The contest between Soroksar and Mezokovesd-zsory is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Soroksar’s recent form - three wins in a row - has them looking sharp at home, while Mezokovesd-zsory, also on a two-game winning streak, will be eager to overturn the home advantage. The predicted probabilities are 39 % for a Soroksar victory, 27 % for a draw and 34 % for a Mezokovesd-zsory win, making the home win the most likely outcome. The average number of goals expected is 3.0, yet the model sees a 2-goal total as the most probable, with a 24 % chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 12.5 % probability. In terms of attacking and defensive strength, Soroksar scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 1.33 against similarly ranked opponents at home, while Mezokovesd-zsory scores 1.64 and concedes 1.21 away. The model’s selection for this match is Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.5 % probability.
Results analysis
Soroksar continued a three-game winning run, while Mezokovesd-zsory were on a two-game streak, yet the match ended 1-0 in favour of the home side. The model had picked a home win with a 39 % probability, and that call proved correct. The expected total of 3.0 goals was far above the single goal that fell. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals at 80.5 % confidence, which missed as the match saw just one goal. All figures are taken directly from the model’s output.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Soroksar win✓ Hit
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory win✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Soroksar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.30
1.54
1.38
1.12
1.24
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
1.36
1.21
1.67
1.33
1.12
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
0.71
0.86
1.69
1.62
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
3.67
0.00
2.00
2.00
4.50
vs Similar (27)
1.22
1.00
0.77
0.77
1.64
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.6%
Under 2.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.2%
Under 3.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0 ✓
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
Soroksar goals ↓
Mezokovesd-zsory goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
6.3%
5.3%
2.5%
0.9%
1
6.9%
13%
8.1%
3.8%
1.4%
2
6.1%
8.7%
6.2%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.1%
4.4%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.2%
1.7%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Soroksar goals (down), columns = Mezokovesd-zsory goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
1.78
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kazincbarcikai
1.63
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.38
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.38
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Soroksar is 0.43 points worse than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Diosgyori VTK
1.62
Kazincbarcikai
1.49
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Gyirmot SE
1.25
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.25
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Ajka
0.77
Soroksar is 0.13 goals better than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.23).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Diosgyori VTK
0.97
BVSC
1.00
Kazincbarcikai
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Szeged 2011
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Gyirmot SE
1.25
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.25
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Soroksar is 0.37 goals worse than Mezokovesd-zsory in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Soroksar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.69
0.23
0.29
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.39
0.75
0.25
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.36
0.29
0.94
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
0.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.41
0.38
0.23
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Soroksar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Soroksar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
0.85
1.15
0.82
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.89
0.82
0.92
1.08
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Mezokovesd-zsory) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mezokovesd-zsory
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.36
0.57
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.59
0.38
0.54
0.79
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Soroksar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mezokovesd-zsory over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (45)
€9m
KAZ (40)
€6m
FF (44)
€4m
KT (35)
€4m
MEZ (33)
€3m
S2 (34)
€3m
SS (37)
€3m
CSA (32)
€2m
AJK (41)
€2m
SOR (38)
€2m
BVS (36)
€2m
KF (39)
€2m
TF (33)
€2m
KS (32)
€2m
Soroksar and Mezokovesd-zsory have a similar squad value (both €2m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kazincbarcikai
Kecskeméti TE
Gyirmot SE
Tiszakecske FC
Ajka
Karcag SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Fehérvár FC
Szeged 2011
Diosgyori VTK
Csakvar
Nagykanizsai ULE
BVSC
Kozarmisleny FC