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Sloboda Tuzla vs Borac Banja Luka Result & Analysis

Date: 15/12/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 2-3
Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla
Vs
6%
16%
77%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda Tuzla win✗ Miss
6.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka win✓ Hit
77.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L03L02L01L11D06L02L03L02L01LA·RAD24/09H·SLO28/09A·GOŠ19/10H·ZRI26/10A·KRU30/10H·FK 02/11A·POS08/11A·ZEL30/11H·SIR04/12A·VEL07/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.770.691.850.411.71
vs Stronger (17)0.652.060.752.120.562.00
vs Similar (13)0.381.380.601.400.251.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L40W20W20W21W40W20W01L03LA·VEL02/11A·VIK07/11H·IGM11/11A·LAK16/11A·SLO20/11H·LAS28/11H·SLO01/12A·GOŠ04/12H·ZRI08/12A·SHA12/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.731.600.471.401.00
vs Stronger (2)1.002.000.001.002.003.00
vs Similar (13)0.771.000.830.830.711.14
vs Weaker (15)2.200.332.380.122.000.57
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%014%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.9%
No
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
14.6%
0-3
11.7%
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-1
7.7%
0-4
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
0-0
5.7%
Sloboda Tuzla goals ↓
Borac Banja Luka goals →
01234
05.7%11%15%12%7.1%
12.2%7.7%8.5%6.8%4.1%
20.8%2.0%2.5%2.0%1.2%
30.2%0.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloboda Tuzla goals (down), columns = Borac Banja Luka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
Sloboda Tuzla is 2.15 points worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of average points per game (0.30 vs 2.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
Sloboda Tuzla is 1.12 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals scored per game (0.64 vs 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
Sloboda Tuzla is 1.76 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals conceded per game (2.15 vs 0.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L01L00D03L01L01L02L00DA·RAD24/09H·SLO28/09A·GOŠ19/10H·ZRI26/10A·KRU30/10H·FK 02/11A·POS08/11A·ZEL30/11H·SIR04/12A·VEL07/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.830.230.920.290.76
vs Stronger (17)0.351.000.251.250.440.78
vs Similar (13)0.150.620.200.400.120.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L20W10W00D00D00D10W01L01LA·VEL02/11A·VIK07/11H·IGM11/11A·LAK16/11A·SLO20/11H·LAS28/11H·SLO01/12A·GOŠ04/12H·ZRI08/12A·SHA12/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.470.270.670.73
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.001.002.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.230.690.170.500.290.86
vs Weaker (15)0.800.200.750.000.860.43
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L01L00D11D03L01L02L00D01LA·RAD24/09H·SLO28/09A·GOŠ19/10H·ZRI26/10A·KRU30/10H·FK 02/11A·POS08/11A·ZEL30/11H·SIR04/12A·VEL07/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.460.920.120.94
vs Stronger (17)0.291.060.500.880.111.22
vs Similar (13)0.230.770.401.000.120.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D20W10W20W21W40W10W00D02LA·VEL02/11A·VIK07/11H·IGM11/11A·LAK16/11A·SLO20/11H·LAS28/11H·SLO01/12A·GOŠ04/12H·ZRI08/12A·SHA12/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.231.130.200.730.27
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.310.670.330.430.29
vs Weaker (15)1.400.131.620.121.140.14
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.8%-------✓ Hit
Away win77.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Borac Banja Luka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
ST wins
0
Draws
3
BBL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloboda Tuzla vs Borac Banja Luka · H/A from ST
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs ST2-0
21/05/23ABorac Banja Luka Vs ST3-2
29/10/22ABorac Banja Luka Vs ST3-1
13/08/22HST Vs Borac Banja Luka2-0

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/24AVelež Vs ST1-0
04/12/24HST Vs Siroki Brijeg0-2
30/11/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs ST3-0
08/11/24APosušje Vs ST2-0
02/11/24HST Vs FK Sarajevo0-6
30/10/24AKruševo Vs ST1-1
26/10/24HST Vs Zrinjski0-1
19/10/24AGOŠK Gabela Vs ST2-0
28/09/24HST Vs Sloga Doboj0-3
24/09/24ARadnik Bijeljina Vs ST2-0

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/12/24AShamrock Rovers Vs BBL3-0
08/12/24HBBL Vs Zrinjski0-1
04/12/24AGOŠK Gabela Vs BBL0-2
01/12/24HBBL Vs Sloga Doboj4-0
28/11/24HBBL Vs Lask Linz2-1
20/11/24ASloga Doboj Vs BBL0-2
16/11/24ALaktaši Vs BBL0-2
11/11/24HBBL Vs Igman Konjic4-0
07/11/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs BBL2-0
02/11/24AVelež Vs BBL0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.70
HomeDLLLL1.09
AwayLDLLL0.37
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%30%0%
AVG goals2.222.521.96
Over 1.5 %66%70%63%
Over 2.5 %32%39%26%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored0.721.040.44
Conceded1.501.481.52
BTTS38%39%37%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL2.08
HomeWWWWL2.33
AwayLWWWL1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%75%54%
AVG goals2.542.582.50
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.741.881.62
Conceded0.800.710.88
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet48%46%50%
Corners7.178.336.00
Cards5.567.004.40

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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