Slavia Sofia face Levski Sofia in a match the model sees as an away win, with a 52% chance of a Levski victory, 28% for a draw and 20% for a Slavia win. The expected total goals hover around 2.4, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.3% probability. Slavia, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Levski, on the road to a weaker opponent, nets 1.5 goals and concedes only 0.88. Levski’s recent form is unbeaten, having won 4 of 5 games and scoring six against Spartak Varna, whereas Slavia’s last five games were a mix of draws and losses, ending with a 1-1 draw against Ludogorets. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 3% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.9%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (96.6% with a 5% edge) and Home under 2.5 goals (94.6%).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Levski Sofia secured a 1-2 away win, extending their two-game winning streak while Slavia Sofia slipped after a defeat. The pre-match favourite, “Away win,” carried a 54% probability and was right, matching the actual result. The model’s selections were largely correct: Under 7.5 goals hit with 99.6% confidence, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1% also hit, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.9% hit, Under 6.5 at 98.7% hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2% hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8% hit, Under 5.5 at 96.2% hit, and Home under 2.5 goals at 94.6% hit. All predictions settled in favour of the model’s choices.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slavia Sofia win✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied 11.3% · @ 8.16
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
9.20
Pinnacle
8.57
Unibet
8.50
BetVictor
8.50
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.32
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.75
Dafabet
4.40
Unibet
4.40
Betfair
4.40
BetVictor
4.40
Levski Sofia win✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied 67.3% · @ 1.37
Edge
-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slavia Sofia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.00
1.27
1.00
1.07
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.08
1.31
1.15
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Sofia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
0.77
2.00
0.44
1.57
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.92
0.80
0.20
1.14
1.43
vs Weaker (18)
2.33
0.67
2.55
0.55
2.00
0.86
Clean sheet %
47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
@ 1.28-1.3%
Under 1.5
28.8%
@ 3.38+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.40
888Sport
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.1%
@ 1.89-5.4%
Under 2.5
55.9%
@ 1.85+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.88
Under
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.90
Betano
1.88
Betfair
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.0%
@ 3.22-5.9%
Under 3.5
77.0%
@ 1.30+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.51
BetVictor
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.6%
@ 2.16+3.9%
No
53.4%
@ 1.61-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.25
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
No
888Sport
1.67
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.63
BetVictor
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 7.92+7.4%
0-1
12.7%@ 5.37+4.6%
0-2
11.1%@ 5.47+3.1%
0-0
9.9%@ 9.42+5.2%
1-2 ✓
9.4%@ 7.79+3.8%
1-0
6.2%@ 16.21+3.5%
0-3
5.9%@ 7.80+0.3%
1-3
5.0%@ 11.25+1.1%
Slavia Sofia goals ↓
Levski Sofia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
13%
11%
5.9%
2.4%
1
6.2%
13%
9.4%
5.0%
2.0%
2
3.1%
4.9%
3.9%
2.1%
0.8%
3
0.9%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slavia Sofia goals (down), columns = Levski Sofia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levski Sofia
3.00
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.50
Ludogorets
2.43
Arda Kardzhali
2.29
Spartak Varna
1.17
Septemvri Sofia
1.14
Botev Plovdiv
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Dunav Ruse
0.57
Cherno More Varna
0.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.50
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
Slavia Sofia is 2.00 points worse than Levski Sofia in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levski Sofia
2.86
CSKA Sofia
2.67
CSKA 1948
2.17
Ludogorets
1.71
Arda Kardzhali
1.57
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.17
Spartak Varna
1.17
Botev Plovdiv
1.14
Cherno More Varna
1.14
Dunav Ruse
1.00
Slavia Sofia
1.00
Septemvri Sofia
0.71
Botev Vratsa
0.57
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0.43
Slavia Sofia is 1.86 goals worse than Levski Sofia in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arda Kardzhali
0.57
Levski Sofia
0.57
CSKA Sofia
0.67
Ludogorets
0.71
CSKA 1948
0.83
Slavia Sofia
0.86
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.43
Septemvri Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.71
Spartak Varna
1.83
Lokomotiv Sofia
2.00
Dunav Ruse
2.00
Botev Vratsa
2.14
Cherno More Varna
2.29
Slavia Sofia is 0.29 goals worse than Levski Sofia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
63%
Slavia Sofia
37%
