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Slonim vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Result & Analysis

Date: 18/05/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 2-3
Slonim
Slonim
Vs
25%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 50% chance for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, 25% for Slonim and 25% for a draw. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a lively contest, yet the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.5% probability. Slonim, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages only 0.5 goals scored and concedes 2.5. In contrast, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.6% chance. The recent form narrative is clear: Slonim has just lost 1-2 to Orsha, while Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is riding a four-game winning streak, beating Uni Minsk 1-0. The match is expected to see 3.1 goals on average, with the 1-1 scoreline the most probable. The model’s selections include an 82.6% probability of Over 1.5 goals.

Results analysis

Slonim’s recent form, a string of losses, was halted by a 2-3 defeat to Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, who were riding a four-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, matching the 50% pre-match probability. The final score of 2-3 confirmed the actual result as an away triumph. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit, with an 82.6% probability. All other figures appear in the data: the predicted most likely total of 2 goals had a 23% chance, and the most probable scoreline of 1-1 carried 11.5%. The match delivered on the model’s expectations.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slonim win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D15L01L03L02L32W23L00D14L00DA·LID28/10H·ARS04/11A·LOK11/11H·BAR19/11H·BEL06/04A·TOR14/04H·VOL20/04A·NIV27/04H·ML 04/05A·BAR12/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.732.070.602.400.871.73
vs Stronger (28)0.712.180.502.500.931.86
vs Similar (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L03L23L06L20W31W11D21W10W20WH·NIV05/11A·FC 11/11H·LID19/11A·ARS25/11A·SHA07/04H·BAT14/04A·LOK21/04H·DIN28/04A·LID03/05H·ORS10/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.572.130.931.202.20
vs Stronger (1)2.004.00--2.004.00
vs Similar (25)1.601.682.171.171.082.15
vs Weaker (4)2.000.252.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.2%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
Slonim goals ↓
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals →
01234
05.5%7.3%7.7%4.7%2.2%
14.6%11%9.6%5.9%2.7%
23.5%6.5%6.0%3.7%1.7%
31.5%2.7%2.5%1.6%0.7%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slonim goals (down), columns = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.24
Belshina
2.18
ML Vitebsk
2.15
Niva
2.06
Volna
1.94
Dinamo Minsk II
1.53
Lida
1.53
BATE II
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Orsha
1.32
Ostrovets FC
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.03
Baranovichi
1.00
ABFF U17
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.91
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.85
Slonim
0.76
Torpedo BelAZ II
0.62
Slonim is 1.47 points worse than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of average points per game (0.76 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Belshina
2.47
ML Vitebsk
2.21
Niva
2.15
Volna
2.06
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.82
Dinamo Minsk II
1.59
Bumprom
1.47
Lida
1.41
Orsha
1.35
BATE II
1.35
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.24
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.06
Torpedo BelAZ II
1.00
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.97
ABFF U17
0.91
Baranovichi
0.88
Slonim
0.76
Slonim is 1.06 goals worse than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of goals scored per game (0.76 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.76
ML Vitebsk
0.79
Niva
1.00
Bumprom
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.15
Lida
1.18
Belshina
1.24
Volna
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.47
Orsha
1.50
ABFF U17
1.53
BATE II
1.59
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.62
Ostrovets FC
1.68
Baranovichi
1.76
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.79
Slonim
1.91
Torpedo BelAZ II
2.68
Slonim is 1.15 goals worse than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.91 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SlonimSlonim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L00D02L01L11D12L00D02L00DA·LID28/10H·ARS04/11A·LOK11/11H·BAR19/11H·BEL06/04A·TOR14/04H·VOL20/04A·NIV27/04H·ML 04/05A·BAR12/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.030.201.400.400.67
vs Stronger (28)0.291.110.141.500.430.71
vs Similar (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L12L03L00D20W10W11D00D00DH·NIV05/11A·FC 11/11H·LID19/11A·ARS25/11A·SHA07/04H·BAT14/04A·LOK21/04H·DIN28/04A·LID03/05H·ORS10/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.800.470.601.27
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.920.830.580.541.23
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.670.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slonim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SlonimSlonim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L01L01L01L21W11D00D12L00DA·LID28/10H·ARS04/11A·LOK11/11H·BAR19/11H·BEL06/04A·TOR14/04H·VOL20/04A·NIV27/04H·ML 04/05A·BAR12/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.030.401.000.471.07
vs Stronger (28)0.431.070.361.000.501.14
vs Similar (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L11D03L20W11D01L10W10W20WH·NIV05/11A·FC 11/11H·LID19/11A·ARS25/11A·SHA07/04H·BAT14/04A·LOK21/04H·DIN28/04A·LID03/05H·ORS10/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.330.470.600.93
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.920.761.330.580.540.92
vs Weaker (4)1.250.001.330.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Slonim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slonim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slonim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
Slonim and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Slonim and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Slonim and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Slonim and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
SLO wins
3
Draws
1
M4 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Slonim vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 · H/A from SLO
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/23AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs SLO1-0
14/04/23HSLO Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 41-1
04/09/22AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs SLO1-1
30/04/22HSLO Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 42-2

