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Sozopol vs FK Minyor Pernik Result & Analysis

Date: 30/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Sozopol
Sozopol
Vs
51%
30%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Minyor Pernik
FK Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sozopol win✓ Hit
50.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SozopolSozopol

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W21W02L11D00D40W01L11D32WH·ETA18/03A·YAN31/03H·LUD09/04A·DOB14/04H·LEV22/04A·BOT30/04H·MON06/05A·VIT15/05H·SPO20/05A·BEL26/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.501.271.270.801.73
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (29)1.071.381.361.000.801.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D21W02L00D11D03L11D24L20WH·VIT17/03A·SPO31/03H·BEL08/04A·ETA14/04A·CSK23/04H·STR01/05A·SPA06/05H·LIT13/05A·DUN20/05H·MAR26/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.031.270.730.531.33
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.004.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.930.961.290.500.571.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sozopol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.1%
Under 1.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.0%
Under 2.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.8%
No
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
14.7%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
Sozopol goals ↓
FK Minyor Pernik goals →
01234
013%7.6%3.4%0.9%0.2%
115%14%4.8%1.2%0.2%
211%8.6%3.3%0.9%0.2%
35.2%4.0%1.6%0.4%0.1%
41.8%1.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sozopol goals (down), columns = FK Minyor Pernik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
2.18
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.85
Levski Krumovgrad
1.76
Ludogorets II
1.68
Sportist Svoge
1.53
Dunav Ruse
1.47
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.38
Yantra 2019
1.29
Montana
1.29
Litex
1.29
Spartak Pleven
1.24
Belasitsa
1.21
Dobrudzha
1.15
Strumska Slava
1.15
FK Minyor Pernik
1.12
Sozopol
1.12
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.06
Botev Plovdiv II
0.82
Sozopol and FK Minyor Pernik are level in average points per game (both 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.76
Dunav Ruse
1.38
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Spartak Pleven
1.29
Levski Krumovgrad
1.26
Ludogorets II
1.24
Sportist Svoge
1.21
Dobrudzha
1.12
Montana
1.09
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.06
Strumska Slava
1.03
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.00
Belasitsa
0.97
FK Minyor Pernik
0.97
Sozopol
0.94
Litex
0.94
Yantra 2019
0.91
Botev Plovdiv II
0.74
Sozopol is 0.03 goals worse than FK Minyor Pernik in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
0.50
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.65
Litex
0.82
Levski Krumovgrad
0.97
Yantra 2019
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
1.03
Ludogorets II
1.03
Dunav Ruse
1.12
Montana
1.15
Dobrudzha
1.18
Sportist Svoge
1.18
Belasitsa
1.21
Strumska Slava
1.29
Spartak Pleven
1.29
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.35
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.47
Botev Plovdiv II
1.53
Sozopol
1.53
Sozopol is 0.50 goals worse than FK Minyor Pernik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SozopolSozopol

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L01L11D00D20W00D00D11DH·ETA18/03A·YAN31/03H·LUD09/04A·DOB14/04H·LEV22/04A·BOT30/04H·MON06/05A·VIT15/05H·SPO20/05A·BEL26/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.400.470.330.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.380.520.430.430.330.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W00D00D00D02L10W03L00DH·VIT17/03A·SPO31/03H·BEL08/04A·ETA14/04A·CSK23/04H·STR01/05A·SPA06/05H·LIT13/05A·DUN20/05H·MAR26/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.530.400.270.270.80
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.360.500.430.140.290.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sozopol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sozopol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sozopol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sozopol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SozopolSozopol

