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Sloga Doboj vs Borac Banja Luka Result & Analysis

Date: 28/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Vs
37%
31%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Sloga Doboj and Borac Banja Luka is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away triumph. Home advantage gives Sloga a 37% chance to lift the trophy, while a 31% draw and a 32% away win are also realistic. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the most probable total of two goals carries a 28% probability. The single score most likely to materialise is 1-1, with a 14.5% chance, reflecting the evenly matched nature of the sides.

Sloga, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Borac, on the road against a weaker side, nets 0.92 and concedes 1.08. The model’s selection, Under 3.5, enjoys a 79.4% probability of hitting.

Recent form adds nuance: Sloga, after a 0-0 draw with Celik, is coming off a draw, whereas Borac, unbeaten in five matches with a 2-0 win over Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, remains on a winning streak. The match remains finely balanced, with the home side just edging the odds.

Results analysis

The updated form storyline shows Sloga Doboj coming off a draw, while Borac Banja Luka remain unbeaten in their last five. The Pythia model predicted a home win with a 37% probability, and that call proved correct as Sloga Doboj secured a 2-1 victory. The expected total of 2.3 goals aligned with the 2-goal outcome, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 was not realized. The model’s sole additional selection, Under 3.5 goals, hit with a 79.4% probability, confirming the match’s low-scoring nature. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely accurate, delivering a correct favourite and a successful secondary pick.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloga Doboj win✓ Hit
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L02L11D20W10W03L11D21W13L01LA·ZEL19/03H·VEL02/04A·FK 07/04H·POS15/04A·SLO22/04A·IGM27/04H·LEO30/04A·TUZ06/05H·ZRI12/05A·SIR21/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.731.151.231.002.12
vs Stronger (10)0.801.900.751.000.832.50
vs Similar (20)1.201.651.331.331.091.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W22D03L32W10W20W02L10W01L32WH·LEO18/03A·TUZ31/03H·ZRI08/04A·SIR15/04H·IGM24/04H·ZEL27/04A·VEL01/05H·FK 07/05A·POS14/05H·SLO21/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.831.500.620.791.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.401.000.671.000.001.00
vs Weaker (25)1.320.801.690.540.921.08
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
9.5%
2-1 ✓
8.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
Sloga Doboj goals ↓
Borac Banja Luka goals →
01234
011%9.5%6.0%2.2%0.6%
111%15%7.3%2.7%0.8%
27.2%8.0%4.4%1.6%0.5%
32.9%3.2%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.9%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloga Doboj goals (down), columns = Borac Banja Luka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.36
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.61
FK Sarajevo
1.58
Siroki Brijeg
1.45
Velež
1.36
Sloga Doboj
1.12
Tuzla City
1.12
Igman Konjic
1.12
Posušje
1.12
Leotar
1.03
Sloboda Tuzla
0.97
Sloga Doboj is 0.64 points worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.00
FK Sarajevo
1.52
Tuzla City
1.30
Igman Konjic
1.27
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.27
Sloga Doboj
1.21
Velež
1.21
Borac Banja Luka
1.18
Siroki Brijeg
1.15
Sloboda Tuzla
0.97
Leotar
0.88
Posušje
0.85
Sloga Doboj is 0.03 goals better than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zrinjski
0.64
Borac Banja Luka
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.06
Siroki Brijeg
1.09
Velež
1.12
Sloboda Tuzla
1.24
FK Sarajevo
1.39
Tuzla City
1.39
Posušje
1.39
Leotar
1.39
Igman Konjic
1.45
Sloga Doboj
1.67
Sloga Doboj is 0.70 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L00D00D00D10W11D12L01LA·ZEL19/03H·VEL02/04A·FK 07/04H·POS15/04A·SLO22/04A·IGM27/04H·LEO30/04A·TUZ06/05H·ZRI12/05A·SIR21/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.540.620.410.82
vs Stronger (10)0.400.800.500.500.331.00
vs Similar (20)0.500.700.560.670.450.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W01L11D10W00D01L00D00D11DH·LEO18/03A·TUZ31/03H·ZRI08/04A·SIR15/04H·IGM24/04H·ZEL27/04A·VEL01/05H·FK 07/05A·POS14/05H·SLO21/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.300.690.190.290.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.200.200.330.330.000.00
vs Weaker (25)0.560.320.770.150.330.50
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L10W20W10W03L01L10W01L00DA·ZEL19/03H·VEL02/04A·FK 07/04H·POS15/04A·SLO22/04A·IGM27/04H·LEO30/04A·TUZ06/05H·ZRI12/05A·SIR21/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.620.620.591.29
vs Stronger (10)0.401.100.250.500.501.50
vs Similar (20)0.700.950.780.670.641.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L02L21W00D20W01L10W01L21WH·LEO18/03A·TUZ31/03H·ZRI08/04A·SIR15/04H·IGM24/04H·ZEL27/04A·VEL01/05H·FK 07/05A·POS14/05H·SLO21/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.810.440.500.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.200.800.330.670.001.00
vs Weaker (25)0.760.480.920.380.580.58
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Borac Banja Luka · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Sloga Doboj's squad is €6m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€3m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Sloga Doboj's attack is €3m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€2m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Sloga Doboj and Borac Banja Luka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Sloga Doboj's defence is €2m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€1m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
SD wins
1
Draws
1
BBL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloga Doboj vs Borac Banja Luka · H/A from SD
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22ABorac Banja Luka Vs SD2-1
18/07/22HSD Vs Borac Banja Luka2-2

