6 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2.1 | 57% | 43% | 14% | 10.5 | 83% | 2.7 | 17% | 22.5 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 14 | Torpedo Zhodino | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.3 | 50% | 33% | 33% | 10.2 | 75% | 3.2 | 75% | 30.5 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 54% |
| 15 | Naftan | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4.2 | 100% | 67% | 50% | 10.2 | 60% | 1.8 | 0% | 21.4 | 20% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 43% |
| 16 | Arsenal (Belarus) | 7 | 3 | 14% | 0.4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 3.1 | 86% | 71% | 29% | 8.1 | 14% | 1.6 | 14% | 20.2 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 48% |