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W01L00D00D20W01L11D21WH·ETA18/03A·YAN31/03H·LUD09/04A·DOB14/04H·LEV22/04A·BOT30/04H·MON06/05A·VIT15/05H·SPO20/05A·BEL26/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.870.800.471.13
vs Stronger (1)0.004.000.004.00--
vs Similar (29)0.690.860.930.570.471.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D11D02L00D11D01L01L21W20WH·VIT17/03A·SPO31/03H·BEL08/04A·ETA14/04A·CSK23/04H·STR01/05A·SPA06/05H·LIT13/05A·DUN20/05H·MAR26/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.870.470.270.53
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.570.460.860.360.290.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sozopol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sozopol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sozopol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sozopol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
Y2 (18)
€3m
EVT (23)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
EVT (8)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SOZ wins
0
Draws
1
FMP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sozopol vs FK Minyor Pernik · H/A from SOZ
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/22AFK Minyor Pernik Vs SOZ2-0

SozopolSozopol

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/23ABelasitsa Vs SOZ2-3
20/05/23HSOZ Vs Sportist Svoge1-1
15/05/23AVitosha Bistritsa Vs SOZ1-0
06/05/23HSOZ Vs Montana4-0
30/04/23ABotev Plovdiv II Vs SOZ0-0
22/04/23HSOZ Vs Levski Krumovgrad1-1
14/04/23ADobrudzha Vs SOZ2-0
09/04/23HSOZ Vs Ludogorets II2-1
31/03/23AYantra 2019 Vs SOZ0-1
18/03/23HSOZ Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo0-2

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/23HFMP Vs Maritsa Plovdiv2-0
20/05/23ADunav Ruse Vs FMP4-2
13/05/23HFMP Vs Litex1-1
06/05/23ASpartak Pleven Vs FMP3-0
01/05/23HFMP Vs Strumska Slava1-1
23/04/23ACSKA 1948 Sofia II Vs FMP0-0
14/04/23AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs FMP2-0
08/04/23HFMP Vs Belasitsa2-1
31/03/23ASportist Svoge Vs FMP0-0
17/03/23HFMP Vs Vitosha Bistritsa1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sozopol
Sozopol
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.09
HomeLWDWD1.38
AwayWLDLW0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%31%19%
AVG goals2.502.502.50
Over 1.5 %78%88%69%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %25%19%31%
Scored0.971.190.75
Conceded1.531.311.75
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet19%19%19%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Minyor Pernik
FK Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW1.09
HomeDWDDW1.69
AwayDLDLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%44%6%
AVG goals2.062.251.88
Over 1.5 %66%75%56%
Over 2.5 %31%38%25%
Over 3.5 %9%12%6%
Scored1.001.500.50
Conceded1.060.751.38
BTTS34%44%25%
Clean Sheet34%50%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3474
65%
2.2
6017+43
2.3
71%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.5
-
2Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3463
53%
1.9
4722+25
2.0
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.6
-
3Levski KrumovgradLevski Krumovgrad3460
50%
1.8
4333+10
2.2
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4Ludogorets IILudogorets II3457
50%
1.7
4235+7
2.3
62%
35%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.0
-
5Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3452
41%
1.5
4140+1
2.4
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
6Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
68%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.1
-
7Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv3447
41%
1.4
3646-10
2.4
68%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
8LitexLitex3444
32%
1.3
3228+4
1.8
50%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.90.8
-
9MontanaMontana3444
35%
1.3
3739-2
2.2
53%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.1
-
10Yantra 2019Yantra 20193444
32%
1.3
3134-3
1.9
50%
32%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.91.0
-
11Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3442
29%
1.2
4444+0
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
12BelasitsaBelasitsa3441
35%
1.2
3341-8
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
13DobrudzhaDobrudzha3439
29%
1.1
3840-2
2.3
74%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.2
-
14Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3439
26%
1.1
3544-9
2.3
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3438
26%
1.1
3335-2
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
16SozopolSozopol3438
26%
1.1
3252-20
2.5
76%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
17Vitosha BistritsaVitosha Bistritsa3436
26%
1.1
3450-16
2.5
71%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
18Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II3428
21%
0.8
2552-27
2.3
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
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Bulgaria: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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