This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.79
0.93
1.50
0.88
2.17
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (12)
2.00
0.92
1.71
1.00
2.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
36% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.7%
Under 1.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.6%
Under 2.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.6%
Under 3.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.6%
No
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
Slavia Praha goals ↓
Sparta Praha goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
2.6%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
1
5.3%
8.7%
5.2%
2.2%
0.7%
2
7.2%
9.3%
6.1%
2.6%
0.9%
3
5.6%
7.3%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
4
3.3%
4.3%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slavia Praha goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha and Sparta Praha are level in average points per game (both 2.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Slavia Praha is 0.63 goals better than Sparta Praha in terms of goals scored per game (2.80 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Slavia Praha is 0.06 goals better than Sparta Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 0.94).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Slavia Praha is 8.7 percentage points better than Sparta Praha in terms of average possession (61% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Slavia Praha
For 9.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Praha
For 7.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slavia Praha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
10.3
10.2
10.3
4.3
3.7
4.9
23.3
26.4
20.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
9.5
6.0
13.0
6.7
5.0
7.5
29.0
-
29.0
vs Weaker (19)
10.4
10.9
10.0
3.9
3.6
4.3
22.9
26.4
19.4
% over line
65%
50%
78%
64%
64%
64%
60%
86%
38%
% under line
35%
50%
22%
36%
36%
36%
40%
14%
62%
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (14)
10.8
11.3
10.0
4.9
4.5
5.3
23.8
21.7
26.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
16.0
16.0
-
3.5
7.0
0.0
10.0
10.0
-
vs Weaker (12)
10.3
10.5
10.0
5.1
4.1
6.4
25.0
23.7
26.6
% over line
50%
57%
40%
64%
62%
67%
67%
71%
60%
% under line
50%
43%
60%
36%
38%
33%
33%
29%
40%
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sigma Olomouc
12.0
Baník Ostrava
11.1
Sparta Praha
10.8
České Budějovice
10.7
Plzen
10.6
Slavia Praha
10.3
Slovan Liberec
10.1
Pardubice
9.9
Teplice
9.8
Zbrojovka Brno
9.5
FK Jablonec
9.4
Mlada Boleslav
9.1
Hradec Králové
8.6
Slovácko
8.5
Zlin
6.9
Bohemians 1905
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Baník Ostrava
5.7
Sparta Praha
5.7
Slavia Praha
5.3
Hradec Králové
5.2
FK Jablonec
4.8
Sigma Olomouc
4.7
Teplice
4.6
Plzen
4.5
Slovan Liberec
4.5
Slovácko
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.2
Bohemians 1905
4.1
Pardubice
4.0
České Budějovice
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.1
Zlin
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hradec Králové
28.3
FK Jablonec
27.3
Zlin
26.9
Mlada Boleslav
26.8
Teplice
26.4
Slovácko
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
24.4
Slovan Liberec
24.2
Sparta Praha
23.8
Pardubice
23.7
Slavia Praha
23.3
Sigma Olomouc
23.2
Zbrojovka Brno
22.4
Plzen
22.0
České Budějovice
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.0%
Under 9.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.7%
Under 21.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slavia Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.36
0.50
2.00
0.36
0.73
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.53
0.47
2.10
0.40
0.89
0.56
Clean sheet %
59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.64
0.50
0.62
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.67
0.57
0.71
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slavia Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slavia Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.18
0.45
1.73
0.18
0.64
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.26
0.42
1.80
0.20
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.29
1.00
0.25
0.83
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.25
1.14
0.29
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
71% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slavia Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slavia Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Olayinka29%
Lukáš Masopust20%
Ondrej Lingr17%
Ondřej Kolář0%
Petr Ševčík0%
Ibrahim Traoré0%
Stanislav Tecl0%
Tomáš Holeš0%
Ivan Schranz0%
Christ Junior Tiehi0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Taras Kacharaba0%
Oscar Dorley0%
David Doudera0%
Ewerton0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Lukáš Provod0%
David Jurásek0%
Matěj Jurásek0%
Yira Collins Sor0%
Moses Usor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moses Usor60%
Ibrahim Traoré50%
Matěj Jurásek50%
Lukáš Masopust40%
Ivan Schranz33%
Christ Junior Tiehi33%
David Jurásek29%
Peter Olayinka14%
Aiham Ousou14%
Oscar Dorley14%
Ondřej Kolář0%
Petr Ševčík0%
Stanislav Tecl0%
Tomáš Holeš0%
Taras Kacharaba0%
Ondrej Lingr0%
David Doudera0%
Ewerton0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Lukáš Provod0%
Yira Collins Sor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Schranz33%
Lukáš Masopust20%
Peter Olayinka14%
Oscar Dorley14%
Stanislav Tecl12%
Ondřej Kolář0%
Petr Ševčík0%
Ibrahim Traoré0%
Tomáš Holeš0%
Christ Junior Tiehi0%
Aiham Ousou0%
Taras Kacharaba0%
Ondrej Lingr0%
David Doudera0%
Ewerton0%
Aleš Mandous0%
Lukáš Provod0%
David Jurásek0%
Matěj Jurásek0%
Yira Collins Sor0%
Moses Usor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Schranz33%
Ewerton33%
David Doudera29%
Matěj Jurásek25%
Lukáš Provod20%
Moses Usor20%
Ondrej Lingr17%
Peter Olayinka14%
Aiham Ousou14%
Stanislav Tecl12%
Ondřej Kolář0%
Lukáš Masopust0%
Petr Ševčík0%
Ibrahim Traoré0%
Tomáš Holeš0%
Christ Junior Tiehi0%
Taras Kacharaba0%
Oscar Dorley0%
Aleš Mandous0%
David Jurásek0%
Yira Collins Sor0%
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jaroslav Zelený33%
Qazim Laci33%
Lukáš Sadílek33%
Martin Minchev0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Ladislav Krejčí0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Asger Sørensen33%
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Slavia Praha's squad is €31m more valuable than Sparta Praha's (€123m vs €92m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Slavia Praha's attack is €17m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€27m vs €43m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Slavia Praha's midfield is €8m more valuable than Sparta Praha's (€35m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Slavia Praha's defence is €40m more valuable than Sparta Praha's (€61m vs €22m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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