Sparta Brno’s recent 2-game winning streak gives them a modest 18% chance of victory, but the model favours a Baník Ostrava win at 60%. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 1-2 for the visitors, a 9.8% chance. Sparta’s home form shows 1.0 goal scored and 1.45 conceded against similar opposition, while Baník’s away record mirrors that, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.45. The probabilities of each result are 18% for a home win, 22% for a draw, and 60% for an away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.1%), Under 6.5 (94.6%), Away +2 handicap (92.9%), Home under 2.5 goals (89.1%), Away over 0.5 goals (89.0%), Under 5.5 (87.7% with a 4% edge), and Over 1.5 (85.6%).
Results analysis
Sparta Brno’s recent run of LWWLW ended in a crushing 0-9 loss to Baník Ostrava, who were on a two-game winning streak. The final score of 0-9 was a far cry from the model’s expected total of 3.3 goals, yet the away win prediction proved correct. The model’s favourite, Away win, had a 60% probability and it was right. The suggested picks were mixed: Under 7.5 (97.9%) missed, Home under 3.5 goals (97.1%) hit, Under 6.5 (94.6%) missed, Away +2 handicap (92.9%) hit, Home under 2.5 goals (89.1%) hit, Away over 0.5 goals (89.0%) hit, Under 5.5 (87.7%) missed, and Over 1.5 (85.6%) hit.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sparta Brno win✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied 4.8% · @ 19.20
Edge
+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
27.00
Marathonbet
27.00
Betfair
23.00
BetVictor
23.00
Betano
18.50
Draw✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied 10.4% · @ 8.76
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
9.80
Betfair
9.50
BetVictor
9.50
Bet365
9.50
Superbet
8.90
Baník Ostrava win✓ Hit
60.4%
Avg Implied 84.8% · @ 1.08
Edge
-24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.10
Dafabet
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sparta Brno
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.50
2.00
1.50
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.40
1.29
1.21
1.31
1.56
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.33
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (18)
0.94
1.22
1.00
0.86
0.91
1.45
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.00
2.75
1.00
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
@ 1.08-0.4%
Under 1.5
14.4%
@ 6.67+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Under
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.0%
@ 1.36-2.2%
Under 2.5
35.0%
@ 2.80+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.1%
@ 1.91-5.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
@ 1.78+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
1.95
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.6%
@ 2.56+25.6%
No
38.4%
@ 1.44-25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
BetVictor
2.70
William Hil
2.50
Betano
2.42
No
Unibet
1.60
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.44
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.8%@ 10.60+5.7%
1-1
9.8%@ 17.20+7.3%
0-2
8.5%@ 5.66+0.9%
1-3
7.2%@ 10.70+3.2%
0-1
6.8%@ 8.20+1.6%
0-3
6.3%@ 5.68-1.3%
2-2
5.6%@ 37.00+4.4%
2-1
5.1%@ 59.60+4.4%
Sparta Brno goals ↓
Baník Ostrava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
6.8%
8.5%
6.3%
3.4%
1
3.1%
9.8%
9.8%
7.2%
4.0%
2
2.3%
5.1%
5.6%
4.1%
2.3%
3
0.9%
1.9%
2.1%
1.6%
0.9%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sparta Brno goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
3.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.50
Uničov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Slavia Praha
2.33
Bohemians 1905
2.33
Hlinsko
2.25
Zbrojovka Brno
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.17
Slaný
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Nové Sady
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Jiskra Domažlice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Králův Dvůr
2.00
Trutnov
2.00
Vrchovina
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Slovan Liberec
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Zlin
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Prostějov
2.00
Třinec
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.75
Karlovy Vary
1.75
Horní Ředice
1.75
Hradec Králové
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Mlada Boleslav
1.60
Písek
1.50
Slavičín
1.50
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Sparta Brno
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Komárov
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Zabreh
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Štětí
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Velké Hamry
1.50
Unie Hlubina
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Pěnčín
1.50
Chomutov
1.50
Kladno
1.50
České Budějovice
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Rokycany
1.33
Hranice
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Bospor Bohumín
1.33
Baník Ostrava
1.25
Artis
1.25
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.06
Vestec
1.06
Šternberk
1.06
Bystrc Kníničky
1.06
Horni Becva
1.06
Spartak Pribram
1.06
Hermanuv Mestec
1.06
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.06
Velká Bíteš
1.06
Belotin
1.06
SK Krumvir
1.06
Hvězda Cheb
1.06
Strakonice
1.06
Slavia Vejprnice
1.06
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.06
Kravare
1.06
Stará Říše
1.06
TJ Bystrice
1.06
Branik
1.06
Dvůr Králové
1.06
Letohrad
1.06
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.06
Vykan
1.06
Blansko
1.06
Bedrichov
1.06
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.06
Nyrsko
1.06
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Břeclav
1.00
Uherský Brod
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Kolín
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
1.00
Ráječko
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Opava
1.00
Čáslav
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vratimov
0.67
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Kuřim
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Sokol Hostouň
0.50
Neratovice-Byškovice
0.00
Bzenec
0.00
Hořovicko
0.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.00
Bílovec
0.00
Velké Meziříčí
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Stonava
0.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Hluk
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Tempo Praha
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Benešov
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Křimice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Milevsko
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Znojmo
0.00
Sigma Olomouc
0.00
Vlašim
0.00
Sparta Brno is 0.25 points better than Baník Ostrava in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Táborsko
4.33
Uničov
4.00
Prostějov
4.00
Třinec
4.00
Frýdek-Místek
3.75
Králův Dvůr
3.67
Slaný
3.50
Vítkovice
3.50
Slovan Liberec
3.50
Karviná
3.50
Vysoké Mýto
3.00
Aritma Praha
3.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.00
Velké Hamry
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Hodonín
2.67
Slavia Praha
2.67
Plzen
2.67
Sparta Brno
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Vrchovina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Trutnov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Zlin
2.33
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Nové Sady
2.20
Neratovice-Byškovice
2.00
Písek
2.00
Slavičín
2.00
Hořovicko
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Štětí
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Unie Hlubina
2.00
Hlinsko
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Bospor Bohumín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Milevsko
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Bohemians 1905
2.00
Mlada Boleslav
2.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
FK Jablonec
1.83
Horní Ředice
1.75
Zbrojovka Brno
1.75
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Petřín Plzeň
1.67
Tatran Bohunice
1.67
Hranice
1.67
Brandýs nad Labem
1.67
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.57
Vestec
1.57
Šternberk
1.57
Bystrc Kníničky
1.57
Horni Becva
1.57
Spartak Pribram
1.57
Hermanuv Mestec
1.57
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.57
Velká Bíteš
1.57
Belotin
1.57
SK Krumvir
1.57
Hvězda Cheb
1.57
Strakonice
1.57
Slavia Vejprnice
1.57
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.57
Kravare
1.57
Stará Říše
1.57
TJ Bystrice
1.57
Branik
1.57
Dvůr Králové
1.57
Letohrad
1.57
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.57
Vykan
1.57
Blansko
1.57
Bedrichov
1.57
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.57
Nyrsko
1.57
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Sokol Lanžhot
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Sokol Hostouň
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Artis
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.33
Rokycany
1.33
Vratimov
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.33
Slovácko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Bílovec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Stonava
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Hlučín
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Hluk
1.00
Zabreh
1.00
Šumperk
1.00
Tempo Praha
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Křimice
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Znojmo
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Hanácká
1.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Bzenec
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Opava
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Sparta Brno is 0.75 goals better than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Břeclav
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Opava
0.00
Sparta Praha
0.33
Vysočina Jihlava
0.33
Mlada Boleslav
0.40
Písek
0.50
Havlíčkův Brod
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Hlučín
0.50
Štětí
0.50
Frýdek-Místek
0.50
Slovan Liberec
0.50
Vysoké Mýto
0.67
Hodonín
0.67
Dukla Praha
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Bohemians 1905
0.67
Slovácko
0.67
Karviná
0.67
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Aritma Praha
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Meteor Praha
1.00
Strání
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Frýdlant
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
FK Jablonec
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Hlinsko
1.25
Artis
1.25
Třinec
1.25
Sokol Brozany
1.33
Uničov
1.33
Trutnov
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Plzen
1.33
Zlin
1.33
Slaný
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Baník Sokolov
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
1.50
Kladno
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Nové Sady
1.80
Slavičín
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.00
Kuřim
2.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
2.00
Kosmonosy
2.00
Šumperk
2.00
Holešov
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Křimice
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Chrudim
2.00
Znojmo
2.00
Vlašim
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Klasterec n. Oh.
2.13
Vestec
2.13
Šternberk
2.13
Bystrc Kníničky
2.13
Horni Becva
2.13
Spartak Pribram
2.13
Hermanuv Mestec
2.13
Slavoj Vyšehrad
2.13
Velká Bíteš
2.13
Belotin
2.13
SK Krumvir
2.13
Hvězda Cheb
2.13
Strakonice
2.13
Slavia Vejprnice
2.13
Slavia Hradec Králové
2.13
Kravare
2.13
Stará Říše
2.13
TJ Bystrice
2.13
Branik
2.13
Dvůr Králové
2.13
Letohrad
2.13
Rychnov n. Kneznou
2.13
Vykan
2.13
Blansko
2.13
Bedrichov
2.13
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
2.13
Nyrsko
2.13
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Rokycany
2.33
Vratimov
2.33
Králův Dvůr
2.33
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Zabreh
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Vsetín
2.50
Unie Hlubina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Hranice
2.67
Bospor Bohumín
2.67
Neratovice-Byškovice
3.00
Sparta Brno
3.00
Hořovicko
3.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
3.00
Brumov
3.00
Bílovec
3.00
Sokol Zápy
3.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
3.00
Valašské Meziříčí
3.00
Hluk
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Spartak Soběslav
3.00
Benešov
3.00
Tatran Všechovice
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Příbram
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Kozlovice
3.50
Chotebor
3.50
Doubravka
3.50
Velké Meziříčí
4.00
Milevsko
4.00
Bzenec
5.00
Povltava FA
5.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
5.00
Tempo Praha
5.00
Stonava
6.00
Břidličná
6.00
Svitavy
7.00
Sparta Brno is 1.25 goals worse than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.75).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sparta Brno or Draw✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 15.5% · @ 6.13
Edge
+24.1%
18%
22%
60%
covers Sparta Brno + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.45
Marathonbet
6.45
Sparta Brno or Baník Ostrava✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied 91.3% · @ 1.04
Edge
-12.9%
18%
22%
60%
covers Sparta Brno + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
William Hil
1.05
Unibet
1.04
Draw or Baník Ostrava✓ Hit
82.0%
Avg Implied 93.2% · @ 1.02
Edge
-11.2%
18%
22%
60%
covers Draw + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.02
Unibet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sparta Brno over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.2%
@ 2.49+31.3%
Under
31.8%
@ 1.46-31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.79
1xBet
2.70
BetVictor
2.55
Betano
2.42
Unibet
1.98
Under
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.45
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Sparta Brno over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.8%
@ 9.05+21.6%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.03-21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.60
BetVictor
8.50
Under
BetVictor
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Sparta Brno over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Brno over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.0%
Under
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
64.6%
@ 1.14-15.9%
Under
35.4%
@ 4.70+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Under
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.60
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
37.8%
@ 1.55-21.6%
Under
62.2%
@ 2.27+21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.66
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Marathonbet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Unibet
1.96
Baník Ostrava over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
18.1%
@ 2.36-20.8%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.50+20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.65
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.57
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.55
BetVictor
1.50
Unibet
1.35
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sparta Brno, so a minus line means Sparta Brno give that many goals of a start and Baník Ostrava receive them. At -1, Sparta Brno must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sparta Brno win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sparta Brno)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Sparta Brno -2
2.1%
Draw -2
5.0%
Baník Ostrava +2
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sparta Brno)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Sparta Brno -1
7.1%
Draw -1
10.9%
Baník Ostrava +1
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sparta Brno)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Sparta Brno +1
39.6%
Draw +1
21.7%
Baník Ostrava -1
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sparta Brno)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Sparta Brno +2
61.3%
@ 2.78+30.4%
Draw +2
18.4%
@ 3.75-4.6%
Baník Ostrava -2
20.4%
@ 1.86-25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.14
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.10
Away
Unibet
1.97
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.71
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sparta Brno
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.57
0.79
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.56
0.57
0.43
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.40
William Hil
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
BetVictor
2.04
Betano
1.98
Betfair
1.95
Under
William Hil
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
Betfair
1.75
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.80
Betfair
4.50
William Hil
3.80
1xBet
3.70
Under
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sparta Brno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Sparta Brno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Brno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.60
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.15
Under
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.55
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.15
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sparta Brno
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.25
0.75
1.25
0.75
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.71
0.43
0.88
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.67
0.43
0.43
0.64
0.82
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.75
1.75
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.40
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.70
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Betano
2.27
William Hil
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Under
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
William Hil
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sparta Brno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.25
Under
1xBet
1.16
Sparta Brno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Brno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.00
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
87.7%
1.11
1xBet
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
-
-
-
+4.5%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
85.6%
1.08
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
82.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Unibet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
-11.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
William Hil
1.05
Unibet
1.04
-12.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
75.3%
1.31
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Unibet
1.27
+6.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Baník Ostrava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kohút33%
Václav Jurečka25%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Jiri Micek20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Chaluš25%
Filip Kubala25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip Kubala25%
Artúr Musák25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Kohút33%
Dantaye Gilbert20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
KAR (24)
€7m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
KAR (11)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
SB wins
0
Draws
0
BO wins
Head-to-head
Sparta Brno vs Baník Ostrava · H/A from SB
Date
H/A
Game
Score
No games.
Sparta Brno
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
12/08/26
H
SB Vs Sokol Lanžhot
2-0
25/07/26
H
SB Vs Vrchovina
1-0
13/08/25
H
SB Vs Hodonín
0-6
26/07/25
H
SB Vs Bzenec
5-0
Baník Ostrava
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
16/08/26
H
BO Vs Artis
1-0
09/08/26
A
Hradec Králové Vs BO
2-1
01/08/26
H
BO Vs Slavia Praha
0-4
25/07/26
A
Zlin Vs BO
0-1
30/05/26
A
Táborsko Vs BO
0-5
26/05/26
H
BO Vs Táborsko
3-0
23/05/26
A
Dukla Praha Vs BO
0-3
16/05/26
H
BO Vs Zlin
2-0
12/05/26
A
Slovácko Vs BO
2-1
09/05/26
A
Teplice Vs BO
2-1
📊 16. Overall Statistics
Sparta Brno
Czech-Republic: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WLWW
2.25
Home
WLWW
2.25
Away
-
-
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
75%
75%
-
AVG goals
3.50
3.50
-
Over 1.5 %
75%
75%
-
Over 2.5 %
50%
50%
-
Over 3.5 %
50%
50%
-
Scored
2.00
2.00
-
Conceded
1.50
1.50
-
BTTS
0%
0%
-
Clean Sheet
75%
75%
-
Corners
-
-
-
Cards
-
-
-
Baník Ostrava
Czech-Republic: Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WWLLW
1.02
Home
DWWLW
1.22
Away
LWWWL
0.85
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
26%
35%
19%
AVG goals
2.60
2.65
2.56
Over 1.5 %
70%
74%
67%
Over 2.5 %
42%
39%
44%
Over 3.5 %
24%
26%
22%
Scored
1.16
1.22
1.11
Conceded
1.44
1.43
1.44
BTTS
42%
30%
52%
Clean Sheet
26%
30%
22%
Corners
10.00
10.70
9.30
Cards
4.34
3.77
4.91
🏆 17. League Table
Baník Ostrava plays in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin