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Slavia Mozyr vs FC Vitebsk Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 17:00
Slavia Mozyr
Slavia Mozyr
Vs
45%
31%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Vitebsk
FC Vitebsk
Belarus: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Slavia Mozyr’s defensive solidity is the headline, conceding only 0.71 goals per game at home against similar opposition, while FC Vitebsk’s away average of 1.47 goals conceded suggests a tighter contest. The model favours a Slavia Mozyr win, with a 45% chance, a draw at 31%, and a Vitebsk win at 24%. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a low-scoring affair, most likely ending 1-1 with a 14.2% probability. Slavia’s 1.71 goals scored per match and Vitebsk’s 1.20 away goals scored reinforce the modest tally. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (97.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%), and Home under 3.5 goals (95.7%). Slavia Mozyr’s recent loss to Neman and Vitebsk’s two-game winning streak set the narrative for a cautious, defensively-driven match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slavia Mozyr win
44.9%
Avg Implied 38.5% · @ 2.38
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.53
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Dafabet
2.39
Pinnacle
2.38
Draw
31.1%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 2.93
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.00
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.96
Marathonbet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.92
FC Vitebsk win
24.0%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.02
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.19
Dafabet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.03
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W11D23L30W14L30W31W00D01LH·NEM25/10H·NAF01/11A·BAT09/11H·FC 23/11A·FC 29/11A·DIN11/07H·FC 07/08A·ARS14/08H·FC 22/08A·NEM29/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.131.600.801.601.47
vs Stronger (3)1.332.330.002.002.002.50
vs Similar (27)1.631.001.710.711.541.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC VitebskFC Vitebsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L03L10W30W10W10W01L10W20WH·TOR09/11A·NEM22/11H·SLA29/11H·FC 04/07A·ARS12/07A·FC 01/08H·NEM08/08A·BAT15/08A·FC 21/08H·NAF28/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.301.071.071.121.50
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.191.261.171.001.201.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Mozyr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.2%
@ 1.41-0.3%
Under 1.5
34.8%
@ 2.67+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.33
Under
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
2.59
1xBet
2.51
Marathonbet
2.51
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
37.1%
@ 2.37-2.6%
Under 2.5
62.9%
@ 1.55+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Superbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.6%
@ 4.15-4.5%
Under 3.5
82.4%
@ 1.18+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Superbet
3.55
Under
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Both teams to score
Yes
43.8%
@ 1.93-4.1%
No
56.2%
@ 1.78+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
1.99
Superbet
1.80
No
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 5.41+6.2%
1-0
13.4%@ 5.87+6.1%
0-0
12.7%@ 6.29+5.8%
2-0
9.5%@ 10.17+5.3%
0-1
8.7%@ 7.22+2.7%
2-1
8.4%@ 9.25+3.7%
1-2
5.7%@ 11.27+1.9%
0-2
4.4%@ 14.40+1.4%
Slavia Mozyr goals ↓
FC Vitebsk goals →
01234
013%8.7%4.4%1.3%0.3%
113%14%5.7%1.7%0.4%
29.5%8.4%3.7%1.1%0.2%
34.1%3.6%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.3%1.2%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slavia Mozyr goals (down), columns = FC Vitebsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Slavia Mozyr is 1.17 points worse than FC Vitebsk in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 2.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Slavia Mozyr is 0.11 goals better than FC Vitebsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Slavia Mozyr is 1.06 goals worse than FC Vitebsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 0.14).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Slavia Mozyr is 3.0 percentage points better than FC Vitebsk in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr

For 5.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

150367842569491561113A·NEMH·FC A·ARSH·FC H·BAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

80352232121133121228405134434A·NEMH·FC A·ARSH·FC A·FC H·FC A·BATH·NAFH·NEMA·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.2 · Total 27.0

⚠️ Fouls

36023131315101291114153628222029A·NEMH·FC A·ARSH·FC H·BAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC VitebskFC Vitebsk

For 3.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

150534114624815106H·NAFA·FC H·NEMA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.5

🟨 Cards

6021231211115233233120605H·NAFA·FC H·NEMA·ARSH·SLAA·NEMH·TORA·SMOA·DINH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

