This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.07
1.50
1.00
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.67
0.33
1.67
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (21)
1.24
0.81
1.82
0.82
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.5%
Under 1.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.2%
Under 2.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.3%
No
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
9.3%
0-1 ✓
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.6%
Slavia Sofia goals ↓
Levski Krumovgrad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.0%
4.6%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.3%
8.2%
3.6%
1.1%
0.2%
3
3.9%
3.5%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slavia Sofia goals (down), columns = Levski Krumovgrad goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.31
Levski Sofia
2.00
CSKA Sofia
1.78
Cherno More Varna
1.64
Arda Kardzhali
1.59
Botev Plovdiv
1.56
Spartak Varna
1.42
Beroe
1.36
Slavia Sofia
1.32
CSKA 1948
1.27
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.27
Septemvri Sofia
1.22
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.08
Botev Vratsa
1.03
Levski Krumovgrad
0.89
Hebar 1918
0.57
Marek
0.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Slavia Sofia is 0.43 points better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
1.94
Levski Sofia
1.78
CSKA Sofia
1.59
Arda Kardzhali
1.49
Slavia Sofia
1.35
Spartak Varna
1.25
Cherno More Varna
1.22
CSKA 1948
1.22
Botev Plovdiv
1.19
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.16
Beroe
1.14
Septemvri Sofia
1.14
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.05
Botev Vratsa
0.92
Hebar 1918
0.76
Levski Krumovgrad
0.54
Marek
0.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Slavia Sofia is 0.81 goals better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 0.54).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ludogorets
0.61
CSKA Sofia
0.78
Levski Sofia
0.81
Cherno More Varna
0.83
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.00
Arda Kardzhali
1.14
Beroe
1.19
Botev Plovdiv
1.19
Levski Krumovgrad
1.22
CSKA 1948
1.27
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.29
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.38
Slavia Sofia
1.41
Spartak Varna
1.47
Septemvri Sofia
1.51
Botev Vratsa
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.73
Marek
3.00
Slavia Sofia is 0.19 goals worse than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Sofia
63%
Ludogorets
60%
Levski Sofia
56%
Slavia Sofia
54%
Botev Plovdiv
53%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
51%
Cherno More Varna
50%
CSKA 1948
50%
Arda Kardzhali
48%
Septemvri Sofia
47%
Hebar 1918
45%
Lokomotiv Sofia
45%
Spartak Varna
44%
Beroe
44%
Levski Krumovgrad
43%
Botev Vratsa
41%
Marek
39%
Slavia Sofia is 11.0 percentage points better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of average possession (54% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Slavia Sofia
For 5.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Krumovgrad
For 4.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slavia Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.6
9.6
3.8
3.6
4.0
25.9
26.3
25.4
vs Stronger (9)
9.2
10.8
7.8
4.3
3.8
5.0
23.5
23.2
23.8
vs Similar (36)
8.9
7.5
10.2
3.7
3.8
3.6
27.0
27.7
26.2
vs Weaker (5)
10.8
14.0
9.7
3.6
1.5
5.0
24.5
23.0
25.0
% over line
47%
47%
47%
58%
56%
60%
88%
88%
89%
% under line
53%
53%
53%
42%
44%
40%
12%
12%
11%
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.3
9.2
3.7
4.1
3.2
27.5
27.7
27.4
vs Stronger (15)
9.4
7.5
10.7
2.7
2.3
3.0
27.8
31.0
25.7
vs Similar (35)
9.2
9.8
8.4
4.1
4.7
3.4
27.4
26.8
28.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
37%
28%
47%
50%
58%
42%
83%
83%
82%
% under line
63%
72%
53%
50%
42%
58%
17%
17%
18%
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Botev Plovdiv
10.7
CSKA Sofia
10.5
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.4
Spartak Varna
9.4
Septemvri Sofia
9.3
Arda Kardzhali
9.3
Levski Krumovgrad
9.2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
9.1
Ludogorets
9.1
Hebar 1918
9.0
CSKA 1948
9.0
Slavia Sofia
8.9
Cherno More Varna
8.4
Levski Sofia
8.3
Beroe
8.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.1
Botev Vratsa
5.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beroe
6.1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5.9
CSKA Sofia
5.8
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.7
Spartak Varna
5.6
Arda Kardzhali
5.5
Levski Sofia
5.4
Hebar 1918
5.2
Levski Krumovgrad
5.2
Slavia Sofia
5.2
Cherno More Varna
5.1
Lokomotiv Sofia
5.0
Botev Plovdiv
5.0
Botev Vratsa
4.9
Septemvri Sofia
4.9
Ludogorets
4.8
CSKA 1948
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Levski Sofia
27.4
Levski Krumovgrad
27.2
Botev Vratsa
26.5
CSKA 1948
26.4
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
26.2
Cherno More Varna
25.8
Beroe
25.7
Spartak Varna
25.6
Lokomotiv Sofia
25.5
Slavia Sofia
25.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad
24.7
Hebar 1918
24.7
Arda Kardzhali
24.7
CSKA Sofia
24.1
Botev Plovdiv
24.0
Septemvri Sofia
24.0
Ludogorets
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.2%
Under 9.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.2%
Under 3.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.5%
