Southampton are the clear favourites, with a 45% chance of victory, 28% for a draw and 27% for Birmingham to win. The model predicts an average of 2.6 goals, most likely a 2-goal total at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% probability. Southampton, playing at home against a similar-strength side, average 1.09 goals scored and 1.82 conceded; Birmingham, on the road, average 0.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 85.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 74.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 73.5% (miss), Under 3.5 at 73.5% (miss) and Over 8.5 corners at 71.3% (miss). Both sides have recently drawn 1-1, with Southampton’s last five showing a draw-win-lose-win-lose pattern and Birmingham’s last five a draw-win-lose-draw-draw. The match is expected to be competitive, but Southampton’s home advantage and higher scoring form give them the edge.
Results analysis
Southampton’s 3-1 win over Birmingham extended their recent form, coming off a 1-1 draw. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win at 45%, proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, but the match produced a higher-scoring 3-1 outcome. The model’s selection Over 19.5 fouls, with an 85.4% probability, hit, as did Over 2.5 cards at 83.2% and Over 1.5 goals at 74.6%. Over 21.5 fouls, Under 3.5 goals and Over 8.5 corners, all with probabilities between 71.3% and 73.5%, missed. The predictions overall delivered a balanced picture of the game.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Southampton win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.51
Edge
-18.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.42
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birmingham win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 15.2% · @ 6.26
Edge
+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Southampton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.97
1.40
2.13
1.27
1.80
vs Stronger (7)
1.86
2.43
2.67
3.67
1.25
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.90
1.09
1.82
1.20
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Birmingham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.13
1.13
0.80
0.73
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
1.18
0.91
0.91
0.64
1.45
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.67
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
@ 1.73-6.5%
Under 2.5
51.7%
@ 2.10+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
Southampton goals ↓
Birmingham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
6.9%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
1
9.9%
13%
6.8%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.2%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.2%
4.6%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.6%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Southampton goals (down), columns = Birmingham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Southampton is 0.80 points better than Birmingham in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 1.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Southampton is 0.80 goals better than Birmingham in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Southampton is 0.04 goals better than Birmingham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Southampton is 22.1 percentage points better than Birmingham in terms of average possession (66% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Southampton
For 7.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 14.7 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Birmingham
For 3.9 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Southampton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.0
10.6
4.2
4.0
4.4
22.6
21.7
23.4
vs Stronger (15)
9.9
9.6
10.3
3.2
2.4
4.1
20.9
19.8
22.3
vs Similar (33)
10.4
9.9
10.8
4.5
4.6
4.4
23.4
22.7
24.0
vs Weaker (2)
12.5
16.0
9.0
8.0
8.0
8.0
21.5
21.0
22.0
% over line
56%
52%
60%
56%
48%
64%
56%
52%
60%
% under line
44%
48%
40%
44%
52%
36%
44%
48%
40%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Birmingham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
11.2
8.6
3.9
4.0
3.8
22.7
22.6
22.8
vs Stronger (3)
10.7
10.5
11.0
4.0
4.5
3.0
21.7
21.5
22.0
vs Similar (39)
10.2
11.3
8.9
4.1
4.1
4.2
22.5
22.1
23.0
vs Weaker (8)
8.5
10.5
6.5
2.8
3.2
2.2
23.9
25.8
22.0
% over line
58%
69%
46%
48%
54%
42%
52%
54%
50%
% under line
42%
31%
54%
52%
46%
58%
48%
46%
50%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.4
West Brom
11.1
QPR
10.9
Coventry
10.9
Norwich
10.8
Middlesbrough
10.7
Stoke
10.7
Blackburn
10.6
Hull
10.6
Huddersfield
10.5
Bristol City
10.4
Rotherham
10.3
Southampton
10.3
Leeds
10.3
Watford
10.2
Ipswich
10.0
Cardiff
10.0
Birmingham
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Swansea
9.3
Preston
9.3
Millwall
9.2
Sheffield Weds
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Sunderland
4.6
Swansea
4.4
Preston
4.3
Norwich
4.2
Stoke
4.2
Southampton
4.2
Coventry
4.2
Blackburn
4.1
Leeds
4.1
QPR
4.0
Cardiff
4.0
Birmingham
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Rotherham
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Huddersfield
3.7
West Brom
3.7
Hull
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Bristol City
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Plymouth
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Watford
23.8
Sunderland
23.7
Stoke
22.8
Leeds
22.8
Birmingham
22.7
Swansea
22.7
Southampton
22.6
QPR
22.5
Norwich
22.0
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Leicester
21.7
Ipswich
21.7
Preston
21.6
Millwall
21.4
Hull
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Plymouth
21.3
Coventry
21.2
Huddersfield
20.7
Bristol City
20.7
Rotherham
20.1
West Brom
19.7
Cardiff
19.6
Blackburn
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.4%
Under 9.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.5%
Under 3.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.5%
Under 21.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Southampton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
0.80
0.87
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.71
0.67
1.33
1.00
0.25
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.95
0.82
0.82
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Birmingham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.53
0.20
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.41
0.36
0.27
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Southampton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.13
0.60
1.27
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.71
2.00
2.33
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.95
0.27
1.00
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Birmingham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.60
0.60
0.20
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.77
0.55
0.64
0.27
0.91
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Armstrong41%
Che Adams34%
Nathan Tella33%
Samuel Edozie18%
Will Smallbone15%
Carlos Alcaraz13%
Ryan Fraser12%
Stuart Armstrong12%
Joe Rothwell12%
Joe Aribo11%
Sékou Mara10%
David Brooks10%
Kyle Walker-Peters7%
Flynn Downes6%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis5%
Jan Bednarek4%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Mason Holgate0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Kamaldeen Sulemana0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathan Tella67%
Flynn Downes31%
Jan Bednarek29%
Jack Stephens23%
Ryan Manning22%
Mason Holgate20%
Shea Charles18%
Will Smallbone17%
Carlos Alcaraz17%
Kamaldeen Sulemana16%
Joe Aribo16%
Che Adams15%
Ryan Fraser14%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Joe Rothwell12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Adam Armstrong10%
David Brooks10%
Kyle Walker-Peters9%
Samuel Edozie6%
Sékou Mara3%
Gavin Bazunu2%
Alex McCarthy0%
James Bree0%
Ross Stewart0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Tella33%
David Brooks25%
Adam Armstrong22%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Che Adams10%
Samuel Edozie9%
Flynn Downes8%
Kamaldeen Sulemana8%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis7%
Sékou Mara7%
Kyle Walker-Peters7%
Will Smallbone7%
James Bree5%
Ryan Fraser5%
Carlos Alcaraz4%
Jack Stephens4%
Joe Aribo3%
Ryan Manning2%
Jan Bednarek0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Mason Holgate0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong35%
Nathan Tella33%
Che Adams20%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Carlos Alcaraz13%
David Brooks10%
Ryan Fraser7%
Will Smallbone7%
Jan Bednarek2%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Mason Holgate0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis0%
Sékou Mara0%
Kamaldeen Sulemana0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jay Stansfield28%
Jordan James17%
Juninho Bacuna16%
Koji Miyoshi14%
Siriki Dembélé12%
Lukas Jutkiewicz11%
Andre Dozzell10%
Gary Gardner6%
Seung-Ho Paik6%
Scott Hogan4%
Ivan Šunjić3%
Dion Sanderson3%
Oliver Burke0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Keshi Anderson0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Tyler Roberts0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Marc Roberts0%
Krystian Bielik0%
Ethan Laird0%
Cody Drameh0%
Emmanuel Longelo0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Krystian Bielik33%
Ivan Šunjić31%
Ethan Laird28%
Jordan James24%
Emmanuel Longelo24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Lee Buchanan22%
Juninho Bacuna18%
Kevin Long18%
Emanuel Aiwu17%
Siriki Dembélé12%
Tyler Roberts12%
Koji Miyoshi12%
Keshi Anderson10%
Andre Dozzell10%
Cody Drameh7%
Gary Gardner6%
Seung-Ho Paik6%
Dion Sanderson5%
John Ruddy5%
Scott Hogan4%
Lukas Jutkiewicz4%
Oliver Burke0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Marc Roberts0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Koji Miyoshi14%
Juninho Bacuna11%
Alex Pritchard11%
Cody Drameh11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ivan Šunjić8%
Scott Hogan8%
Tyler Roberts6%
Emmanuel Longelo6%
Jay Stansfield5%
Ethan Laird4%
Lukas Jutkiewicz4%
Siriki Dembélé3%
Oliver Burke0%
Seung-Ho Paik0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Marc Roberts0%
Gary Gardner0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Krystian Bielik0%
Dion Sanderson0%
George Hall0%
Jordan James0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juninho Bacuna18%
Jay Stansfield16%
Siriki Dembélé9%
Marc Roberts7%
Koji Miyoshi5%
Scott Hogan4%
Ivan Šunjić3%
Krystian Bielik3%
Jordan James2%
Oliver Burke0%
Seung-Ho Paik0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Keshi Anderson0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Tyler Roberts0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Gary Gardner0%
Lukas Jutkiewicz0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Ethan Laird0%
Cody Drameh0%
Emmanuel Longelo0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Southampton's squad is €112m more valuable than Birmingham's (€205m vs €93m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Southampton's attack is €27m more valuable than Birmingham's (€72m vs €46m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Southampton's midfield is €40m more valuable than Birmingham's (€53m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Southampton's defence is €45m more valuable than Birmingham's (€79m vs €35m).
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →