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Sloven Ruma vs Macva Result & Analysis

Date: 09/11/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Sloven Ruma
Sloven Ruma
Vs
34%
34%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Macva
Macva
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloven Ruma win✗ Miss
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Macva win✓ Hit
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sloven RumaSloven Ruma

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L11D00D11D02L14L11D01L00D12LA·FK 02/09H·ZEM07/09A·JAV15/09H·IND21/09A·MLA28/09H·SLO05/10A·FK 13/10A·OFK19/10H·DUB26/10A·SEM03/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.571.001.330.251.75
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.621.541.001.330.291.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W10W31W20W02L01L00D01L20WA·BOR01/09H·GRA09/09A·RAD15/09H·FK 21/09A·ZEM29/09H·JAV06/10A·IND13/10H·MLA20/10A·SLO26/10H·FK 03/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.802.070.530.671.07
vs Stronger (2)1.500.501.500.50--
vs Similar (28)1.360.822.150.540.671.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloven Ruma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
58.0%
Under 1.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.7%
Under 2.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.5%
Under 3.5
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.0%
No
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.3%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.3%
0-1 ✓
12.4%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
Sloven Ruma goals ↓
Macva goals →
01234
016%12%6.4%2.0%0.5%
113%15%6.2%1.9%0.4%
27.2%6.6%3.0%0.9%0.2%
32.3%2.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
40.6%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sloven Ruma goals (down), columns = Macva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
Sloven Ruma is 0.49 points worse than Macva in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.54).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
Sloven Ruma is 0.24 goals worse than Macva in terms of goals scored per game (0.84 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
Sloven Ruma is 0.30 goals worse than Macva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sloven RumaSloven Ruma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W00D10W01L13L10W01L00D02LA·FK 02/09H·ZEM07/09A·JAV15/09H·IND21/09A·MLA28/09H·SLO05/10A·FK 13/10A·OFK19/10H·DUB26/10A·SEM03/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.930.670.670.121.12
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.380.920.670.670.141.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W20W10W01L01L00D01L20WA·BOR01/09H·GRA09/09A·RAD15/09H·FK 21/09A·ZEM29/09H·JAV06/10A·IND13/10H·MLA20/10A·SLO26/10H·FK 03/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.371.070.330.400.40
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Similar (28)0.790.361.230.310.400.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloven Ruma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sloven Ruma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloven Ruma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloven Ruma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sloven RumaSloven Ruma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D01L01L01L01L00D00D10WA·FK 02/09H·ZEM07/09A·JAV15/09H·IND21/09A·MLA28/09H·SLO05/10A·FK 13/10A·OFK19/10H·DUB26/10A·SEM03/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.210.640.330.670.120.62
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.230.620.330.670.140.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W00D11D10W01L00D00D00D00DA·BOR01/09H·GRA09/09A·RAD15/09H·FK 21/09A·ZEM29/09H·JAV06/10A·IND13/10H·MLA20/10A·SLO26/10H·FK 03/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.431.000.200.270.67
vs Stronger (2)1.500.001.500.00--
vs Similar (28)0.570.460.920.230.270.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloven Ruma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sloven Ruma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloven Ruma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloven Ruma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.570.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Macva · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Vidakov50%
Đorđe Đorđić17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Ristivojević50%
Kristijan Tojčić50%
Sani Abdullahi50%
Milan Vidakov33%
Luka Pejović33%
Slobodan Sladojević33%
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Boško Vraštanović20%
Darko Terzić20%
Vladimir Ilić20%
Vladimir Rakić17%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Slobodan Sladojević17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Milan Vidakov0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milan Vidakov33%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SR wins
0
Draws
0
MAC wins

Head-to-head

Sloven Ruma vs Macva · H/A from SR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Sloven RumaSloven Ruma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/24ASemendrija 1924 Vs SR2-1
26/10/24HSR Vs Dubočica0-0
19/10/24AOFK Vršac Vs SR1-0
13/10/24AFK Trayal Vs SR1-1
05/10/24HSR Vs Sloboda Uzice1-4
28/09/24AMladost Novi Sad Vs SR2-0
21/09/24HSR Vs Indjija1-1
15/09/24AJavor Vs SR0-0
07/09/24HSR Vs Zemun1-1
02/09/24AFK Vozdovac Vs SR5-0

MacvaMacva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/24HMAC Vs FK Trayal2-0
26/10/24ASloboda Uzice Vs MAC1-0
20/10/24HMAC Vs Mladost Novi Sad0-0
13/10/24AIndjija Vs MAC1-0
06/10/24HMAC Vs Javor0-2
29/09/24AZemun Vs MAC0-2
21/09/24HMAC Vs FK Vozdovac3-1
15/09/24ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs MAC0-1
09/09/24HMAC Vs Grafičar2-0
01/09/24ABorac Cacak Vs MAC2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sloven Ruma
Sloven Ruma
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL0.64
HomeWDDLD1.17
AwayDLDLL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %7%17%0%
AVG goals2.142.332.00
Over 1.5 %64%67%62%
Over 2.5 %29%33%25%
Over 3.5 %21%33%12%
Scored0.571.000.25
Conceded1.571.331.75
BTTS43%67%25%
Clean Sheet21%33%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Macva
Macva
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.56
HomeWWLDW2.28
AwayLWWLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%68%20%
AVG goals1.922.121.72
Over 1.5 %56%68%44%
Over 2.5 %32%36%28%
Over 3.5 %14%16%12%
Scored1.161.680.64
Conceded0.760.441.08
BTTS30%28%32%
Clean Sheet46%64%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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