This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Jablonec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.62
1.88
1.40
1.60
2.00
2.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
1.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.67
1.83
1.33
1.33
2.00
2.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
12% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
Slovácko goals ↓
FK Jablonec goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
6.0%
5.2%
2.6%
1.0%
1
6.3%
12%
8.2%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.8%
8.6%
6.4%
3.2%
1.2%
3
3.0%
4.5%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.2%
1.7%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovácko goals (down), columns = FK Jablonec goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Slovácko is 0.29 points better than FK Jablonec in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Slovácko is 0.26 goals worse than FK Jablonec in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Slovácko is 0.49 goals better than FK Jablonec in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Slovácko is 2.5 percentage points worse than FK Jablonec in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Slovácko
For 5.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Jablonec
For 4.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 15.0 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slovácko
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (14)
9.6
8.4
10.4
4.0
4.5
3.6
24.6
27.5
23.0
vs Stronger (10)
9.0
8.5
9.5
4.0
4.0
4.0
24.6
23.7
25.2
vs Similar (4)
10.8
8.0
11.7
4.0
7.0
3.0
24.8
39.0
20.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
40%
57%
50%
50%
50%
64%
75%
57%
% under line
50%
60%
43%
50%
50%
50%
36%
25%
43%
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Jablonec
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
9.6
10.0
9.0
5.9
6.2
5.3
28.2
27.4
29.7
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
9.5
-
9.0
9.0
-
26.5
26.5
-
vs Similar (6)
9.7
10.3
9.0
4.8
4.3
5.3
28.8
28.0
29.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
60%
33%
75%
60%
100%
88%
80%
100%
% under line
50%
40%
67%
25%
40%
0%
12%
20%
0%
This opponent (Slovácko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sigma Olomouc
12.3
Pardubice
11.8
Plzen
11.1
Sparta Praha
10.8
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Teplice
9.9
České Budějovice
9.7
FK Jablonec
9.6
Slovácko
9.6
Slavia Praha
9.5
Zbrojovka Brno
9.4
Hradec Králové
9.2
Mlada Boleslav
8.9
Zlin
8.1
Bohemians 1905
6.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FK Jablonec
5.9
Baník Ostrava
5.7
Hradec Králové
5.6
Sparta Praha
5.5
Slavia Praha
5.2
Sigma Olomouc
5.1
Teplice
4.9
Plzen
4.9
Pardubice
4.8
Slovácko
4.7
Bohemians 1905
4.5
Slovan Liberec
4.3
Mlada Boleslav
4.3
Zlin
4.1
České Budějovice
3.9
Zbrojovka Brno
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hradec Králové
28.2
FK Jablonec
28.2
Mlada Boleslav
27.8
Teplice
26.8
Zlin
26.1
Baník Ostrava
25.0
Bohemians 1905
24.9
Slovácko
24.6
Slovan Liberec
24.0
Pardubice
23.8
Sigma Olomouc
23.4
Sparta Praha
22.3
Slavia Praha
22.0
Plzen
21.8
Zbrojovka Brno
20.9
České Budějovice
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
40.9%
Under 9.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.5%
Under 3.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.6%
Under 21.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slovácko
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.79
0.67
0.17
0.38
1.25
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.80
0.80
0.20
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Jablonec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.75
0.20
0.60
1.67
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.67
0.00
0.33
1.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovácko over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovácko over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovácko over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slovácko
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.86
1.00
1.00
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.20
1.00
0.80
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
36% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Jablonec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Jablonec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
1.12
1.20
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
1.17
1.33
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovácko over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovácko over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slovácko over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Jablonec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slovácko
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Tomič25%
Libor Kozák25%
Petr Reinberk25%
Jan Kalabiška25%
Milan Petržela20%
Ondřej Mihálik12%
Michal Trávník0%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Filip Nguyen0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Ondřej Šašinka0%
Stanislav Hofmann0%
Michal Kadlec0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Vlastimil Danicek0%
Marek Havlík0%
Patrik Brandner0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Michal Kohút0%
Merchas Doski0%
Pavel Juroska0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Libor Kozák50%
Michal Trávník40%
Merchas Doski38%
Patrik Šimko33%
Stanislav Hofmann29%
Patrik Brandner25%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy20%
Filip Vecheta20%
Filip Nguyen14%
Michal Kadlec14%
Jan Kalabiška12%
Milan Petržela0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
Michal Tomič0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Ondřej Šašinka0%
Petr Reinberk0%
Vlastimil Danicek0%
Marek Havlík0%
Michal Kohút0%
Pavel Juroska0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Tomič25%
Michal Kohút25%
Daniel Holzer17%
Merchas Doski12%
Milan Petržela0%
Michal Trávník0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Filip Nguyen0%
Libor Kozák0%
Ondřej Šašinka0%
Stanislav Hofmann0%
Michal Kadlec0%
Petr Reinberk0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Vlastimil Danicek0%
Marek Havlík0%
Jan Kalabiška0%
Patrik Brandner0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Pavel Juroska0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Tomič25%
Jan Kalabiška25%
Milan Petržela0%
Michal Trávník0%
Ondřej Mihálik0%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Filip Nguyen0%
Libor Kozák0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Ondřej Šašinka0%
Stanislav Hofmann0%
Michal Kadlec0%
Petr Reinberk0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Vlastimil Danicek0%
Marek Havlík0%
Patrik Brandner0%
Filip Vecheta0%
Michal Kohút0%
Merchas Doski0%
Pavel Juroska0%
FK Jablonec
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Král33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Stepanek67%
Michal Surzyn33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jakub Považanec0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Matěj Polidar0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Václav Sejk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakub Považanec33%
Matěj Polidar33%
Václav Sejk33%
Tomáš Hübschman0%
Jan Chramosta0%
Jan Král0%
Pavel Šulc0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Stepanek0%
Michal Černák0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Slovácko's squad is €6m less valuable than FK Jablonec's (€8m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Slovácko's attack is €2m less valuable than FK Jablonec's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Slovácko's midfield is €1m less valuable than FK Jablonec's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Slovácko's defence is €2m less valuable than FK Jablonec's (€4m vs €6m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
Pardubice
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
České Budějovice
Zbrojovka Brno
Vyškov
Příbram