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Slonim vs BATE II Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 1-1
Slonim
Slonim
Vs
27%
28%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BATE II
BATE II
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win for BATE II, with a 45% chance of victory, a 28% draw probability, and a 27% home win chance. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderate scoring match, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.5% probability. Slonim, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.2 conceded, while BATE II, in away form, has not provided specific away figures but has shown resilience with a 2-2 draw against Gomel II. Recent form suggests Slonim is coming off a defeat, whereas BATE II is off a draw, hinting at a competitive encounter. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 74.6% chance and Under 3.5 with a 73.5% chance, each noted as a hit. The final score of 1-1 confirms the predicted draw, but the model’s preferred outcome remains an away win.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, an away win for BATE II, fell short as Slonim held them to a 1-1 draw, extending the home side’s shaky run of LWLWL. The model had given BATE II a 45% chance of triumph, but the result proved wrong. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a 74.6% probability, while its Under 3.5 pick also succeeded at 73.5%. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a 13.5% chance, materialised, and the expected total of 2.6 goals was exceeded by the single goal each side. Overall, the prediction missed the favourite but captured the total-goals outcome accurately.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slonim win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BATE II win✗ Miss
45.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L04L01L16L03L05L00D12L21W10WA·BUM31/07A·BEL05/08H·TOR10/08A·VOL17/08H·NIV24/08A·ML 31/08H·BAR07/09A·MOL14/09H·OST21/09A·SHA29/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.832.101.002.200.672.00
vs Stronger (29)0.862.101.002.200.712.00
vs Similar (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BATE IIBATE II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W01L13L00D11D21W05L02L40WA·ML 01/08A·BAR05/08H·MOL12/08A·OST17/08H·SHA26/08H·FC 31/08A·LOK06/09H·DIN11/09A·LID20/09H·ORS28/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.351.271.541.081.151.46
vs Stronger (3)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.451.361.731.181.181.55
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.5%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
Slonim goals ↓
BATE II goals →
01234
08.6%9.9%8.3%4.2%1.6%
16.9%13%9.2%4.6%1.7%
24.5%6.7%5.1%2.5%1.0%
31.6%2.5%1.9%0.9%0.4%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slonim goals (down), columns = BATE II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.24
Belshina
2.18
ML Vitebsk
2.15
Niva
2.06
Volna
1.94
Dinamo Minsk II
1.53
Lida
1.53
BATE II
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Orsha
1.32
Ostrovets FC
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.03
Baranovichi
1.00
ABFF U17
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.91
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.85
Slonim
0.76
Torpedo BelAZ II
0.62
Slonim is 0.68 points worse than BATE II in terms of average points per game (0.76 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Belshina
2.47
ML Vitebsk
2.21
Niva
2.15
Volna
2.06
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.82
Dinamo Minsk II
1.59
Bumprom
1.47
Lida
1.41
Orsha
1.35
BATE II
1.35
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.24
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.06
Torpedo BelAZ II
1.00
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.97
ABFF U17
0.91
Baranovichi
0.88
Slonim
0.76
Slonim is 0.59 goals worse than BATE II in terms of goals scored per game (0.76 vs 1.35).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.76
ML Vitebsk
0.79
Niva
1.00
Bumprom
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.15
Lida
1.18
Belshina
1.24
Volna
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.47
Orsha
1.50
ABFF U17
1.53
BATE II
1.59
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.62
Ostrovets FC
1.68
Baranovichi
1.76
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.79
Slonim
1.91
Torpedo BelAZ II
2.68
Slonim is 0.32 goals worse than BATE II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.91 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SlonimSlonim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L11D01L03L00D11D10W10WA·BUM31/07A·BEL05/08H·TOR10/08A·VOL17/08H·NIV24/08A·ML 31/08H·BAR07/09A·MOL14/09H·OST21/09A·SHA29/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.930.271.000.400.87
vs Stronger (29)0.340.930.271.000.430.86
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BATE IIBATE II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W00D00D20W02L01L10WA·ML 01/08A·BAR05/08H·MOL12/08A·OST17/08H·SHA26/08H·FC 31/08A·LOK06/09H·DIN11/09A·LID20/09H·ORS28/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.580.380.620.620.54