Slavia Sofia is 26.0 percentage points worse than Levski Sofia in terms of average possession (37% vs 63%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Slavia Sofia
For 3.7 · Against 7.3 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Sofia
For 5.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slavia Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.2
11.5
2.3
1.8
2.8
21.9
22.2
21.5
vs Stronger (8)
10.2
7.5
12.0
3.8
1.0
6.5
22.4
18.5
25.0
vs Similar (41)
11.1
10.8
11.4
2.1
2.1
2.0
21.8
23.0
20.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
58%
69%
28%
19%
38%
48%
58%
38%
% under line
36%
42%
31%
72%
81%
62%
52%
42%
62%
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Sofia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.1
9.9
2.1
1.9
2.3
23.4
21.2
25.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
9.0
7.7
9.8
2.3
1.8
2.9
26.6
27.3
26.2
vs Weaker (32)
9.8
9.6
10.0
1.9
1.9
1.9
21.8
19.1
25.1
% over line
50%
50%
50%
26%
23%
29%
67%
50%
83%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
74%
77%
71%
33%
50%
17%
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slavia Sofia
10.6
Botev Plovdiv
10.1
Spartak Varna
10.0
Levski Sofia
9.6
CSKA Sofia
9.6
CSKA 1948
9.4
Ludogorets
9.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.4
Botev Vratsa
9.4
Septemvri Sofia
9.1
Cherno More Varna
9.0
Arda Kardzhali
8.7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Arda Kardzhali
5.2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.0
Septemvri Sofia
5.0
Botev Vratsa
4.8
Spartak Varna
4.8
CSKA Sofia
4.8
Ludogorets
4.8
Slavia Sofia
4.7
Cherno More Varna
4.7
Levski Sofia
4.6
Botev Plovdiv
4.5
Dunav Ruse
4.5
CSKA 1948
4.2
Lokomotiv Sofia
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cherno More Varna
25.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.0
Levski Sofia
24.7
Botev Vratsa
24.7
Arda Kardzhali
24.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
23.9
Slavia Sofia
23.8
Septemvri Sofia
22.8
CSKA 1948
22.7
Spartak Varna
22.7
CSKA Sofia
22.6
Botev Plovdiv
22.4
Ludogorets
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.8%
@ 1.82+1.7%
Under 9.5
47.2%
@ 1.90-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.5%
@ 1.42+0.6%
Under 3.5
35.5%
@ 2.52-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.52
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
63.7%
Under 21.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slavia Sofia or Draw✗ Miss
46.0%
Avg Implied 32.1% · @ 2.90
Edge
+13.8%
19%
27%
54%
covers Slavia Sofia + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.10
Betano
3.05
10Bet
3.00
SBO
2.90
Slavia Sofia or Levski Sofia✓ Hit
72.6%
Avg Implied 79.8% · @ 1.17
Edge
-7.2%
19%
27%
54%
covers Slavia Sofia + Levski Sofia
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Draw or Levski Sofia✓ Hit
81.4%
Avg Implied 88.1% · @ 1.06
Edge
-6.6%
19%
27%
54%
covers Draw + Levski Sofia
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
William Hil
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.07
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
56.9%
@ 1.93+9.1%
Under
43.1%
@ 1.77-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
10Bet
1.93
Under
888Sport
1.85
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.7%
@ 5.78+4.6%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.11-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.75
BetVictor
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 19.38+0.4%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.01-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
888Sport
23.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Slavia Sofia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 51.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.8%
@ 1.10-4.7%
Under
20.2%
@ 5.94+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.30
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.4%
@ 1.57-11.8%
Under
52.6%
@ 2.27+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
BetVictor
1.60
Superbet
1.60
888Sport
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.6%
@ 2.81-11.2%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.38+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.12
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Levski Sofia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 5.34-9.5%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.12+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Unibet
5.20
Under
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.11
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slavia Sofia, so a minus line means Slavia Sofia give that many goals of a start and Levski Sofia receive them. At -1, Slavia Sofia must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slavia Sofia win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slavia Sofia)Actual: Levski Sofia
Slavia Sofia -2
1.5%
@ 101.00+0.5%
Draw -2
4.7%
@ 34.00+1.9%
Levski Sofia +2
93.8%
@ 1.01-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
101.00
Draw
Bet365
34.00
Away
Bet365
1.01
Handicap -1 (Slavia Sofia)Actual: Levski Sofia
Slavia Sofia -1
6.2%
@ 26.00+2.6%
Draw -1
12.4%
@ 11.00+3.8%
Levski Sofia +1
81.4%
@ 1.07-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Handicap +1 (Slavia Sofia)Actual: Draw
Slavia Sofia +1
46.0%
@ 2.97+15.9%
Draw +1
24.5%
@ 3.40-1.8%
Levski Sofia -1
29.6%
@ 2.05-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.75
