PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Sloga Doboj vs Velež Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Vs
31%
30%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloga Doboj win✓ Hit
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win✗ Miss
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L21W04L13L04L01L41W01L03LA·POS06/04H·IGM13/04A·GOŠ18/04H·ZRI23/04A·BOR28/04H·FK 03/05A·ZEL11/05H·SLO17/05H·SIR25/05A·VEL31/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.331.131.330.931.33
vs Stronger (10)0.602.600.802.600.402.60
vs Similar (20)1.250.701.300.701.200.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D32W02L22D10W01L01L22D12L30WA·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04A·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05A·BOR10/05H·FK 18/05A·ZEL25/05H·SLO31/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.201.601.000.931.40
vs Stronger (9)0.331.330.400.800.252.00
vs Similar (16)1.751.312.381.121.121.50
vs Weaker (5)1.400.601.501.001.330.33
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
2-1 ✓
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
Sloga Doboj goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
09.8%10%7.5%3.3%1.1%
18.4%14%8.5%3.8%1.2%
25.5%7.3%4.8%2.1%0.7%
32.1%2.8%1.8%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloga Doboj goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Sloga Doboj is 0.47 points worse than Velež in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Sloga Doboj is 0.42 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (0.58 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Sloga Doboj is 0.31 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D00D02L10W02L00D41W01L02LA·POS06/04H·IGM13/04A·GOŠ18/04H·ZRI23/04A·BOR28/04H·FK 03/05A·ZEL11/05H·SLO17/05H·SIR25/05A·VEL31/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.870.470.330.47
vs Stronger (10)0.400.700.400.800.400.60
vs Similar (20)0.700.351.100.300.300.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W02L01L10W00D01L12L01L20WA·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04A·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05A·BOR10/05H·FK 18/05A·ZEL25/05H·SLO31/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.600.530.400.53
vs Stronger (9)0.110.670.200.600.000.75
vs Similar (16)0.690.560.880.500.500.62
vs Weaker (5)0.600.200.500.500.670.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W02L03L02L01L00D00D01LA·POS06/04H·IGM13/04A·GOŠ18/04H·ZRI23/04A·BOR28/04H·FK 03/05A·ZEL11/05H·SLO17/05H·SIR25/05A·VEL31/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.270.870.600.87
vs Stronger (10)0.201.900.401.800.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.550.350.200.400.900.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D21W00D01L00D10W11D10WA·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04A·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05A·BOR10/05H·FK 18/05A·ZEL25/05H·SLO31/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.671.000.470.530.87
vs Stronger (9)0.220.670.200.200.251.25
vs Similar (16)1.060.751.500.620.620.88
vs Weaker (5)0.800.401.000.500.670.33
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
SD wins
4
Draws
4
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloga Doboj vs Velež · H/A from SD
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25AVelež Vs SD3-0
16/02/25HSD Vs Velež0-0
20/09/24AVelež Vs SD0-0
23/04/24AVelež Vs SD1-0
16/02/24HSD Vs Velež0-0
23/09/23AVelež Vs SD4-2
02/04/23HSD Vs Velež0-2
19/11/22AVelež Vs SD2-2

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25AVelež Vs SD3-0
25/05/25HSD Vs Siroki Brijeg0-1
17/05/25HSD Vs Sloboda Tuzla4-1
11/05/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs SD1-0
03/05/25HSD Vs FK Sarajevo0-4
28/04/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs SD3-1
23/04/25HSD Vs Zrinjski0-4
18/04/25AGOŠK Gabela Vs SD1-2
13/04/25HSD Vs Igman Konjic0-1
06/04/25APosušje Vs SD0-0

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25HVEL Vs Sloga Doboj3-0
25/05/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs VEL2-1
18/05/25HVEL Vs FK Sarajevo2-2
10/05/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL1-0
03/05/25HVEL Vs Zrinjski0-1
27/04/25AGOŠK Gabela Vs VEL0-1
22/04/25HVEL Vs Igman Konjic2-2
17/04/25APosušje Vs VEL2-0
13/04/25HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina3-2
04/04/25ASloboda Tuzla Vs VEL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.20
HomeLLLWL1.32
AwayDWLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.382.442.32
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.361.361.36
BTTS38%32%44%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.44
HomeWDLDW1.72
AwayDLWLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.622.522.72
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.421.561.28
Conceded1.200.961.44
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

← all matches