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Sloboda Tuzla vs Leotar Result & Analysis

Date: 11/03/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla
Vs
60%
25%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leotar
Leotar
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda Tuzla win✓ Hit
59.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leotar win✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L03L01L00D13L20W12L51W22D01LA·ZRI30/09H·SIR08/10A·VEL16/10H·TUZ23/10A·BOR29/10H·FK 05/11A·POS13/11H·IGM20/11A·SLO25/02A·ZEL04/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.101.501.000.451.18
vs Stronger (12)0.671.251.001.000.331.50
vs Similar (9)1.330.892.251.000.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Leotar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeotarLeotar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L41W11D10W01L40W01L20W11D11DH·ZEL01/10H·SLO08/10H·ZRI16/10H·SIR22/10A·VEL29/10H·TUZ06/11H·BOR14/11H·FK 20/11A·POS26/02H·IGM04/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.331.270.550.602.20
vs Stronger (8)0.751.380.750.750.752.00
vs Similar (13)1.081.311.570.430.502.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
Sloboda Tuzla goals ↓
Leotar goals →
01234
08.5%4.9%2.4%0.7%0.1%
112%12%4.3%1.2%0.2%
212%9.6%3.9%1.0%0.2%
37.1%5.8%2.3%0.6%0.1%
43.2%2.6%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloboda Tuzla goals (down), columns = Leotar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.36
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.61
FK Sarajevo
1.58
Siroki Brijeg
1.45
Velež
1.36
Sloga Doboj
1.12
Tuzla City
1.12
Igman Konjic
1.12
Posušje
1.12
Leotar
1.03
Sloboda Tuzla
0.97
Sloboda Tuzla is 0.06 points worse than Leotar in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.00
FK Sarajevo
1.52
Tuzla City
1.30
Igman Konjic
1.27
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.27
Sloga Doboj
1.21
Velež
1.21
Borac Banja Luka
1.18
Siroki Brijeg
1.15
Sloboda Tuzla
0.97
Leotar
0.88
Posušje
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla is 0.09 goals better than Leotar in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zrinjski
0.64
Borac Banja Luka
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.06
Siroki Brijeg
1.09
Velež
1.12
Sloboda Tuzla
1.24
FK Sarajevo
1.39
Tuzla City
1.39
Posušje
1.39
Leotar
1.39
Igman Konjic
1.45
Sloga Doboj
1.67
Sloboda Tuzla is 0.15 goals better than Leotar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D02L10W10W10W11D01LA·ZRI30/09H·SIR08/10A·VEL16/10H·TUZ23/10A·BOR29/10H·FK 05/11A·POS13/11H·IGM20/11A·SLO25/02A·ZEL04/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.570.500.500.270.64
vs Stronger (12)0.250.670.330.330.171.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.440.750.750.400.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Leotar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeotarLeotar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W11D00D00D30W00D00D11D00DH·ZEL01/10H·SLO08/10H·ZRI16/10H·SIR22/10A·VEL29/10H·TUZ06/11H·BOR14/11H·FK 20/11A·POS26/02H·IGM04/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.860.640.270.501.50
vs Stronger (8)0.500.880.250.500.751.25
vs Similar (13)0.620.850.860.140.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leotar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leotar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leotar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L01L00D11D10W02L41W11D00DA·ZRI30/09H·SIR08/10A·VEL16/10H·TUZ23/10A·BOR29/10H·FK 05/11A·POS13/11H·IGM20/11A·SLO25/02A·ZEL04/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.521.000.500.180.55
vs Stronger (12)0.420.580.670.670.170.50
vs Similar (9)0.780.441.500.250.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Leotar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeotarLeotar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D10W01L10W01L20W00D11DH·ZEL01/10H·SLO08/10H·ZRI16/10H·SIR22/10A·VEL29/10H·TUZ06/11H·BOR14/11H·FK 20/11A·POS26/02H·IGM04/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.480.640.270.100.70
vs Stronger (8)0.250.500.500.250.000.75
vs Similar (13)0.460.460.710.290.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leotar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leotar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leotar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ST wins
1
Draws
0
LEO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloboda Tuzla vs Leotar · H/A from ST
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/22ALeotar Vs ST0-0

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs ST1-0
25/02/23ASloga Doboj Vs ST2-2
20/11/22HST Vs Igman Konjic5-1
13/11/22APosušje Vs ST2-1
05/11/22HST Vs FK Sarajevo2-0
29/10/22ABorac Banja Luka Vs ST3-1
23/10/22HST Vs Tuzla City0-0
16/10/22AVelež Vs ST1-0
08/10/22HST Vs Siroki Brijeg0-3
30/09/22AZrinjski Vs ST1-0

LeotarLeotar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23HLEO Vs Igman Konjic1-1
26/02/23APosušje Vs LEO1-1
20/11/22HLEO Vs FK Sarajevo2-0
14/11/22HLEO Vs Borac Banja Luka0-1
06/11/22HLEO Vs Tuzla City4-0
29/10/22AVelež Vs LEO1-0
22/10/22HLEO Vs Siroki Brijeg1-0
16/10/22HLEO Vs Zrinjski1-1
08/10/22HLEO Vs Sloga Doboj4-1
01/10/22HLEO Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL0.95
HomeDLDWW1.50
AwayLLLDL0.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%40%0%
AVG goals2.052.501.64
Over 1.5 %57%70%45%
Over 2.5 %29%30%27%
Over 3.5 %19%20%18%
Scored0.951.500.45
Conceded1.101.001.18
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet29%30%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Leotar
Leotar
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.10
HomeWWLWD1.64
AwayWLLLD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%45%10%
AVG goals2.291.822.80
Over 1.5 %57%45%70%
Over 2.5 %33%18%50%
Over 3.5 %29%18%40%
Scored0.951.270.60
Conceded1.330.552.20
BTTS38%27%50%
Clean Sheet29%45%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3378
76%
2.4
6621+45
2.6
70%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.00.6
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3358
55%
1.8
3932+7
2.2
58%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.21.0
-
3Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3353
45%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
67%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.1
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3352
45%
1.6
5046+4
2.9
70%
48%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.4
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3348
39%
1.5
3836+2
2.2
58%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.21.1
-
6VeležVelež3345
33%
1.4
4037+3
2.3
61%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.21.1
-
7Tuzla CityTuzla City3337
30%
1.1
4346-3
2.7
64%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
8Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3337
27%
1.1
4248-6
2.7
70%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3337
30%
1.1
4055-15
2.9
76%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.21.7
-
10PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
2846-18
2.2
67%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
11LeotarLeotar3334
27%
1.0
2946-17
2.3
64%
36%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3332
21%
1.0
3241-9
2.2
61%
36%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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