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Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans Result & Analysis

Date: 25/02/2024
Time: 15:15
Final 0-0
Sliema Wanderers
Sliema Wanderers
Vs
18%
30%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
Malta: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sliema Wanderers win✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans win✗ Miss
51.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W10W41W20W10W00D11D00D21WH·FLO25/11A·HIB03/12H·BAL09/12A·NAX17/12H·GUD07/01A·SIR20/01H·BIR28/01A·VAL03/02H·MOS10/02A·MAR17/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.431.640.291.940.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.500.751.750.501.251.00
vs Weaker (22)1.910.321.600.202.170.42
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamrun Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W03L21W31W10W21W71W41W40W20WA·MAR25/11A·BIR02/12H·GZI13/12A·SAN17/12H·FLO06/01A·HIB20/01A·BAL27/01H·NAX04/02A·GUD11/02H·SIR18/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.070.931.671.002.470.87
vs Stronger (2)1.004.001.006.001.002.00
vs Similar (9)0.891.330.801.201.001.50
vs Weaker (19)2.740.422.220.333.200.50
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sliema Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.6%
Under 1.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.4%
Under 2.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.7%
Under 3.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.9%
No
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
16.0%
0-0 ✓
13.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
Sliema Wanderers goals ↓
Hamrun Spartans goals →
01234
014%16%12%5.4%1.9%
17.6%13%8.3%3.8%1.3%
23.1%4.2%2.9%1.3%0.5%
30.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
40.1%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sliema Wanderers goals (down), columns = Hamrun Spartans goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamrun Spartans
2.38
Floriana
2.19
Sliema Wanderers
1.92
Marsaxlokk
1.65
Birkirkara
1.38
Hibernians
1.35
Naxxar Lions
1.35
Balzan FC
1.31
Gzira United
1.27
Mosta
1.19
Santa Lucía
1.15
Valletta FC
1.04
Sirens
0.62
Gudja United
0.23
Sliema Wanderers is 0.46 points worse than Hamrun Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 2.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hamrun Spartans
2.35
Floriana
2.04
Marsaxlokk
1.54
Gzira United
1.46
Sliema Wanderers
1.31
Naxxar Lions
1.23
Hibernians
1.12
Birkirkara
1.08
Balzan FC
1.00
Valletta FC
1.00
Santa Lucía
0.96
Mosta
0.73
Sirens
0.65
Gudja United
0.54
Sliema Wanderers is 1.04 goals worse than Hamrun Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 2.35).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sliema Wanderers
0.46
Hamrun Spartans
0.62
Floriana
0.73
Marsaxlokk
0.88
Birkirkara
1.04
Balzan FC
1.08
Hibernians
1.08
Valletta FC
1.19
Mosta
1.23
Gzira United
1.27
Naxxar Lions
1.35
Santa Lucía
1.58
Sirens
1.92
Gudja United
2.58
Sliema Wanderers is 0.15 goals better than Hamrun Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (0.46 vs 0.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W20W10W00D00D00D00D11DH·FLO25/11A·HIB03/12H·BAL09/12A·NAX17/12H·GUD07/01A·SIR20/01H·BIR28/01A·VAL03/02H·MOS10/02A·MAR17/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.100.800.070.600.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.140.140.000.000.250.25
vs Weaker (23)0.870.091.000.080.730.09
Clean sheet %90% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamrun Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D30W00D10W21W21W30W20WA·MAR25/11A·BIR02/12H·GZI13/12A·SAN17/12H·FLO06/01A·HIB20/01A·BAL27/01H·NAX04/02A·GUD11/02H·SIR18/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.270.730.331.670.20
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.330.200.401.000.25
vs Weaker (19)1.580.161.110.222.000.10
Clean sheet %77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Sliema Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sliema Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sliema Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sliema Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D21W10W10W00D11D00D10WH·FLO25/11A·HIB03/12H·BAL09/12A·NAX17/12H·GUD07/01A·SIR20/01H·BIR28/01A·VAL03/02H·MOS10/02A·MAR17/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.400.800.331.200.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.710.330.671.000.75
vs Weaker (23)1.090.300.920.251.270.36
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamrun Spartans) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L21W01L10W11D50W20W10W00DA·MAR25/11A·BIR02/12H·GZI13/12A·SAN17/12H·FLO06/01A·HIB20/01A·BAL27/01H·NAX04/02A·GUD11/02H·SIR18/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.930.670.800.67
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.005.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.331.000.600.800.001.25
vs Weaker (19)1.160.261.110.111.200.40
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sliema Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sliema Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sliema Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sliema Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Hamrun Spartans
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joseph Mbong67%
Seth Paintsil0%
Julian Nenov0%
Federico Marchetti0%
Ognjen Bjeličić0%
Nemanja Krstić0%
Eder0%
Steve Borg0%
Juan Corbalan0%
Emerson0%
Ryan Camenzuli0%
Jonny0%
Elionay0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julian Nenov33%
Federico Marchetti33%
Ognjen Bjeličić33%
Steve Borg33%
Juan Corbalan33%
Joseph Mbong33%
Seth Paintsil0%
Nemanja Krstić0%
Eder0%
Emerson0%
Ryan Camenzuli0%
Jonny0%
Elionay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Seth Paintsil0%
Julian Nenov0%
Federico Marchetti0%
Ognjen Bjeličić0%
Nemanja Krstić0%
Eder0%
Steve Borg0%
Juan Corbalan0%
Joseph Mbong0%
Emerson0%
Ryan Camenzuli0%
Jonny0%
Elionay0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ognjen Bjeličić33%
Seth Paintsil0%
Julian Nenov0%
Federico Marchetti0%
Nemanja Krstić0%
Eder0%
Steve Borg0%
Juan Corbalan0%
Joseph Mbong0%
Emerson0%
Ryan Camenzuli0%
Jonny0%
Elionay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (25)
€7m
HIB (28)
€5m
HS (23)
€5m
FLO (22)
€5m
VF (20)
€4m
MAR (22)
€4m
MOS (24)
€3m
GU (13)
€3m
BIR (12)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
NL (16)
€1m
GU (1)
€0m
Sliema Wanderers's squad is €2m more valuable than Hamrun Spartans's (€7m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (11)
€3m
HIB (10)
€2m
FLO (7)
€2m
VF (7)
€2m
BIR (6)
€2m
MAR (8)
€1m
MOS (8)
€1m
HS (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
GU (4)
€1m
NL (4)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
Sliema Wanderers's attack is €2m more valuable than Hamrun Spartans's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (10)
€3m
SW (4)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
VF (5)
€1m
FLO (6)
€1m
MOS (4)
€1m
GU (3)
€1m
HIB (4)
€1m
BIR (2)
€1m
NL (5)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
Sliema Wanderers and Hamrun Spartans have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (14)
€3m
SW (10)
€2m
FLO (9)
€2m
VF (8)
€2m
GU (6)
€1m
HS (6)
€1m
MOS (12)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
NL (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
GU (0)
€0m
Sliema Wanderers and Hamrun Spartans have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SW wins
1
Draws
0
HS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sliema Wanderers vs Hamrun Spartans · H/A from SW
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23AHamrun Spartans Vs SW1-1

Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24AMarsaxlokk Vs SW1-2
10/02/24HSW Vs Mosta0-0
03/02/24AValletta FC Vs SW1-1
28/01/24HSW Vs Birkirkara0-0
20/01/24ASirens Vs SW0-1
07/01/24HSW Vs Gudja United2-0
17/12/23ANaxxar Lions Vs SW1-4
09/12/23HSW Vs Balzan FC1-0
03/12/23AHibernians Vs SW0-1
25/11/23HSW Vs Floriana0-2

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/24HHS Vs Sirens2-0
11/02/24AGudja United Vs HS0-4
04/02/24HHS Vs Naxxar Lions4-1
27/01/24ABalzan FC Vs HS1-7
20/01/24AHibernians Vs HS1-2
06/01/24HHS Vs Floriana1-0
17/12/23ASanta Lucía Vs HS1-3
13/12/23HHS Vs Gzira United2-1
02/12/23ABirkirkara Vs HS3-0
25/11/23AMarsaxlokk Vs HS0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sliema Wanderers
Sliema Wanderers
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDW2.48
HomeLWWDD2.43
AwayWWWDW2.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %77%76%78%
AVG goals2.432.292.57
Over 1.5 %64%52%74%
Over 2.5 %45%43%48%
Over 3.5 %25%24%26%
Scored1.931.951.91
Conceded0.500.330.65
BTTS36%19%52%
Clean Sheet57%71%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.40
HomeDWWWW2.44
AwayLWWWW2.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %76%76%76%
AVG goals2.702.482.92
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.921.722.12
Conceded0.780.760.80
BTTS40%32%48%
Clean Sheet56%64%48%
Corners7.677.338.00
Cards4.175.672.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans2662
73%
2.4
6116+45
3.0
81%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1312.30.6
-
2FlorianaFloriana2657
69%
2.2
5319+34
2.8
85%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.00.7
-
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers2650
54%
1.9
3412+22
1.8
50%
23%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.30.5
-
4MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk2643
46%
1.7
4023+17
2.4
69%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.50.9
-
5BirkirkaraBirkirkara2636
35%
1.4
2827+1
2.1
77%
31%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
6HiberniansHibernians2635
35%
1.3
2928+1
2.2
73%
35%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.11.1
-
7Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions2635
35%
1.3
3235-3
2.6
77%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.3
-
8Balzan FCBalzan FC2634
31%
1.3
2628-2
2.1
58%
31%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.1
-
9Gzira UnitedGzira United2633
35%
1.3
3833+5
2.7
73%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.3
-
10MostaMosta2631
27%
1.2
1932-13
2.0
65%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.71.2
-
11Santa LucíaSanta Lucía2630
31%
1.2
2541-16
2.5
73%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
12Valletta FCValletta FC2627
23%
1.0
2631-5
2.2
73%
27%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.2
-
13SirensSirens2616
12%
0.6
1750-33
2.6
85%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.9
-
14Gudja UnitedGudja United266
0%
0.2
1467-53
3.1
85%
58%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.6
-
Malta: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

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