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Sloboda Tuzla vs Sloga Doboj Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-3
Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla
Vs
42%
31%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda Tuzla win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj win✓ Hit
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L12L13L02L02L01L11D11D01L02LA·BOR21/05H·ZEL28/05A·FK 04/08H·POS10/08A·BOR18/08H·ZEL24/08A·SIR01/09H·VEL14/09A·IGM20/09A·RAD24/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.501.231.230.591.71
vs Stronger (17)0.821.761.141.570.601.90
vs Similar (13)0.921.151.330.830.571.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L23L11D13L11D11D13L10W00D02LA·POS12/05H·SIR20/05A·GOŠ26/05H·FK 12/08A·POS17/08A·ZEL01/09A·ZRI11/09H·SIR15/09A·VEL20/09H·IGM25/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.301.181.240.771.38
vs Stronger (11)0.641.820.712.000.501.50
vs Similar (19)1.211.001.500.700.891.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.2%
Under 1.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.1%
Under 2.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
Sloboda Tuzla goals ↓
Sloga Doboj goals →
01234
013%9.3%4.9%1.5%0.4%
113%14%6.1%1.9%0.4%
28.8%8.2%3.8%1.2%0.3%
33.6%3.4%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.1%1.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloboda Tuzla goals (down), columns = Sloga Doboj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
Sloboda Tuzla is 1.03 points worse than Sloga Doboj in terms of average points per game (0.30 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
Sloboda Tuzla is 0.42 goals worse than Sloga Doboj in terms of goals scored per game (0.64 vs 1.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
Sloboda Tuzla is 0.79 goals worse than Sloga Doboj in terms of goals conceded per game (2.15 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L11D01L01L00D10W01L00D01LA·BOR21/05H·ZEL28/05A·FK 04/08H·POS10/08A·BOR18/08H·ZEL24/08A·SIR01/09H·VEL14/09A·IGM20/09A·RAD24/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.380.540.410.82
vs Stronger (17)0.410.880.430.860.400.90
vs Similar (13)0.380.460.330.170.430.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D00D13L11D10W00D10W00D00DA·POS12/05H·SIR20/05A·GOŠ26/05H·FK 12/08A·POS17/08A·ZEL01/09A·ZRI11/09H·SIR15/09A·VEL20/09H·IGM25/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.470.530.380.62
vs Stronger (11)0.270.730.291.000.250.25
vs Similar (19)0.530.470.600.200.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D02L01L01L01L01L10W01L01LA·BOR21/05H·ZEL28/05A·FK 04/08H·POS10/08A·BOR18/08H·ZEL24/08A·SIR01/09H·VEL14/09A·IGM20/09A·RAD24/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.850.690.180.88
vs Stronger (17)0.410.880.710.710.201.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.691.000.670.140.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L11D00D00D01L13L00D00D02LA·POS12/05H·SIR20/05A·GOŠ26/05H·FK 12/08A·POS17/08A·ZEL01/09A·ZRI11/09H·SIR15/09A·VEL20/09H·IGM25/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.710.710.380.77
vs Stronger (11)0.361.090.431.000.251.25
vs Similar (19)0.680.530.900.500.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Tuzla) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Tuzla over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
ST wins
1
Draws
1
SD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloboda Tuzla vs Sloga Doboj · H/A from ST
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23HST Vs Sloga Doboj0-1
25/02/23ASloga Doboj Vs ST2-2
03/09/22HST Vs Sloga Doboj4-2

Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/24ARadnik Bijeljina Vs ST2-0
20/09/24AIgman Konjic Vs ST1-0
14/09/24HST Vs Velež1-1
01/09/24ASiroki Brijeg Vs ST1-1
24/08/24HST Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0-1
18/08/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs ST2-0
10/08/24HST Vs Posušje0-2
04/08/24AFK Sarajevo Vs ST3-1
28/05/23HST Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-2
21/05/23ABorac Banja Luka Vs ST3-2

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/09/24HSD Vs Igman Konjic0-2
20/09/24AVelež Vs SD0-0
15/09/24HSD Vs Siroki Brijeg1-0
11/09/24AZrinjski Vs SD3-1
01/09/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs SD1-1
17/08/24APosušje Vs SD1-1
12/08/24HSD Vs FK Sarajevo1-3
26/05/24AGOŠK Gabela Vs SD1-1
20/05/24HSD Vs Siroki Brijeg2-3
12/05/24APosušje Vs SD2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloboda Tuzla
Sloboda Tuzla
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL0.83
HomeWLLLD1.32
AwayLLDLL0.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%37%0%
AVG goals2.172.421.95
Over 1.5 %63%68%59%
Over 2.5 %32%37%27%
Over 3.5 %20%16%23%
Scored0.851.260.50
Conceded1.321.161.45
BTTS44%47%41%
Clean Sheet22%21%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.24
HomeLLLWL1.68
AwayDDDLD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%20%
AVG goals2.502.602.40
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored1.041.360.72
Conceded1.461.241.68
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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