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23ASiroki Brijeg Vs SD1-0
12/05/23HSD Vs Zrinjski1-3
06/05/23ATuzla City Vs SD1-2
30/04/23HSD Vs Leotar1-1
27/04/23AIgman Konjic Vs SD3-0
22/04/23ASloboda Tuzla Vs SD0-1
15/04/23HSD Vs Posušje2-0
07/04/23AFK Sarajevo Vs SD1-1
02/04/23HSD Vs Velež0-2
19/03/23AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs SD4-1

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23HBBL Vs Sloboda Tuzla3-2
14/05/23APosušje Vs BBL1-0
07/05/23HBBL Vs FK Sarajevo1-0
01/05/23AVelež Vs BBL2-0
27/04/23HBBL Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2-0
24/04/23HBBL Vs Igman Konjic1-0
15/04/23ASiroki Brijeg Vs BBL2-3
08/04/23HBBL Vs Zrinjski0-3
31/03/23ATuzla City Vs BBL2-2
18/03/23HBBL Vs Leotar2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.06
HomeLLWDL1.47
AwayDWLWL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%18%
AVG goals2.882.603.12
Over 1.5 %75%73%76%
Over 2.5 %56%47%65%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.191.401.00
Conceded1.691.202.12
BTTS47%40%53%
Clean Sheet25%33%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.79
HomeLWWWW2.39
AwayLDWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%78%31%
AVG goals2.182.222.12
Over 1.5 %59%61%56%
Over 2.5 %38%44%31%
Over 3.5 %21%17%25%
Scored1.211.500.88
Conceded0.970.721.25
BTTS32%33%31%
Clean Sheet41%56%25%
Corners9.007.0011.00
Cards8.003.0013.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3378
76%
2.4
6621+45
2.6
70%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.00.6
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3358
55%
1.8
3932+7
2.2
58%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.21.0
-
3Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3353
45%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
67%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.1
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3352
45%
1.6
5046+4
2.9
70%
48%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.4
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3348
39%
1.5
3836+2
2.2
58%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.21.1
-
6VeležVelež3345
33%
1.4
4037+3
2.3
61%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.21.1
-
7Tuzla CityTuzla City3337
30%
1.1
4346-3
2.7
64%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
8Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3337
27%
1.1
4248-6
2.7
70%
48%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3337
30%
1.1
4055-15
2.9
76%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.21.7
-
10PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
2846-18
2.2
67%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
11LeotarLeotar3334
27%
1.0
2946-17
2.3
64%
36%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3332
21%
1.0
3241-9
2.2
61%
36%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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