Draw
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Away
Marathonbet
2.23
Unibet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.91
Handicap +2 (Slavia Sofia)Actual: Slavia Sofia
Slavia Sofia +2
70.4%
@ 1.67+16.5%
Draw +2
17.0%
@ 3.99-5.5%
Levski Sofia -2
12.5%
@ 3.81-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.75
Bet365
3.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slavia Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.73
0.47
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.44
0.69
0.54
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Sofia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.23
0.56
0.06
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.42
0.40
0.00
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (18)
0.56
0.11
0.64
0.09
0.43
0.14
Clean sheet %
83% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.4%
@ 1.37+1.6%
Under 0.5
30.6%
@ 2.87-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 2.71-1.0%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.41+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.01
Betano
2.85
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Under
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.5%
@ 6.68-2.4%
Under 2.5
88.5%
@ 1.08+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
William Hil
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.75
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.2%
@ 3.56+8.1%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.26-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.84
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.55
Marathonbet
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.26
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 11.25-0.8%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.02+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.2%
@ 1.59-7.2%
Under
48.8%
@ 2.23+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Unibet
1.57
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 3.90-9.1%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.21+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
Betano
3.80
1xBet
3.75
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 9.38-6.8%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.04+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slavia Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.64
0.62
0.62
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Sofia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Sofia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.53
1.44
0.38
1.00
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.50
0.40
0.20
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (18)
1.78
0.56
1.91
0.45
1.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Sofia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.3%
@ 1.23+4.3%
Under 0.5
20.7%
@ 3.70-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
Superbet
3.75
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.9%
@ 2.11+1.9%
Under 1.5
54.1%
@ 1.66-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
William Hil
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.4%
@ 4.56-1.9%
Under 2.5
81.6%
@ 1.16+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.80
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
William Hil
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slavia Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.8%
@ 2.82+11.0%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.38-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.70
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Slavia Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 10.58+1.6%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.03-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
Slavia Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Sofia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.9%
@ 1.40-7.4%
Under
41.1%
@ 2.76+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Under
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.67
Levski Sofia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
24.4%
@ 2.82-8.5%
Under
75.6%
@ 1.38+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.33
Levski Sofia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 6.50-7.5%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.08+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.3%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.1%
1.12
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.11
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.9%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.10
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.21
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.16
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
William Hil
1.15
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
81.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
William Hil
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.07
-6.6%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
81.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-6.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
79.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
79.3%
1.11
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.23
