The contest between Slovakia and Pardubice feels razor-thin, with the model favouring a home win but leaving the draw and away victory within reach. Home win sits at 41%, a draw at 28%, and an away win at 30%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly active game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.6% chance. Slovakia, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.44 goals scored and 1.44 conceded, while Pardubice on the road also averages 1.5 scored and 1.42 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (97.7% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.3% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.6% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.9% with a 5% edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (94.9% with a 4% edge). Slovakia entered the match after a draw, while Pardubice comes off a defeat.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Slovácko win
41.2%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.38
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.45
Dafabet
2.43
10Bet
2.42
Pinnacle
2.41
BetVictor
2.40
Draw
28.4%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.31
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.46
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Pardubice win
30.4%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.76
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.77
SBO
2.76
Betfair
2.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Slovácko
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.60
1.62
1.38
1.00
1.76
vs Stronger (10)
1.40
2.30
2.00
1.25
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.25
1.44
1.44
1.00
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.47
1.27
1.53
1.60
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.25
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.33
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.50
1.29
1.57
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.4%
@ 1.29+3.2%
Under 1.5
24.6%
@ 3.35-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.95+1.1%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.81-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.02
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Under
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.4%
@ 3.37-0.1%
Under 3.5
72.6%
@ 1.28+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Pinnacle
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Under
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
54.7%
@ 1.72+1.0%
No
45.3%
@ 2.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.70
No
Betfair
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Unibet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.04+6.2%
1-0
9.0%@ 7.56+3.1%
2-1
8.9%@ 8.71+3.8%
0-0
8.3%@ 9.47+3.6%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.65+2.8%
2-0
7.3%@ 10.96+3.3%
0-1
7.3%@ 8.27+2.0%
2-2
5.4%@ 12.70+1.9%
Slovácko goals ↓
Pardubice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
7.3%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
1
9.0%
14%
7.4%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.3%
8.9%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.5%
4.3%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Slovácko goals (down), columns = Pardubice goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Slovácko is 0.17 points better than Pardubice in terms of average points per game (0.33 vs 0.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Slovácko and Pardubice are level in goals scored per game (both 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Slovácko and Pardubice are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Slovácko is 7.8 percentage points better than Pardubice in terms of average possession (48% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Slovácko
For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 15.7 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pardubice
For 4.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 14.2 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slovácko
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.9
3.6
3.8
3.4
26.8
27.7
26.0
vs Stronger (16)
9.1
8.8
9.5
5.0
5.0
5.0
28.3
29.9
26.8
vs Similar (34)
10.5
11.1
10.1
2.9
3.1
2.8
26.0
26.3
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
67%
56%
44%
52%
38%
85%
90%
80%
% under line
39%
33%
44%
56%
48%
62%
15%
10%
20%
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.3
9.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
26.0
26.0
25.9
vs Stronger (9)
10.4
10.5
10.2
3.7
4.2
3.2
23.1
22.8
23.5
vs Similar (39)
9.8
10.4
9.3
4.3
4.3
4.3
26.6
26.7
26.4
vs Weaker (2)
7.0
7.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
54%
52%
57%
52%
58%
46%
78%
78%
78%
% under line
46%
48%
43%
48%
42%
54%
22%
22%
22%
This opponent (Slovácko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Zbrojovka Brno
10.4
Slovácko
10.2
Bohemians 1905
10.2
Slovan Liberec
10.0
Sparta Praha
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
Hradec Králové
9.7
FK Jablonec
9.7
Plzen
9.4
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plzen
5.5
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Pardubice
4.4
Teplice
4.4
Slavia Praha
4.3
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Slovácko
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Bohemians 1905
3.8
Hradec Králové
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.5
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.8
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.4
Slavia Praha
26.9
Slovácko
26.7
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.6
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.3
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Sparta Praha
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Bohemians 1905
23.1
Hradec Králové
22.7
Zbrojovka Brno
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.9%
@ 1.97-0.1%
Under 9.5
53.1%
@ 1.74+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Under
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Unibet
1.74
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.9%
Under 3.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.7%
Under 21.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Slovácko or Draw
63.9%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.39
Edge
-2.9%
41%
28%
30%
covers Slovácko + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Slovácko or Pardubice
72.1%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.3%
41%
28%
30%
covers Slovácko + Pardubice
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Pardubice
64.0%
Avg Implied 60.8% · @ 1.52
Edge
+3.2%
41%
28%
30%
covers Draw + Pardubice
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Slovácko over/under 0.5
Over
74.8%
@ 1.27+1.7%
Under
25.2%
@ 3.44-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Under
Marathonbet
3.56
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.45
Slovácko over/under 1.5
Over
40.0%
@ 2.31-0.2%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.56+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
BetVictor
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Slovácko over/under 2.5
Over
16.1%
@ 5.28-1.5%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.13+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Slovácko over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
@ 12.25-2.7%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Pardubice over/under 0.5
Over
74.8%
@ 1.32+4.6%
Under
25.2%
@ 3.12-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Unibet
3.15
10Bet
3.10
Pardubice over/under 1.5
Over
40.1%
@ 2.57+4.0%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.45-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Betano
2.57
Under
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Pardubice over/under 2.5
Over
16.1%
@ 6.19+1.2%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.09-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
BetVictor
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Pardubice over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
@ 14.88-1.3%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.02+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Slovácko, so a minus line means Slovácko give that many goals of a start and Pardubice receive them. At -1, Slovácko must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Slovácko win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Slovácko)
Slovácko -2
6.2%
@ 9.90-2.7%
Draw -2
10.9%
@ 6.28-3.2%
Pardubice +2
82.9%
