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Sloga Doboj vs FK Sarajevo Result & Analysis

Date: 09/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Vs
20%
26%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloga Doboj win✓ Hit
20.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo win✗ Miss
54.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W04L13L04L01L41W01L03L21WH·IGM13/04A·GOŠ18/04H·ZRI23/04A·BOR28/04H·FK 03/05A·ZEL11/05H·SLO17/05H·SIR25/05A·VEL31/05H·VEL26/07
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.371.191.311.001.43
vs Stronger (10)0.602.600.802.600.402.60
vs Similar (20)1.350.751.360.731.330.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W40W01L11D22D11D21W21W04L44DA·SLO03/05H·SIR07/05H·SIR10/05A·SIR14/05A·VEL18/05H·RAD25/05A·POS31/05H·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.901.440.941.430.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.671.080.711.000.601.20
vs Weaker (18)1.940.782.000.891.890.67
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-1 ✓
5.6%
Sloga Doboj goals ↓
FK Sarajevo goals →
01234
07.3%9.9%9.8%5.8%2.6%
15.1%12%9.8%5.8%2.6%
23.1%5.6%4.9%2.9%1.3%
31.0%1.9%1.6%1.0%0.4%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloga Doboj goals (down), columns = FK Sarajevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Sloga Doboj is 0.86 points worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.81).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Sloga Doboj is 0.92 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals scored per game (0.58 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Sloga Doboj is 0.25 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D02L10W02L00D41W01L02L21WH·IGM13/04A·GOŠ18/04H·ZRI23/04A·BOR28/04H·FK 03/05A·ZEL11/05H·SLO17/05H·SIR25/05A·VEL31/05H·VEL26/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.940.500.360.50
vs Stronger (10)0.400.700.400.800.400.60
vs Similar (20)0.800.401.180.360.330.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W01L00D21W11D11D20W00D10WA·SLO03/05H·SIR07/05H·SIR10/05A·SIR14/05A·VEL18/05H·RAD25/05A·POS31/05H·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.370.620.380.710.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.420.430.430.400.40
vs Weaker (18)0.830.330.780.330.890.33
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W02L03L02L01L00D00D01L00DH·IGM13/04A·GOŠ18/04H·ZRI23/04A·BOR28/04H·FK 03/05A·ZEL11/05H·SLO17/05H·SIR25/05A·VEL31/05H·VEL26/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.250.810.640.93
vs Stronger (10)0.201.900.401.800.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.550.350.180.361.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W20W00D11D01L00D10W01L04L34LA·SLO03/05H·SIR07/05H·SIR10/05A·SIR14/05A·VEL18/05H·RAD25/05A·POS31/05H·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.810.560.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.670.290.570.200.80
vs Weaker (18)1.110.441.220.561.000.33
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Sloga Doboj's squad is €6m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€3m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Sloga Doboj's attack is €1m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Sloga Doboj's midfield is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€0m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Sloga Doboj's defence is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
SD wins
1
Draws
5
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloga Doboj vs FK Sarajevo · H/A from SD
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HSD Vs FK Sarajevo0-4
09/02/25AFK Sarajevo Vs SD3-1
09/11/24AFK Sarajevo Vs SD2-0
12/08/24HSD Vs FK Sarajevo1-3
04/05/24HSD Vs FK Sarajevo0-1
28/10/23HSD Vs FK Sarajevo3-0
30/07/23AFK Sarajevo Vs SD1-2
07/04/23AFK Sarajevo Vs SD1-1

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25HSD Vs Velež2-1
31/05/25AVelež Vs SD3-0
25/05/25HSD Vs Siroki Brijeg0-1
17/05/25HSD Vs Sloboda Tuzla4-1
11/05/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs SD1-0
03/05/25HSD Vs FK Sarajevo0-4
28/04/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs SD3-1
23/04/25HSD Vs Zrinjski0-4
18/04/25AGOŠK Gabela Vs SD1-2
13/04/25HSD Vs Igman Konjic0-1

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/25HFS Vs Radnik Bijeljina4-4
31/07/25AUniversitatea Craiova Vs FS4-0
24/07/25HFS Vs Universitatea Craiova2-1
31/05/25APosušje Vs FS1-2
25/05/25HFS Vs Radnik Bijeljina1-1
18/05/25AVelež Vs FS2-2
14/05/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs FS1-1
10/05/25HFS Vs Siroki Brijeg0-1
07/05/25HFS Vs Siroki Brijeg4-0
03/05/25ASloga Doboj Vs FS0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.24
HomeLLWLW1.40
AwayDWLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.442.562.32
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.061.160.96
Conceded1.381.401.36
BTTS40%36%44%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLD1.84
HomeWLDWD1.73
AwayWDDWL1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%46%54%
AVG goals2.582.502.67
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.681.621.75
Conceded0.900.880.92
BTTS42%50%33%
Clean Sheet44%35%54%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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