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
78.4%
1.38
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
888Sport
1.36
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.0%
1.30
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.31
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
75.6%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.33
-
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.6%
1.17
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-7.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.5%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
10Bet
1.28
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.9%
1.33
Unibet
1.41
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
70.4%
1.67
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
-
+16.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slavia Sofia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Isaac Solet50%
Toni Tasev25%
Yanis Guermouche19%
Emil Stoev18%
Kristiyan Balov18%
David Malembana17%
Luka Ivanov17%
Ivan Minchev14%
Iliyan Stefanov11%
Emilian Gogev11%
Roberto Raychev10%
Lazar Marin5%
Vladimir Medved0%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Levi Ntumba0%
Diego Ferraresso0%
Nikola Savić0%
Ivan Andonov0%
Mouhamed Dosso0%
Jordan Semedo Varela0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Artyom Varganov0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Boris Todorov0%
Vasil Kazaldzhiev0%
Marko Miletic0%
Georgi Shopov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lazar Marin24%
Emil Stoev18%
David Malembana17%
Isaac Solet17%
Martin Georgiev17%
Yanis Guermouche14%
Georgi Shopov14%
Levi Ntumba12%
Iliyan Stefanov11%
Mouhamed Dosso11%
Kristiyan Stoyanov11%
Boris Todorov11%
Marko Miletic11%
Ivan Minchev10%
Nikola Savić7%
Jordan Semedo Varela7%
Diego Ferraresso6%
Roberto Raychev5%
Vladimir Medved0%
Toni Tasev0%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Ivan Andonov0%
Luka Ivanov0%
Kristiyan Balov0%
Artyom Varganov0%
Vasil Kazaldzhiev0%
Emilian Gogev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toni Tasev25%
Vladimir Medved20%
Ivan Minchev19%
Kristiyan Balov14%
Boris Todorov11%
Emil Stoev9%
Martin Georgiev8%
Mouhamed Dosso6%
Yanis Guermouche5%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Iliyan Stefanov0%
Lazar Marin0%
Levi Ntumba0%
David Malembana0%
Diego Ferraresso0%
Nikola Savić0%
Isaac Solet0%
Ivan Andonov0%
Luka Ivanov0%
Jordan Semedo Varela0%
Roberto Raychev0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Artyom Varganov0%
Vasil Kazaldzhiev0%
Marko Miletic0%
Emilian Gogev0%
Georgi Shopov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Toni Tasev25%
Iliyan Stefanov11%
Yanis Guermouche10%
Roberto Raychev5%
Lazar Marin5%
Kristiyan Balov5%
Vladimir Medved0%
Denislav Aleksandrov0%
Ivan Minchev0%
Emil Stoev0%
Levi Ntumba0%
David Malembana0%
Diego Ferraresso0%
Nikola Savić0%
Isaac Solet0%
Ivan Andonov0%
Luka Ivanov0%
Mouhamed Dosso0%
Jordan Semedo Varela0%
Kristiyan Stoyanov0%
Artyom Varganov0%
Martin Georgiev0%
Boris Todorov0%
Vasil Kazaldzhiev0%
Marko Miletic0%
Emilian Gogev0%
Georgi Shopov0%
Levski Sofia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Reinaldo33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Everton Bala0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Serafimov33%
Everton Bala33%
Aldair33%
Juan Perea33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Reinaldo0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Maicon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Everton Bala33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Reinaldo0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reinaldo33%
Álex Centelles0%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Kristian Dimitrov0%
Svetoslav Vutsov0%
Mazire Soula0%
Nikola Serafimov0%
Everton Bala0%
El Mehdi Moubarik0%
Serginho0%
Aldair0%
Asen Ivanov Mitkov0%
Juan Perea0%
Maicon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (29)
€46m
LS (27)
€38m
CS (25)
€26m
C1 (30)
€18m
BP (29)
€11m
AK (20)
€10m
LP (23)
€9m
LS (25)
€8m
SS (25)
€7m
CMV (22)
€6m
SV (22)
€6m
BV (23)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
Slavia Sofia's squad is €30m less valuable than Levski Sofia's (€7m vs €38m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUD (12)
€27m
LS (10)
€11m
CS (9)
€10m
C1 (14)
€9m
BP (12)
€5m
AK (7)
€3m
LS (11)
€3m
CMV (8)
€3m
LP (8)
€3m
SS (11)
€2m
BV (8)
€2m
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
Slavia Sofia's attack is €9m less valuable than Levski Sofia's (€2m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (5)
€8m
CS (6)
€6m
LUD (4)
€6m
AK (3)
€3m
LS (6)
€2m
C1 (4)
€2m
BP (6)
€2m
LP (5)
€2m
SS (4)
€2m
BV (5)
€1m
CMV (5)
€1m
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
Slavia Sofia's midfield is €6m less valuable than Levski Sofia's (€2m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LS (12)
€19m
LUD (13)
€13m
CS (10)
€10m
C1 (12)
€7m
BP (11)
€4m
LP (10)
€4m
AK (10)
€3m
SS (10)
€3m
LS (8)
€3m
SV (11)
€3m
CMV (9)
€2m
BV (10)
€2m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Slavia Sofia's defence is €16m less valuable than Levski Sofia's (€3m vs €19m).
Bulgaria: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ludogorets
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA 1948
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv