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Sloga Doboj vs Velež Prediction & Stats

Date: 31/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Vs
36%
34%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity is the headline for this encounter, with both sides averaging fewer than one goal conceded per game against comparable opposition. The model favours a home win, assigning 38% to Sloga Doboj, 33% to a draw and 30% to Velež. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% probability. Sloga’s home form shows 1.33 goals scored and 0.78 conceded, while Velež’s away record is 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.3%), Under 5.5 (98.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 4.5 (94.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.7%), and Home under 2.5 goals (89.6%). Sloga is coming off a win, whereas Velež is returning from a defeat.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloga Doboj win
36.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W03L00D10W10W00D02L10W00DA·BOR26/04H·SIR02/05A·ZEL10/05H·RAD16/05A·POS22/05H·RUD26/05A·SIR08/08A·VEL22/08A·BSK29/08H·ČEL01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.330.711.290.501.38
vs Stronger (11)0.182.090.002.400.331.83
vs Similar (18)0.830.941.110.670.561.22
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D42W23L03L13L02L20W03L11DA·POS09/05H·ZRI13/05H·RUD16/05H·FK 21/05A·ZRI26/05A·BOR09/08A·BSK16/08H·SLO22/08A·ČEL28/08H·RAD02/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.031.670.730.801.33
vs Stronger (11)1.001.451.401.200.671.67
vs Similar (18)1.440.721.800.501.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
59.6%
Under 1.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.2%
Under 2.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
13.5%
Under 3.5
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
40.2%
No
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.5%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
Sloga Doboj goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
015%12%5.9%1.8%0.4%
113%15%6.2%1.9%0.4%
27.7%7.0%3.2%1.0%0.2%
32.7%2.4%1.1%0.3%0.1%
40.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloga Doboj goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Čelik
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
BSK Banja Luka
1.22
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Sloga Doboj is 0.47 points worse than Velež in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Čelik
1.07
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
BSK Banja Luka
0.96
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Sloga Doboj is 0.42 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (0.58 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
Čelik
1.09
BSK Banja Luka
1.21
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Sloga Doboj is 0.31 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sloga Doboj or Draw
70.3%
Avg Implied -
36%
34%
30%
covers Sloga Doboj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj or Velež
66.2%
Avg Implied -
36%
34%
30%
covers Sloga Doboj + Velež
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Velež
63.5%
Avg Implied -
36%
34%
30%
covers Draw + Velež
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5
Over
64.8%
Under
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5
Over
28.0%
Under
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5
Over
60.0%
Under
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5
Over
23.3%
Under
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Sloga Doboj, so a minus line means Sloga Doboj give that many goals of a start and Velež receive them. At -1, Sloga Doboj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sloga Doboj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sloga Doboj)
Sloga Doboj -2
4.4%
Draw -2
10.4%
Velež +2
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sloga Doboj)
Sloga Doboj -1
14.9%
Draw -1
21.6%
Velež +1
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sloga Doboj)
Sloga Doboj +1
70.3%
Draw +1
18.8%
Velež -1
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sloga Doboj)
Sloga Doboj +2
89.1%
Draw +2
8.0%
Velež -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D00D00D10W00D01L10W00DA·BOR26/04H·SIR02/05A·ZEL10/05H·RAD16/05A·POS22/05H·RUD26/05A·SIR08/08A·VEL22/08A·BSK29/08H·ČEL01/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.670.290.710.190.62
vs Stronger (11)0.000.730.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (18)0.330.670.440.560.220.78
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L32W10W02L02L01L10W02L00DA·POS09/05H·ZRI13/05H·RUD16/05H·FK 21/05A·ZRI26/05A·BOR09/08A·BSK16/08H·SLO22/08A·ČEL28/08H·RAD02/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.870.400.330.80
vs Stronger (11)0.360.910.600.600.171.17
vs Similar (18)0.780.391.000.300.500.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W03L00D10W00D00D01L00D00DA·BOR26/04H·SIR02/05A·ZEL10/05H·RAD16/05A·POS22/05H·RUD26/05A·SIR08/08A·VEL22/08A·BSK29/08H·ČEL01/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.700.290.640.310.75
vs Stronger (11)0.181.360.001.400.331.33
vs Similar (18)0.390.330.440.220.330.44
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W13L01L11D01L10W01L11DA·POS09/05H·ZRI13/05H·RUD16/05H·FK 21/05A·ZRI26/05A·BOR09/08A·BSK16/08H·SLO22/08A·ČEL28/08H·RAD02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.800.330.470.53
vs Stronger (11)0.640.550.800.600.500.50
vs Similar (18)0.670.330.800.200.500.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.6%-------
Under 5.598.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.8%-------
Under 4.595.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals93.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals91.2%-------
Home +2 handicap89.1%-------
Under 3.586.5%-------
Away +2 handicap85.1%-------
Away under 1.5 goals76.7%-------
Home under 1.5 goals72.0%-------
Home or Draw70.3%-------
Home +1 handicap70.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
ČEL (26)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
BBL (23)
€2m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
ČEL (7)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
BBL (9)
€1m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
ČEL (8)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
BBL (4)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
ČEL (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
BBL (10)
€1m
Sloga Doboj and Velež have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SD wins
1
Draws
6
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sloga Doboj vs Velež · H/A from SD
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AVelež Vs SD2-0
15/04/26HSD Vs Velež0-3
11/04/26AVelež Vs SD0-0
08/04/26AVelež Vs SD3-1
13/12/25HSD Vs Velež1-2
04/10/25AVelež Vs SD2-0
26/07/25HSD Vs Velež2-1
31/05/25AVelež Vs SD3-0

