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Sloga Doboj vs Velež Result & Analysis

Date: 16/02/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 0-0
Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Vs
36%
28%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloga Doboj win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D01L02L02L04L42W10W31W13LH·GOŠ26/10A·GOR30/10H·ZRI02/11A·FK 09/11H·BOR20/11A·BOR01/12H·ZEL04/12A·SIR08/12H·POS15/12A·FK 09/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.471.291.500.691.44
vs Stronger (13)0.622.150.712.000.502.33
vs Similar (17)1.240.941.861.000.800.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L30W20W00D12L31W21W11D10W21WA·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10H·BOR02/11A·ZEL10/11H·SIR23/11H·RAD29/11A·IGM03/12H·SLO07/12H·RAD08/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.231.500.811.571.71
vs Stronger (9)0.442.000.500.750.403.00
vs Similar (15)1.870.931.670.672.171.33
vs Weaker (6)2.330.832.331.332.330.33
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.5%
0-0 ✓
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
Sloga Doboj goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
07.5%7.5%6.1%2.8%1.0%
17.4%13%8.4%3.9%1.4%
25.9%8.3%5.8%2.7%0.9%
32.7%3.8%2.6%1.2%0.4%
40.9%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloga Doboj goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
Sloga Doboj is 0.06 points better than Velež in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
Sloga Doboj is 0.30 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
Sloga Doboj is 0.18 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D01L00D00D20W00D31W12LH·GOŠ26/10A·GOR30/10H·ZRI02/11A·FK 09/11H·BOR20/11A·BOR01/12H·ZEL04/12A·SIR08/12H·POS15/12A·FK 09/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.930.430.250.62
vs Stronger (13)0.380.540.430.430.330.67
vs Similar (17)0.710.531.430.430.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D00D20W01L11D00D10WA·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10H·BOR02/11A·ZEL10/11H·SIR23/11H·RAD29/11A·IGM03/12H·SLO07/12H·RAD08/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.500.380.640.64
vs Stronger (9)0.001.000.000.750.001.20
vs Similar (15)0.730.330.670.220.830.50
vs Weaker (6)1.000.170.670.331.330.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L01L02L04L22D10W00D01LH·GOŠ26/10A·GOR30/10H·ZRI02/11A·FK 09/11H·BOR20/11A·BOR01/12H·ZEL04/12A·SIR08/12H·POS15/12A·FK 09/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.930.361.070.440.81
vs Stronger (13)0.231.620.291.570.171.67
vs Similar (17)0.530.410.430.570.600.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W20W00D12L11D20W00D10W11DA·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10H·BOR02/11A·ZEL10/11H·SIR23/11H·RAD29/11A·IGM03/12H·SLO07/12H·RAD08/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.731.000.440.931.07
vs Stronger (9)0.441.000.500.000.401.80
vs Similar (15)1.130.601.000.441.330.83
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.671.001.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
SD wins
3
Draws
3
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloga Doboj vs Velež · H/A from SD
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/24AVelež Vs SD0-0
23/04/24AVelež Vs SD1-0
16/02/24HSD Vs Velež0-0
23/09/23AVelež Vs SD4-2
02/04/23HSD Vs Velež0-2
19/11/22AVelež Vs SD2-2
30/08/22HSD Vs Velež3-0

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/02/25AFK Sarajevo Vs SD3-1
15/12/24HSD Vs Posušje3-1
08/12/24ASiroki Brijeg Vs SD0-1
04/12/24HSD Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo4-2
01/12/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs SD4-0
20/11/24HSD Vs Borac Banja Luka0-2
09/11/24AFK Sarajevo Vs SD2-0
02/11/24HSD Vs Zrinjski0-1
30/10/24AGornji Rahić Vs SD0-0
26/10/24HSD Vs GOŠK Gabela2-0

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/25HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-1
07/12/24HVEL Vs Sloboda Tuzla1-0
03/12/24AIgman Konjic Vs VEL1-1
29/11/24HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-1
23/11/24HVEL Vs Siroki Brijeg3-1
10/11/24AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs VEL2-1
02/11/24HVEL Vs Borac Banja Luka0-0
30/10/24ASvatovac Poljice Vs VEL0-2
26/10/24HVEL Vs Posušje3-0
19/10/24AFK Sarajevo Vs VEL4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.22
HomeWLLWW1.76
AwayDLLWL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%56%16%
AVG goals2.602.682.52
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.101.480.72
Conceded1.501.201.80
BTTS36%36%36%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.68
HomeDWWWW2.04
AwayLLWLD1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%36%
AVG goals2.542.282.80
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.481.561.40
Conceded1.060.721.40
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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