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Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens Result & Analysis

Date: 12/08/2023
Time: 11:30
Final 5-0
Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
Vs
41%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sonderjyske winâś“ Hit
41.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens winâś— Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

SonderjyskeSonderjyske

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-554W03L10W11D21W33D32W11D13L41WA·FC 21/04H·HVI29/04A·VEN06/05H·VEJ11/05A·HVI18/05A·NAE28/05H·FC 04/06A·VEN21/07H·FC 28/07A·NAE06/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.431.431.432.061.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.561.331.331.332.001.33
vs Weaker (21)1.861.481.501.502.081.46
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L22D04L13L01L12L00D12L01L20WH·FC 23/04H·ODE28/04A·AAL07/05A·FC 14/05H·SIL19/05A·ODE26/05H·LYN03/06A·KOL23/07A·AAL29/07H·HB 04/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.901.271.670.802.13
vs Stronger (10)0.802.300.801.800.802.80
vs Similar (20)1.151.701.501.600.801.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
Sonderjyske goals ↓
AC Horsens goals →
01234
07.5%6.8%5.1%2.1%0.7%
18.3%13%7.6%3.2%1.0%
27.1%8.9%5.7%2.4%0.8%
33.5%4.5%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.3%1.7%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sonderjyske goals (down), columns = AC Horsens goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sonderjyske
2.12
Aalborg
2.03
Hillerød
1.53
Kolding IF
1.53
Hobro
1.47
FC Fredericia
1.47
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
AC Horsens
1.34
B 93
1.22
HB Koge
1.06
Naestved
0.84
FC Helsingor
0.50
Sonderjyske is 0.78 points better than AC Horsens in terms of average points per game (2.12 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sonderjyske
2.22
Aalborg
2.06
Hillerød
1.81
Kolding IF
1.62
FC Fredericia
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.41
B 93
1.41
HB Koge
1.34
Hobro
1.31
AC Horsens
1.16
Naestved
1.03
FC Helsingor
1.00
Sonderjyske is 1.06 goals better than AC Horsens in terms of goals scored per game (2.22 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sonderjyske
0.91
Aalborg
1.19
Hobro
1.25
Hillerød
1.28
FC Fredericia
1.31
AC Horsens
1.41
Kolding IF
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.56
Naestved
1.66
B 93
1.72
FC Helsingor
2.03
HB Koge
2.06
Sonderjyske is 0.50 goals better than AC Horsens in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SonderjyskeSonderjyske

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L00D00D01L12L21W01L00D30WA·FC 21/04H·HVI29/04A·VEN06/05H·VEJ11/05A·HVI18/05A·NAE28/05H·FC 04/06A·VEN21/07H·FC 28/07A·NAE06/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.640.430.690.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.440.500.330.670.67
vs Weaker (21)0.710.520.750.500.690.54
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L11D00D00D00D10W00D20WH·FC 23/04H·ODE28/04A·AAL07/05A·FC 14/05H·SIL19/05A·ODE26/05H·LYN03/06A·KOL23/07A·AAL29/07H·HB 04/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.670.800.470.73
vs Stronger (10)0.600.700.400.400.801.00
vs Similar (20)0.550.800.801.000.300.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SonderjyskeSonderjyske

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D02L10W11D20W21W11D10W13L11DA·FC 21/04H·HVI29/04A·VEN06/05H·VEJ11/05A·HVI18/05A·NAE28/05H·FC 04/06A·VEN21/07H·FC 28/07A·NAE06/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.930.791.001.380.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.890.831.001.330.67
vs Weaker (21)1.140.950.751.001.380.92
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D03L02L01L12L00D02L01L00DH·FC 23/04H·ODE28/04A·AAL07/05A·FC 14/05H·SIL19/05A·ODE26/05H·LYN03/06A·KOL23/07A·AAL29/07H·HB 04/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.130.600.870.331.40
vs Stronger (10)0.201.600.401.400.001.80
vs Similar (20)0.600.900.700.600.501.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sonderjyske) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sonderjyske over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sonderjyske over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.4%-------âś“ Hit
Under 3.570.1%-------âś— Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sonderjyske · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Cherif Haidara33%
Bubacarr Tambedou25%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Maxime Soulas0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
IsmaĂŻl Seydi0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sefer Emini50%
IsmaĂŻl Seydi40%
Matthew Hoppe33%
Maxime Soulas17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Bubacarr Tambedou0%
Mohamed Cherif Haidara0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
IsmaĂŻl Seydi20%
Maxime Soulas17%
Sefer Emini17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Bubacarr Tambedou0%
Mohamed Cherif Haidara0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Cherif Haidara50%
Bubacarr Tambedou25%
Maxime Soulas17%
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen0%
Jacob Christensen0%
Andreas Oggesen0%
Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason0%
Daníel Grétarsson0%
Dalton Wilkins0%
Sefer Emini0%
Chidiebube Duru0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
IsmaĂŻl Seydi0%
Anders Hoeg0%
David Boison Frimpong0%
Gustav Wagner0%
AC Horsens · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan60%
Adrian Justinussen33%
Ivan Miličević17%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Julius Madsen0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ole Kolskogen33%
Alagie Saine33%
Adam Herdonsson33%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan20%
Mikkel Kupijbida20%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Jimi Tauriainen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Abdul Moro17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jimi Tauriainen33%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Julius Madsen17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan40%
Adrian Justinussen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Kristian Kirkegaard0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Yamirou Ouorou0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Sonderjyske's squad is €3m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€13m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Sonderjyske and AC Horsens have a similar attack value (both €3m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Sonderjyske's midfield is €1m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€3m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Sonderjyske's defence is €2m more valuable than AC Horsens's (€6m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SON wins
0
Draws
0
AH wins

Head-to-head

Sonderjyske vs AC Horsens · H/A from SON
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SonderjyskeSonderjyske

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/23ANaestved Vs SON1-4
28/07/23HSON Vs FC Fredericia1-3
21/07/23AVendsyssel FF Vs SON1-1
04/06/23HSON Vs FC Helsingor3-2
28/05/23ANaestved Vs SON3-3
18/05/23AHvidovre Vs SON1-2
11/05/23HSON Vs Vejle1-1
06/05/23AVendsyssel FF Vs SON0-1
29/04/23HSON Vs Hvidovre0-3
21/04/23AFC Helsingor Vs SON4-5

AC HorsensAC Horsens

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/23HAH Vs HB Koge2-0
29/07/23AAalborg Vs AH1-0
23/07/23AKolding IF Vs AH2-1
03/06/23HAH Vs Lyngby0-0
26/05/23AOdense Vs AH2-1
19/05/23HAH Vs Silkeborg0-1
14/05/23AFC Midtjylland Vs AH3-1
07/05/23AAalborg Vs AH4-0
28/04/23HAH Vs Odense2-2
23/04/23HAH Vs FC Midtjylland0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.71
HomeDLDWL1.41
AwayWWDDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %49%35%61%
AVG goals3.313.003.61
Over 1.5 %80%82%78%
Over 2.5 %66%59%72%
Over 3.5 %46%47%44%
Scored1.891.472.28
Conceded1.431.531.33
BTTS69%65%72%
Clean Sheet17%18%17%
Corners---
Cards---
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW0.89
HomeLDLDW1.35
AwayLLLLL0.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%35%11%
AVG goals2.773.002.56
Over 1.5 %71%71%72%
Over 2.5 %54%53%56%
Over 3.5 %29%41%17%
Scored1.031.350.72
Conceded1.741.651.83
BTTS49%41%56%
Clean Sheet20%29%11%
Corners10.509.8111.19
Cards3.834.003.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SonderjyskeSonderjyske3268
62%
2.1
7129+42
3.1
84%
62%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3362.20.9
-
2AalborgAalborg3265
59%
2.0
6638+28
3.2
84%
69%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2262.11.2
-
3HillerødHillerød3249
41%
1.5
5841+17
3.1
78%
59%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.3
-
4Kolding IFKolding IF3249
44%
1.5
5246+6
3.1
78%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3247
41%
1.5
4642+4
2.8
75%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.41.3
-
6HobroHobro3247
44%
1.5
4240+2
2.6
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.31.2
-
7Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3243
34%
1.3
4550-5
3.0
75%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8AC HorsensAC Horsens3243
38%
1.3
3745-8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.21.4
-
9B 93B 933239
34%
1.2
4555-10
3.1
75%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
4366-23
3.4
81%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.32.1
-
11NaestvedNaestved3227
16%
0.8
3353-20
2.7
69%
47%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
12FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3216
6%
0.5
3265-33
3.0
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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