Sloga DobojSloga Doboj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HSD Vs Čelik0-0
29/08/26ABSK Banja Luka Vs SD0-1
22/08/26AVelež Vs SD2-0
08/08/26ASiroki Brijeg Vs SD0-0
26/05/26HSD Vs Rudar Prijedor1-0
22/05/26APosušje Vs SD0-1
16/05/26HSD Vs Radnik Bijeljina0-0
10/05/26AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs SD3-0
02/05/26HSD Vs Siroki Brijeg2-0
26/04/26ABorac Banja Luka Vs SD3-1

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina1-1
28/08/26AČelik Vs VEL3-0
22/08/26HVEL Vs Sloga Doboj2-0
16/08/26ABSK Banja Luka Vs VEL2-0
09/08/26ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL3-1
26/05/26AZrinjski Vs VEL3-0
21/05/26HVEL Vs FK Sarajevo2-3
16/05/26HVEL Vs Rudar Prijedor4-2
13/05/26HVEL Vs Zrinjski1-1
09/05/26APosušje Vs VEL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloga Doboj
Sloga Doboj
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWD1.02
HomeLWDWD1.33
AwayLWDLW0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%15%
AVG goals2.001.962.04
Over 1.5 %52%54%50%
Over 2.5 %40%42%38%
Over 3.5 %18%12%23%
Scored0.780.920.65
Conceded1.221.041.38
BTTS24%25%23%
Clean Sheet36%38%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.54
HomeDWLWD1.92
AwayDLLLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals2.142.082.20
Over 1.5 %58%52%64%
Over 2.5 %40%32%48%
Over 3.5 %18%20%16%
Scored1.161.400.92
Conceded0.980.681.28
BTTS38%36%40%
Clean Sheet36%52%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski515
100%
3.0
133+10
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.60.6
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.20.8
-
3Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.21.0
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3330.80.5
-
5Sloga DobojSloga Doboj45
25%
1.2
12-1
0.8
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.20.5
-
6ČelikČelik54
20%
0.8
56-1
2.2
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.2
-
7Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo44
25%
1.0
36-3
2.2
100%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.81.5
-
8VeležVelež54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
100%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.81.8
-
9BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka53
20%
0.6
47-3
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.4
-
10Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina53
0%
0.6
510-5
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.02.0
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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