Slovan Liberec, coming off a win, takes on Teplice, unbeaten in their last 5 matches. Teplice's strong recent form is a storyline to watch, but Slovan Liberec's home advantage and similar opponent strength in the home side's recent form against similar opponents could give them an edge.
The model predicts a Home win as the favourite, with 38% probability of Slovan Liberec winning, 31% probability of a draw, and 31% probability of Teplice winning. The expected total number of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.6%.
In terms of scoring and conceding, Slovan Liberec scores an average of 1.3 goals at home and concedes 0.5 goals, while Teplice scores 1.25 goals away and concedes 0.83 goals against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 38% probability. The model also selects the Under 3.5 goals, with a 80.4% probability and a 10% edge. Other selections include Over 21.5 fouls, with a 92.4% probability, and Over 3.5 cards, with a 72.2% probability. The home win percentage is 38%, the draw percentage is 31%, and the away win percentage is 31%.
The unthinkable has happened as Teplice pulled off a stunning upset, defeating Slovan Liberec 0-1, with the final scoreline a testament to their solid defensive display. This win extends their unbeaten run to six games, a remarkable feat considering their previous form. Meanwhile, Slovan Liberec's winless streak continues, a stark contrast to their recent form where they were coming off a victory. The pre-match favourite, a home win, failed to materialise, with the model's selection also coming up short. The model had predicted a home win, with a 38% chance of success, but it was Teplice who ultimately prevailed. The model's selection, home win, was incorrect. The model's suggested picks all hit, with Over 21.5 fouls, Under 3.5, and Over 3.5 cards all coming to fruition with probabilities of 92.4%, 80.4%, and 72.2% respectively.
Slovan Liberec| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.15 | 0.77 | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 1.00 | 1.75 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.35 | 0.80 | 1.22 | 0.44 | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 2.50 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+6pp vs league) | |||||
Teplice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 0.97 | 1.07 | 0.87 | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 1.00 | 1.71 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.26 | 0.74 | 1.18 | 0.45 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+9pp vs league) | |||||
| Teplice goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 12% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 11% | 15% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Slovan Liberec
Teplice
Slovan Liberec| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.0 | 9.7 | 10.3 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 28.9 | 29.1 | 28.6 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 10.4 | 10.7 | 10.2 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 27.8 | 28.8 | 26.8 |
| vs Similar (34) | 10.0 | 9.4 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 29.8 | 29.9 | 29.6 |
| vs Weaker (4) | 9.0 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 25.0 | 24.5 | 25.5 |
| % over line | 48% | 43% | 52% | 80% | 74% | 85% | 90% | 91% | 88% |
| % under line | 52% | 57% | 48% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 12% |
Teplice| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.0 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 28.3 | 27.8 | 29.0 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 8.4 | 8.0 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 27.8 | 29.2 | 26.2 |
| vs Similar (41) | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 28.5 | 27.5 | 29.7 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 39% | 40% | 38% | 54% | 56% | 52% | 87% | 88% | 86% |
| % under line | 61% | 60% | 62% | 46% | 44% | 48% | 13% | 12% | 14% |
Slovan Liberec| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.31 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.38 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.65 | 0.40 | 0.56 | 0.11 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+33pp vs league) | |||||
Teplice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.40 | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.29 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.92 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+39pp vs league) | |||||
Slovan Liberec| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 0.82 | 0.59 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.73 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+29pp vs league) | |||||
Teplice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.27 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.83 | 0.26 | 0.64 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.08 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+39pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 97.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | âś“ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 93.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | âś“ Hit |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 85.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | âś“ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 85.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | âś“ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 80.4% | 1.32 | 1.38 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.32 | +10.0% | âś“ Hit |
| Over 25.5 fouls | 75.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | âś“ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 72.8% | 1.38 | 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.33 | +6.5% | âś“ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 08/12/24 | H | 3-0 | |
| 10/08/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 12/05/24 | H | 1-2 | |
| 05/05/24 | A | 2-0 | |
| 03/03/24 | A | 2-0 | |
| 23/09/23 | H | 3-3 |
Slovan Liberec| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 24/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 13/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-1 |
Teplice| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 12/05/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 2-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 5 | 11 | 60% | 2.2 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 60% | 10.2 | 40% | 3.6 | 60% | 27.8 | 100% | 123 | 27 | 35 | 61 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 58% |
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 11 | 60% | 2.2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | 11.0 | 60% | 3.2 | 40% | 28.4 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 55% |
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 100% | 100% | 40% | 9.4 | 60% | 2.8 | 20% | 26.4 | 60% | 30 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 51% |
| 4 | Slovan Liberec | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 1.8 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 9.4 | 40% | 6.8 | 100% | 27.2 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 47% |
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 80% | 10.8 | 40% | 3.2 | 50% | 26.0 | 80% | 97 | 45 | 28 | 24 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 64% |
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 8.7 | 33% | 3.3 | 33% | 31.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 49% |
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 9.0 | 25% | 4.0 | 67% | 21.2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 2.0 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 9.3 | 33% | 3.7 | 67% | 25.0 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 45% |
| 9 | Teplice | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 10.6 | 60% | 4.6 | 40% | 25.0 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 42% |
| 10 | BanĂk Ostrava | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 9.8 | 25% | 3.5 | 25% | 26.2 | 75% | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 11.8 | 75% | 3.5 | 50% | 28.0 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 46% |
| 12 | Plzen | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5.2 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 7.5 | 0% | 4.8 | 75% | 25.8 | 75% | 57 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 56% |
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | 9.6 | 40% | 3.6 | 40% | 28.8 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 46% |
| 14 | Slovácko | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 20% | 8.0 | 40% | 3.4 | 40% | 34.8 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 52% |
| 15 | Artis | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 7.6 | 20% | 3.2 | 40% | 27.6 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 30% |
| 16 | Zlin | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2.6 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 8.6 | 20% | 3.8 | 40% | 30.6 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 40% |