260912411151171221152619H·NAFA·FC H·NEMA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.813.07.53.13.62.727.025.729.0
vs Stronger (6)---1.22.00.8---
vs Similar (44)10.813.07.53.43.83.027.025.729.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%100%0%44%54%35%80%67%100%
% under line40%0%100%56%46%65%20%33%0%
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC VitebskFC Vitebsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.010.52.72.72.620.223.517.0
vs Stronger (5)---1.41.02.0---
vs Similar (45)9.89.010.52.82.92.720.223.517.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%50%50%38%36%40%25%50%0%
% under line50%50%50%62%64%60%75%50%100%
This opponent (Slavia Mozyr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Bate Borisov
11.8
Baranovichi
11.8
FC Gomel
11.8
ML Vitebsk
11.7
FC Isloch Minsk R.
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.9
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.2
Naftan
10.2
FC Dnepr Mogilev
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Minsk
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
Neman
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.3
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Neman
3.1
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.0
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
31.5
Torpedo Zhodino
30.5
FC Gomel
28.7
Baranovichi
28.2
Dinamo Brest
27.8
Slavia Mozyr
27.0
Bate Borisov
26.2
Dinamo Minsk
26.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
25.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Neman
21.8
Belshina
21.8
Arsenal (Belarus)
21.4
Naftan
21.4
FC Vitebsk
20.2
FC Minsk
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
73.3%
@ 2.11+30.1%
Under 9.5
26.7%
@ 1.60-30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.11
Under
Marathonbet
1.60
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
43.0%
Under 3.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.7%
Under 21.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slavia Mozyr or Draw
76.0%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.32
Edge
+6.1%
45%
31%
24%
covers Slavia Mozyr + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
SBO
1.26
Slavia Mozyr or FC Vitebsk
68.9%
Avg Implied 68.8% · @ 1.34
Edge
+0.1%
45%
31%
24%
covers Slavia Mozyr + FC Vitebsk
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
SBO
1.29
Draw or FC Vitebsk
55.1%
Avg Implied 61.3% · @ 1.50
Edge
-6.2%
45%
31%
24%
covers Draw + FC Vitebsk
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.51
SBO
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slavia Mozyr over/under 0.5
Over
72.6%
@ 1.32+3.0%
Under
27.4%
@ 3.04-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
Under
Superbet
3.30
1xBet
2.98
Marathonbet
2.84
Slavia Mozyr over/under 1.5
Over
37.2%
@ 2.62+1.6%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.45-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.82
Pinnacle
2.78
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.42
Under
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Slavia Mozyr over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
@ 6.30-0.4%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.08+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
6.30
Superbet
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Slavia Mozyr over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5
Over
58.5%
@ 1.46-5.4%
Under
41.5%
@ 2.57+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.38
Under
Superbet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.58
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.37
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5
Over
22.0%
@ 3.11-7.9%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.32+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
Superbet
2.80
Under
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.27
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5
Over
6.0%
@ 8.40-5.0%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.04+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
6.70
Under
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
FC Vitebsk over/under 3.5
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Slavia Mozyr, so a minus line means Slavia Mozyr give that many goals of a start and FC Vitebsk receive them. At -1, Slavia Mozyr must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slavia Mozyr win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slavia Mozyr)
Slavia Mozyr -2
7.6%
@ 7.40-3.2%
Draw -2
13.7%
@ 4.85-2.8%
FC Vitebsk +2
78.7%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Slavia Mozyr)
Slavia Mozyr -1
21.3%
@ 5.25+4.3%
Draw -1
23.6%
@ 3.98+1.1%
FC Vitebsk +1
55.1%
@ 1.48-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.25
Draw
Marathonbet
3.98
Away
Marathonbet
1.48
Handicap +1 (Slavia Mozyr)
Slavia Mozyr +1
76.0%
@ 1.36+10.2%
Draw +1
15.6%
@ 4.40-4.8%
FC Vitebsk -1
8.4%
@ 6.45-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Marathonbet
6.45
Handicap +2 (Slavia Mozyr)
Slavia Mozyr +2
91.6%
Draw +2
6.3%
FC Vitebsk -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L00D20W12L10W01L00D00DH·NEM25/10H·NAF01/11A·BAT09/11H·FC 23/11A·FC 29/11A·DIN11/07H·FC 07/08A·ARS14/08H·FC 22/08A·NEM29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.500.730.130.670.87
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.000.001.001.50
vs Similar (27)0.700.440.790.140.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC VitebskFC Vitebsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L00D00D10W00D00D10W20WH·TOR09/11A·NEM22/11H·SLA29/11H·FC 04/07A·ARS12/07A·FC 01/08H·NEM08/08A·BAT15/08A·FC 21/08H·NAF28/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.500.790.310.44
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.501.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.410.560.500.670.330.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Mozyr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.6%
@ 1.52+5.1%
Under 0.5
33.4%
@ 2.43-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.43
Under
Superbet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.5%
@ 3.26+1.3%
Under 1.5
70.5%
@ 1.28-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Superbet
2.95
Under
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 8.57-1.1%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.06+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
