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Sloboda Uzice vs Macva Result & Analysis

Date: 06/03/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 2-0
Sloboda Uzice
Sloboda Uzice
Vs
37%
35%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Macva
Macva
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda Uzice win✓ Hit
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Macva win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W15L01L02L01L00D01L00D02L02LH·RFK28/10A·GRA05/11A·OFK12/11H·TEK18/11H·IND22/11A·KOL27/11H·RAD02/12A·SEM10/12H·MLA25/02A·OFK02/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.230.801.070.731.40
vs Stronger (3)0.332.670.002.000.503.00
vs Similar (27)0.811.070.861.000.771.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L01L10W21W01L21W01L00D13LH·GRA28/10A·OFK05/11A·TEK11/11H·KOL18/11A·MET23/11A·RAD27/11H·SEM02/12A·MLA10/12H·OFK24/02A·IND02/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.901.060.560.791.29
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.930.861.060.560.771.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Uzice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.6%
Under 1.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.3%
Under 2.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.3%
Under 3.5
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.5%
No
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.5%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
11.9%
2-0 ✓
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
Sloboda Uzice goals ↓
Macva goals →
01234
016%12%5.8%1.7%0.4%
114%15%5.8%1.7%0.4%
27.8%6.8%3.0%0.9%0.2%
32.6%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
40.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloboda Uzice goals (down), columns = Macva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Beograd
1.97
Jedinstvo Ub
1.81
Indjija
1.59
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.54
Semendrija 1924
1.51
OFK Vršac
1.43
Macva
1.38
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.35
Dubočica
1.35
Grafičar
1.30
Mladost Novi Sad
1.24
Sloboda Uzice
1.24
Metalac GM
1.22
Kolubara
1.16
RFK Novi Sad
0.84
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.70
Sloboda Uzice is 0.14 points worse than Macva in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
OFK Beograd
1.70
Grafičar
1.38
Jedinstvo Ub
1.38
Indjija
1.24
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.19
Kolubara
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
Macva
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.95
Sloboda Uzice
0.92
OFK Vršac
0.89
Dubočica
0.89
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Metalac GM
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.81
Sloboda Uzice is 0.05 goals worse than Macva in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tekstilac Odžaci
0.73
Macva
0.78
OFK Vršac
0.84
Semendrija 1924
0.84
OFK Beograd
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.86
Indjija
0.95
Metalac GM
1.03
Mladost Novi Sad
1.03
Dubočica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.05
Kolubara
1.24
Grafičar
1.46
RFK Novi Sad
1.68
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.84
Sloboda Uzice is 0.27 goals worse than Macva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 0.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L02L01L00D00D00D00D01LH·RFK28/10A·GRA05/11A·OFK12/11H·TEK18/11H·IND22/11A·KOL27/11H·RAD02/12A·SEM10/12H·MLA25/02A·OFK02/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.530.330.470.130.60
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (27)0.260.440.360.430.150.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D21W01L10W01L00D11DH·GRA28/10A·OFK05/11A·TEK11/11H·KOL18/11A·MET23/11A·RAD27/11H·SEM02/12A·MLA10/12H·OFK24/02A·IND02/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.440.120.570.64
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.480.380.440.120.540.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Uzice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L00D00D00D00D01L00D02L01LH·RFK28/10A·GRA05/11A·OFK12/11H·TEK18/11H·IND22/11A·KOL27/11H·RAD02/12A·SEM10/12H·MLA25/02A·OFK02/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.470.600.600.80
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.001.000.501.50
vs Similar (27)0.560.630.500.570.620.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D10W00D00D11D00D00D02LH·GRA28/10A·OFK05/11A·TEK11/11H·KOL18/11A·MET23/11A·RAD27/11H·SEM02/12A·MLA10/12H·OFK24/02A·IND02/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.620.440.210.64
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.450.480.620.440.230.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloboda Uzice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda Uzice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.570.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Macva · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Vidakov50%
Đorđe Đorđić17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Ristivojević50%
Kristijan Tojčić50%
Sani Abdullahi50%
Milan Vidakov33%
Luka Pejović33%
Slobodan Sladojević33%
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Boško Vraštanović20%
Darko Terzić20%
Vladimir Ilić20%
Vladimir Rakić17%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Slobodan Sladojević17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Milan Vidakov0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milan Vidakov33%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (28)
€18m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€6m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (8)
€4m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€8m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
SU wins
2
Draws
0
MAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloboda Uzice vs Macva · H/A from SU
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/23AMacva Vs SU0-0
27/05/23HSU Vs Macva1-0
06/11/22AMacva Vs SU0-0
08/08/22HSU Vs Macva2-1

Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24AOFK Vršac Vs SU2-0
25/02/24HSU Vs Mladost Novi Sad0-2
10/12/23ASemendrija 1924 Vs SU0-0
02/12/23HSU Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica0-1
27/11/23AKolubara Vs SU0-0
22/11/23HSU Vs Indjija0-1
18/11/23HSU Vs Tekstilac Odžaci0-2
12/11/23AOFK Beograd Vs SU1-0
05/11/23AGrafičar Vs SU5-1
28/10/23HSU Vs RFK Novi Sad2-1

MacvaMacva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24AIndjija Vs MAC3-1
24/02/24HMAC Vs OFK Vršac0-0
10/12/23AMladost Novi Sad Vs MAC1-0
02/12/23HMAC Vs Semendrija 19242-1
27/11/23ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs MAC1-0
23/11/23AMetalac GM Vs MAC1-2
18/11/23HMAC Vs Kolubara1-0
11/11/23ATekstilac Odžaci Vs MAC1-0
05/11/23AOFK Beograd Vs MAC2-1
28/10/23HMAC Vs Grafičar0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloboda Uzice
Sloboda Uzice
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.16
HomeWLLLL1.42
AwayLLDDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%35%12%
AVG goals1.961.852.08
Over 1.5 %54%58%50%
Over 2.5 %30%35%25%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored0.860.960.75
Conceded1.100.881.33
BTTS38%31%46%
Clean Sheet40%46%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Macva
Macva
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.30
HomeLDWWD1.68
AwayLWLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals1.761.561.96
Over 1.5 %52%52%52%
Over 2.5 %34%28%40%
Over 3.5 %14%8%20%
Scored0.901.000.80
Conceded0.860.561.16
BTTS40%36%44%
Clean Sheet40%52%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OFK BeogradOFK Beograd3773
59%
2.0
6332+31
2.6
76%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
6481.70.9
-
2Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3767
54%
1.8
5139+12
2.4
68%
46%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
3IndjijaIndjija3759
46%
1.6
4635+11
2.2
68%
43%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
4Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3757
41%
1.5
4427+17
1.9
51%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.7
-
5Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243756
38%
1.5
4031+9
1.9
62%
41%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.8
-
6OFK VršacOFK Vršac3753
38%
1.4
3331+2
1.7
49%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.90.8
-
7MacvaMacva3751
35%
1.4
3629+7
1.8
51%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.00.8
-
8Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3750
35%
1.4
3032-2
1.7
41%
19%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
9DubočicaDubočica3750
32%
1.4
3338-5
1.9
57%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.0
-
10GrafičarGrafičar3748
32%
1.3
5154-3
2.8
78%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.5
-
11Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3746
30%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
65%
24%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3746
30%
1.2
3439-5
2.0
59%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Metalac GMMetalac GM3745
30%
1.2
3238-6
1.9
57%
27%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
14KolubaraKolubara3743
27%
1.2
4246-4
2.4
70%
35%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
15RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad3731
22%
0.8
3762-25
2.7
65%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3726
16%
0.7
3268-36
2.7
78%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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