Under 21.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slavia Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.79
0.57
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.65
1.00
0.60
0.38
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.93
0.14
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.44
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.24
1.09
0.09
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slavia Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.57
0.50
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.74
0.60
0.60
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.57
0.86
0.31
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.22
0.00
1.33
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.57
0.73
0.73
0.10
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slavia Sofia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karl Kezy Fabien25%
Ventsislav Kerchev17%
Vladimir Nikolov12%
Ivan Minchev11%
Viktor Genev11%
Denislav Aleksandrov10%
Nikolay Krastev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Tsvetelin Chunchukov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Galin Ivanov0%
Emil Martinov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko Jelenković0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tsvetelin Chunchukov50%
Chung Nguyen Do38%
Ivan Minchev33%
Viktor Genev33%
Ventsislav Kerchev33%
Veljko Jelenković22%
Emil Martinov17%
Roberto Raychev17%
Galin Ivanov12%
Karl Kezy Fabien12%
Kristiyan Stoyanov12%
Martin Georgiev10%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Nikolay Krastev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Vladimir Nikolov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Quentin Seedorf29%
Denislav Aleksandrov20%
Nikolay Krastev0%
Ivan Minchev0%
Viktor Genev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Tsvetelin Chunchukov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Vladimir Nikolov0%
Galin Ivanov0%
Emil Martinov0%
Karl Kezy Fabien0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko Jelenković0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Minchev33%
Galin Ivanov25%
Karl Kezy Fabien25%
Roberto Raychev17%
Vladimir Nikolov12%
Viktor Genev11%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Nikolay Krastev0%
Ventsislav Kerchev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Ertan Tombak0%
Tsvetelin Chunchukov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Emil Martinov0%
Quentin Seedorf0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Chung Nguyen Do0%
Veljko Jelenković0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
Levski Krumovgrad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cătălin Itu29%
Bozhidar Katsarov20%
Peter Guinari17%
Ibrahim Keita14%
Momchil Tsvetanov8%
Erol Dost8%
Serkan Yussein0%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez0%
Sanasi Sy0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Dzhuneyt Ali0%
Lazar Marin0%
Stanislav Rabotov0%
Nasko Milev0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Rafael Furtado0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Daniel de Pauli0%
Adrián Cova0%
Matheus Souza0%
Tiago Veiga0%
Imanol Alonso0%
Malick Fall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dzhuneyt Ali60%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos40%
Malick Fall40%
Serkan Yussein33%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez33%
Matej Šimić33%
Lazar Marin30%
Cătălin Itu29%
Ibrahim Keita29%
Patrick25%
Bozhidar Katsarov20%
Daniel de Pauli20%
Erol Dost17%
Adrián Cova17%
Imanol Alonso17%
Peter Guinari17%
Georgi Tartov14%
Momchil Tsvetanov8%
Nasko Milev7%
Yanko Georgiev7%
Sanasi Sy0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Stanislav Rabotov0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Rafael Furtado0%
Diego Raposo0%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Matheus Souza0%
Tiago Veiga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matej Šimić17%
Ibrahim Keita14%
Erol Dost8%
Serkan Yussein0%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez0%
Sanasi Sy0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Dzhuneyt Ali0%
Lazar Marin0%
Stanislav Rabotov0%
Nasko Milev0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Cătălin Itu0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Rafael Furtado0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Daniel de Pauli0%
Adrián Cova0%
Matheus Souza0%
Tiago Veiga0%
Imanol Alonso0%
Peter Guinari0%
Malick Fall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cătălin Itu43%
Patrick25%
Serkan Yussein17%
Momchil Tsvetanov8%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez0%
Sanasi Sy0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Dzhuneyt Ali0%
Lazar Marin0%
Stanislav Rabotov0%
Nasko Milev0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Vyacheslav Velev0%
Ibrahim Keita0%
Rafael Furtado0%
Erol Dost0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Daniel de Pauli0%
Adrián Cova0%
Matheus Souza0%
Tiago Veiga0%
Imanol Alonso0%
Peter Guinari0%
Malick Fall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Bulgaria: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Beroe
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
Hebar 1918
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Marek