The match between Slovákko and Sigma Olomouc is expected to be a closely contested affair, with the away side having a slight advantage. Sigma Olomouc's recent form, coming off a win, suggests they are in good spirits, while Slovákko is still reeling from a defeat. The model predicts an away win, with a probability of 42%.
In terms of probabilities, the match is expected to end in a draw (28%), Slovákko to win (31%), or Sigma Olomouc to win (42%). The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring 13.2% of the time.
Slovákko has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding 1.5, while facing stronger opponents. On the other hand, Sigma Olomouc has performed reasonably well away from home, scoring 1.75 goals and conceding 2.25, against weaker opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (86.1%), Over 1.5 (77.0%, with a 5% edge), and Under 3.5 (70.5%). The probabilities for each outcome are: Slovákko to win 31%, draw 28%, and Sigma Olomouc to win 42%.
Slovácko's 1-2 loss to Sigma Olomouc extends their recent run of inconsistency, having suffered two consecutive defeats. The actual result was an away win, which aligns with the predicted outcome. The model correctly identified Sigma Olomouc as the pre-match favourite, with a 42% probability of winning. The model's call was correct, as the away side took the three points. The model's selection of Sigma Olomouc to win was a good one, as they came out on top. The model's suggested picks largely came in, with the Over 1.5 total goals hitting at 77% probability and Under 3.5 also hitting at 70.5%.
Slovácko| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.10 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.36 | 0.81 | 1.75 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 1.20 | 2.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 3.40 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.05 | 1.20 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-1pp vs league) | |||||
Sigma Olomouc| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.40 | 1.47 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.73 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.75 | 1.75 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.57 | 1.33 | 1.78 | 1.11 | 1.42 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.20 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-11pp vs league) | |||||
| Sigma Olomouc goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 13% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
Slovácko| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.3 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 26.1 | 27.3 | 25.0 |
| vs Stronger (16) | 9.9 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 27.1 | 28.9 | 25.4 |
| vs Similar (34) | 10.5 | 11.1 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 25.6 | 26.5 | 24.8 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 62% | 65% | 58% | 48% | 61% | 37% | 85% | 91% | 79% |
| % under line | 38% | 35% | 42% | 52% | 39% | 63% | 15% | 9% | 21% |
Sigma Olomouc| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.3 | 9.8 | 9.0 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 26.7 | 26.0 | 27.2 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 11.2 | 11.0 | 11.5 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 22.2 | 20.5 | 24.0 |
| vs Similar (34) | 9.1 | 9.4 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 27.9 | 27.2 | 28.6 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 8.5 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 25.9 | 27.0 | 24.8 |
| % over line | 51% | 50% | 52% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 80% | 79% | 80% |
| % under line | 49% | 50% | 48% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 20% | 21% | 20% |
Slovácko| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.38 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.60 | 1.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.55 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.18 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+16pp vs league) | |||||
Sigma Olomouc| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.63 | 0.60 | 0.80 | 0.93 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.81 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.42 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
Slovácko| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.44 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (10) | 0.60 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 0.67 | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+19pp vs league) | |||||
Sigma Olomouc| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.83 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.76 | 0.81 | 1.22 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 1.08 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+16pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 93.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 86.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 80.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.29 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.30 | +5.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 75.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 74.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.7% | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.30 | 1.27 | - | - | +2.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.28 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.29 | -2.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 20/07/25 | H | 0-1 | |
| 13/04/25 | H | 2-2 | |
| 27/11/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 02/12/23 | A | 1-1 | |
| 05/08/23 | H | 0-2 | |
| 20/05/23 | H | 2-2 | |
| 04/02/23 | H | 0-0 |
Slovácko| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 31/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 27/05/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 12/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 1-1 |
Sigma Olomouc| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 6 | 14 | 67% | 2.3 | 17 | 5 | +12 | 3.7 | 100% | 83% | 50% | 11.0 | 50% | 3.5 | 50% | 29.3 | 100% | 123 | 27 | 35 | 61 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 1.8 | 50% | 17% | 17% | 9.8 | 50% | 6.7 | 100% | 28.0 | 83% | 27 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 47% |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 11 | 60% | 2.2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | 11.0 | 60% | 3.2 | 40% | 28.4 | 80% | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 50% |
| 4 | Zbrojovka Brno | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.8 | 80% | 40% | 40% | 9.2 | 40% | 3.8 | 50% | 21.8 | 60% | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 45% |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 3.0 | 83% | 83% | 33% | 9.3 | 50% | 2.8 | 17% | 24.7 | 50% | 30 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 58% |
| 6 | Teplice | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 12 | 12 | +0 | 4.0 | 83% | 50% | 50% | 10.3 | 50% | 4.3 | 33% | 26.2 | 83% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 49% |
| 7 | Sparta Praha | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 3.7 | 100% | 83% | 67% | 11.5 | 50% | 3.2 | 40% | 27.8 | 83% | 92 | 43 | 27 | 22 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 65% |
| 8 | FK Jablonec | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 8.8 | 25% | 3.2 | 25% | 31.2 | 100% | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2.0 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 9.6 | 20% | 3.4 | 20% | 24.2 | 60% | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 47% |
| 10 | Hradec Králové | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.0 | 75% | 50% | 0% | 10.0 | 50% | 4.2 | 75% | 26.8 | 75% | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 53% |
| 11 | Plzen | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4.6 | 100% | 60% | 60% | 7.8 | 0% | 6.4 | 80% | 27.2 | 80% | 57 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 59% |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 11.8 | 75% | 3.5 | 50% | 28.0 | 75% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 44% |
| 13 | Artis | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 33% | 7.7 | 17% | 3.3 | 50% | 27.5 | 83% | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 42% |
| 14 | Slovácko | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2.8 | 83% | 50% | 17% | 8.2 | 33% | 5.0 | 50% | 34.5 | 100% | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 48% |
| 15 | Pardubice | 6 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2.8 | 100% | 67% | 17% | 9.3 | 33% | 3.7 | 50% | 28.5 | 100% | 14 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 40% |
| 16 | Zlin | 6 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 3.0 | 67% | 50% | 50% | 8.8 | 33% | 3.7 | 33% | 29.5 | 83% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 43% |