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.640.360.640.550.64
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slonim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SlonimSlonim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L03L00D05L02L02L00D01L11D00DA·BUM31/07A·BEL05/08H·TOR10/08A·VOL17/08H·NIV24/08A·ML 31/08H·BAR07/09A·MOL14/09H·OST21/09A·SHA29/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.170.731.200.271.13
vs Stronger (29)0.521.170.731.200.291.14
vs Similar (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BATE IIBATE II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L03L00D11D01L03L01L30WA·ML 01/08A·BAR05/08H·MOL12/08A·OST17/08H·SHA26/08H·FC 31/08A·LOK06/09H·DIN11/09A·LID20/09H·ORS28/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.850.691.150.460.540.92
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.000.731.360.550.640.91
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slonim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
Slonim and BATE II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Slonim and BATE II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Slonim and BATE II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Slonim and BATE II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SLO wins
1
Draws
0
BI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slonim vs BATE II · H/A from SLO
DateH/AGameScore
08/06/24ABATE II Vs SLO0-0

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs SLO0-1
21/09/24HSLO Vs Ostrovets FC2-1
14/09/24AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs SLO2-1
07/09/24HSLO Vs Baranovichi0-0
31/08/24AML Vitebsk Vs SLO5-0
24/08/24HSLO Vs Niva0-3
17/08/24AVolna Vs SLO6-1
10/08/24HSLO Vs Torpedo BelAZ II0-1
05/08/24ABelshina Vs SLO4-0
31/07/24ABumprom Vs SLO1-0

BATE IIBATE II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HBI Vs Orsha4-0
20/09/24ALida Vs BI2-0
11/09/24HBI Vs Dinamo Minsk II0-5
06/09/24ALokomotiv Gomel Vs BI1-2
31/08/24HBI Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1-1
26/08/24HBI Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov0-0
17/08/24AOstrovets FC Vs BI3-1
12/08/24HBI Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 40-1
05/08/24ABaranovichi Vs BI0-1
01/08/24AML Vitebsk Vs BI1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slonim
Slonim
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW0.58
HomeDLLDW0.64
AwayLLLLW0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%16%8%
AVG goals2.822.882.76
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored0.760.800.72
Conceded2.062.082.04
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners---
Cards---
BATE II
BATE II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.50
HomeLDDLW1.77
AwayLWLWL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals2.622.622.62
Over 1.5 %69%62%77%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %31%31%31%
Scored1.351.541.15
Conceded1.271.081.46
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet27%38%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43476
68%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
71%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.80.8
-
2BelshinaBelshina3474
68%
2.2
8442+42
3.7
88%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.2
-
3ML VitebskML Vitebsk3473
68%
2.1
7527+48
3.0
71%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.20.8
-
4NivaNiva3470
62%
2.1
7334+39
3.1
71%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
5VolnaVolna3466
62%
1.9
7043+27
3.3
94%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.3
-
6Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3452
44%
1.5
5439+15
2.7
76%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.61.1
-
7LidaLida3452
44%
1.5
4840+8
2.6
68%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.2
-
8BATE IIBATE II3449
41%
1.4
4654-8
2.9
76%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
9BumpromBumprom3448
38%
1.4
5037+13
2.6
62%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.1
-
10OrshaOrsha3445
32%
1.3
4651-5
2.9
82%
38%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
11Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3443
35%
1.3
4457-13
3.0
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.7
-
12Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3435
24%
1.0
4250-8
2.7
88%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi3434
26%
1.0
3060-30
2.6
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.8
-
14ABFF U17ABFF U173433
26%
1.0
3152-21
2.4
74%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
15Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3431
26%
0.9
3361-28
2.8
68%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3429
21%
0.9
3655-19
2.7
65%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
17SlonimSlonim3426
18%
0.8
2665-39
2.7
65%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.9
-
18Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II3421
18%
0.6
3491-57
3.7
85%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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