7.30
Under
Superbet
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slavia Mozyr over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.8%
@ 2.21+2.9%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.59-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.07
Under
Superbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
Slavia Mozyr over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.0%
@ 8.10+0.7%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.03-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
7.90
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Slavia Mozyr over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.7%
@ 2.48-0.7%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.48+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.46
Superbet
2.32
Under
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.44
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.5%
@ 9.85+1.2%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.01-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.20
Marathonbet
9.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W23L10W02L20W30W00D01LH·NEM25/10H·NAF01/11A·BAT09/11H·FC 23/11A·FC 29/11A·DIN11/07H·FC 07/08A·ARS14/08H·FC 22/08A·NEM29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.630.870.670.930.60
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.930.560.930.570.920.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Vitebsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC VitebskFC Vitebsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L01L10W30W00D10W01L00D00DH·TOR09/11A·NEM22/11H·SLA29/11H·FC 04/07A·ARS12/07A·FC 01/08H·NEM08/08A·BAT15/08A·FC 21/08H·NAF28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.570.290.811.06
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.780.700.670.330.871.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Mozyr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.8%
@ 1.31+4.1%
Under 0.5
25.2%
@ 3.16-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.9%
@ 2.44+0.9%
Under 1.5
61.1%
@ 1.50-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
Superbet
2.27
Under
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.0%
@ 5.57-1.4%
Under 2.5
85.0%
@ 1.09+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
4.90
Under
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slavia Mozyr over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.7%
@ 1.84+1.6%
Under
48.3%
@ 1.85-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.78
Under
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
Slavia Mozyr over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.6%
@ 5.67+0.4%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.09-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
1xBet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Slavia Mozyr over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Vitebsk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.5%
@ 2.03-4.0%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.70+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.64
FC Vitebsk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.1%
@ 6.88-0.3%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.06+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Marathonbet
6.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
FC Vitebsk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.8%-------
Under 6.599.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.8%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5%-------
Under 5.597.6%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.5%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.3%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals94.0%1.04
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
--+5.0%
Under 4.593.0%1.07
Superbet
1.07
----+4.3%
Home +2 handicap91.6%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals90.1%1.06
Superbet
1.06
----+1.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.5%1.01
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
----1.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.0%1.03
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
----0.7%
Under 5.5 cards87.7%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.9%1.06
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
---+0.3%
Home under 2.5 goals85.8%1.08
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
--+0.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals85.0%1.09
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
--+1.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.4%1.09
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
----0.4%
Under 3.582.4%1.18
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
--+4.5%
Over 19.5 fouls81.3%-------
Away +2 handicap78.7%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
----+6.0%
Away under 1.5 goals78.0%1.32
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.27
--+7.9%
Home or Draw76.0%1.32
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
SBO
1.26
-+6.1%
Home +1 handicap76.0%1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
----+10.2%
Under 4.5 cards75.4%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals74.8%1.31
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.27
--+4.1%
Home over 0.5 goals72.6%1.32
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
--+3.0%
Under 1.5 HT goals70.5%1.28
Superbet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
---1.3%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Slavia Mozyr's squad is €1m more valuable than FC Vitebsk's (€4m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Slavia Mozyr and FC Vitebsk have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Slavia Mozyr's midfield is €1m more valuable than FC Vitebsk's (€1m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Slavia Mozyr and FC Vitebsk have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
SM wins
0
Draws
2
FV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slavia Mozyr vs FC Vitebsk · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25AFC Vitebsk Vs SM0-3
05/07/25HSM Vs FC Vitebsk4-0
09/08/24HSM Vs FC Vitebsk1-2
30/03/24AFC Vitebsk Vs SM2-3
28/08/22HSM Vs FC Vitebsk0-2
17/04/22AFC Vitebsk Vs SM0-3

Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ANeman Vs SM1-0
22/08/26HSM Vs FC Gomel0-0
14/08/26AArsenal (Belarus) Vs SM1-3
07/08/26HSM Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev3-0
11/07/26ADinamo Brest Vs SM4-1
29/11/25AFC Vitebsk Vs SM0-3
23/11/25HSM Vs FC Minsk2-3
09/11/25ABate Borisov Vs SM1-1
01/11/25HSM Vs Naftan2-0
25/10/25HSM Vs Neman2-1

FC VitebskFC Vitebsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HFV Vs Naftan2-0
21/08/26AFC Minsk Vs FV0-1
15/08/26ABate Borisov Vs FV1-0
08/08/26HFV Vs Neman1-0
01/08/26AFC Gomel Vs FV0-1
12/07/26AArsenal (Belarus) Vs FV0-3
04/07/26HFV Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev1-0
29/11/25HFV Vs Slavia Mozyr0-3
22/11/25ANeman Vs FV3-1
09/11/25HFV Vs Torpedo Zhodino1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slavia Mozyr
Slavia Mozyr
Belarus: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.52
HomeWWLWD1.62
AwayDWLWL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals2.462.332.58
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.361.461.27
Conceded1.100.881.31
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet34%42%27%
Corners10.8013.007.50
Cards3.514.142.96
FC Vitebsk
FC Vitebsk
Belarus: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.36
HomeDLWWW1.60
AwayLWWLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.362.082.64
Over 1.5 %64%56%72%
Over 2.5 %46%36%56%
Over 3.5 %18%12%24%
Scored1.201.161.24
Conceded1.160.921.40
BTTS32%36%28%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners9.759.0010.50
Cards3.093.053.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC VitebskFC Vitebsk718
86%
2.6
91+8
1.4
29%
14%
0%
9.8
50%
2.8
0%
20.2
25%
3
2011.30.1
46%
2FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.616
83%
2.7
114+7
2.5
67%
33%
17%
11.6
80%
3.2
20%
26.2
75%
4
1121.80.7
47%
3Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest610
50%
1.7
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
50%
11.0
100%
3.4
40%
27.8
100%
7
2132.01.2
52%
4NemanNeman610
50%
1.7
64+2
1.7
50%
17%
0%
9.4
60%
3.0
20%
27.7
67%
4
1211.00.7
58%
5FC MinskFC Minsk69
50%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
67%
0%
11.2
60%
1.8
0%
19.4
20%
3
1111.21.2
48%
6BaranovichiBaranovichi79
29%
1.3
910-1
2.7
71%
29%
29%
11.8
80%
2.8
25%
28.2
100%
2
1011.31.4
44%
7FC GomelFC Gomel68
33%
1.3
83+5
1.8
33%
17%
17%
11.8
75%
3.2
50%
28.7
100%
4
2111.30.5
55%
8ML VitebskML Vitebsk48
50%
2.0
62+4
2.0
75%
25%
25%
13.2
100%
3.8
75%
27.8
75%
14
6351.50.5
63%
9Bate BorisovBate Borisov58
40%
1.6
55+0
2.0
60%
40%
20%
11.8
100%
3.7
33%
25.3
67%
4
1211.01.0
46%
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr57
40%
1.4
76+1
2.6
60%
60%
40%
10.2
50%
4.2
75%
26.5
75%
4
1121.41.2
49%
11Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk46
50%
1.5
93+6
3.0
50%
50%
50%
12.2
100%
3.0
33%
27.8
75%
9
3232.20.8
60%
12BelshinaBelshina66
17%
1.0
58-3
2.2
83%
17%
17%
11.4
80%
2.6
40%
21.8
60%
2
1010.81.3
43%
13FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev74
0%
0.6
510-5
2.1
57%
43%
14%
10.5
83%
2.7
17%
22.5
50%
3
1110.71.4
50%
14Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino64
17%
0.7
410-6
2.3
50%
33%
33%
10.2
75%
3.2
75%
30.5
100%
5
2220.71.7
54%
15NaftanNaftan64
17%
0.7
718-11
4.2
100%
67%
50%
10.2
60%
1.8
0%
21.4
20%
2
0111.23.0
43%
16Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)73
14%
0.4
517-12
3.1
86%
71%
29%
8.1
14%
1.6
14%
20.2
33%
2
1010.72.4
48%
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →

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