SlonimSlonim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24ABaranovichi Vs SLO0-0
04/05/24HSLO Vs ML Vitebsk1-4
27/04/24ANiva Vs SLO0-0
20/04/24HSLO Vs Volna2-3
14/04/24ATorpedo BelAZ II Vs SLO2-3
06/04/24HSLO Vs Belshina0-2
19/11/23HSLO Vs Baranovichi0-3
11/11/23ALokomotiv Gomel Vs SLO1-0
04/11/23HSLO Vs Arsenal (Belarus)1-5
28/10/23ALida Vs SLO2-2

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/24HM4 Vs Orsha2-0
03/05/24ALida Vs M40-1
28/04/24HM4 Vs Dinamo Minsk II2-1
21/04/24ALokomotiv Gomel Vs M41-1
14/04/24HM4 Vs BATE II3-1
07/04/24AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs M40-2
25/11/23AArsenal (Belarus) Vs M46-0
19/11/23HM4 Vs Lida2-3
11/11/23AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs M43-0
05/11/23HM4 Vs Niva1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Slonim
Slonim
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD0.74
HomeLLLLL0.62
AwayDLWDD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%17%19%
AVG goals3.003.172.85
Over 1.5 %70%83%58%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored0.980.831.12
Conceded2.022.331.73
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.52
HomeLLWWW1.88
AwayLLWDW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals3.002.843.16
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.521.881.16
Conceded1.480.962.00
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet32%44%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43476
68%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
71%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.80.8
-
2BelshinaBelshina3474
68%
2.2
8442+42
3.7
88%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.2
-
3ML VitebskML Vitebsk3473
68%
2.1
7527+48
3.0
71%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.20.8
-
4NivaNiva3470
62%
2.1
7334+39
3.1
71%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
5VolnaVolna3466
62%
1.9
7043+27
3.3
94%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.3
-
6Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3452
44%
1.5
5439+15
2.7
76%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.61.1
-
7LidaLida3452
44%
1.5
4840+8
2.6
68%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.2
-
8BATE IIBATE II3449
41%
1.4
4654-8
2.9
76%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
9BumpromBumprom3448
38%
1.4
5037+13
2.6
62%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.1
-
10OrshaOrsha3445
32%
1.3
4651-5
2.9
82%
38%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
11Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3443
35%
1.3
4457-13
3.0
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.7
-
12Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3435
24%
1.0
4250-8
2.7
88%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi3434
26%
1.0
3060-30
2.6
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.8
-
14ABFF U17ABFF U173433
26%
1.0
3152-21
2.4
74%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
15Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3431
26%
0.9
3361-28
2.8
68%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3429
21%
0.9
3655-19
2.7
65%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
17SlonimSlonim3426
18%
0.8
2665-39
2.7
65%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.9
-
18Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II3421
18%
0.6
3491-57
3.7
85%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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