@ 1.14+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Slovácko)
Slovácko -1
17.1%
@ 4.68-2.0%
Draw -1
18.9%
@ 3.98-3.4%
Pardubice +1
64.0%
@ 1.52+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Handicap +1 (Slovácko)
Slovácko +1
63.9%
@ 1.40+0.4%
Draw +1
19.0%
@ 4.31-1.7%
Pardubice -1
17.1%
@ 5.62+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Bet365
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
5.20
Handicap +2 (Slovácko)
Slovácko +2
82.9%
@ 1.11+1.5%
Draw +2
10.9%
@ 7.75-0.8%
Pardubice -2
6.2%
@ 13.00-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
11.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Slovácko
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.85
0.69
0.41
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.30
0.50
0.50
0.67
1.83
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.78
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.60
0.73
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
0.00
1.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.62
0.64
0.71
0.58
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.3%
@ 1.38+1.3%
Under 0.5
31.7%
@ 2.80-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
BetVictor
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.81-0.0%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.38+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.8%
@ 7.38-1.8%
Under 2.5
89.2%
@ 1.06+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
1xBet
7.20
Marathonbet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Slovácko over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.7%
@ 2.04-0.8%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.70+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Slovácko over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.4%
@ 6.30-3.4%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.09+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.95
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Slovácko over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 17.50-3.2%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Pardubice over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.3%
@ 2.17-1.5%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.62+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
Unibet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Pardubice over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.2%
@ 7.17-3.7%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.07+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Pardubice over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 12.50-5.2%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Slovácko
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.77
0.69
0.59
0.82
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.00
1.50
0.75
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.65
0.44
0.67
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
0.67
0.80
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.88
0.64
0.86
0.92
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Slovácko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.23+2.0%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 3.72-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.6%
@ 2.12-1.3%
Under 1.5
57.4%
@ 1.66+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.0%
@ 4.64-2.0%
Under 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.16+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Slovácko over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.9%
@ 1.73+0.4%
Under
46.1%
@ 1.99-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
10Bet
1.95
Slovácko over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.4%
@ 4.61-1.7%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.16+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Slovácko over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
@ 11.38-3.8%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Pardubice over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.8%
@ 1.83-1.8%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.88+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.82
Pardubice over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.5%
@ 5.21-3.2%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.12+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Pardubice over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.7%
@ 12.88-3.7%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+2.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+1.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.02
-
+0.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.07
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+3.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
+1.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+3.4%
Over 21.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.5%
1.12
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
+3.2%
Under 4.5
85.4%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.08
-0.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+1.5%
Away under 2.5 goals
83.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
10Bet
1.09
-1.2%
Away +2 handicap
82.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+5.9%
Home +2 handicap
82.9%
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+1.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+2.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+1.7%
Under 5.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.2%
1.23
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+2.0%
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.9%
1.24
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+2.4%
Over 1.5
75.4%
1.29
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+3.2%
Away over 0.5 goals
74.8%
1.32
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
+4.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
74.8%
1.27
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
+1.7%
Under 3.5
72.6%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+0.1%
Home or Away
72.1%
1.28
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
-0.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Slovácko
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pavel Juroška33%
Gigli Ndefe20%
Michal Trávník0%
Tihomir Kostadinov0%
Milan Heča0%
Marek Havlík0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Patrik Blahút0%
Martin Šviderský0%
Giannis Niarchos0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Filip Horský0%
Simon Sloncik0%
Gibril Sosseh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tihomir Kostadinov40%
Andrej Stojchevski40%
Milan Heča25%
Martin Šviderský25%
Simon Sloncik25%
Michal Trávník20%
Gigli Ndefe20%
Jocelin Behiratche20%
Marek Havlík0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Patrik Blahút0%
Giannis Niarchos0%
Filip Horský0%
Pavel Juroška0%
Gibril Sosseh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Trávník20%
Marek Havlík20%
Gigli Ndefe0%
Tihomir Kostadinov0%
Milan Heča0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Patrik Blahút0%
Martin Šviderský0%
Giannis Niarchos0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Filip Horský0%
Pavel Juroška0%
Simon Sloncik0%
Gibril Sosseh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pavel Juroška33%
Michal Trávník0%
Gigli Ndefe0%
Tihomir Kostadinov0%
Milan Heča0%
Marek Havlík0%
Artur Dolznikov0%
Patrik Blahút0%
Martin Šviderský0%
Giannis Niarchos0%
Andrej Stojchevski0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Filip Horský0%
Simon Sloncik0%
Gibril Sosseh0%
Pardubice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Boledovic40%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Godwin40%
Vojtěch Patrák33%
Václav Drchal20%
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jason Noslin20%
Jan Trédl20%
Victor Samuel20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Kahuan0%
Tobias Boledovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jan Trédl20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomáš Jelínek33%
Abdoull Tanko25%
Jason Noslin20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Slovácko's squad is €5m less valuable than Pardubice's (€8m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Slovácko's attack is €2m less valuable than Pardubice's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Slovácko's midfield is €2m less valuable than Pardubice's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Slovácko's defence is €2m less valuable than Pardubice's (€4m vs €5m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Zlin