This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mlada Boleslav
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.41
1.62
1.50
1.44
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.33
1.00
3.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (13)
1.69
1.31
1.71
1.29
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
29% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.7%
Under 2.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
Sparta Praha goals ↓
Mlada Boleslav goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
5.7%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.2%
13%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.7%
9.6%
5.3%
2.0%
0.5%
3
4.8%
5.4%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.0%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sparta Praha goals (down), columns = Mlada Boleslav goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Sparta Praha is 1.04 points better than Mlada Boleslav in terms of average points per game (2.23 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Sparta Praha is 0.95 goals better than Mlada Boleslav in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.22).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Sparta Praha is 0.43 goals better than Mlada Boleslav in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Sparta Praha is 0.0 percentage points worse than Mlada Boleslav in terms of average possession (53% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sparta Praha
For 7.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mlada Boleslav
For 4.7 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.3 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Praha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
10.9
10.7
11.1
4.5
4.3
4.7
24.2
22.4
26.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
13.0
16.0
10.0
3.0
7.0
1.7
18.0
10.0
26.0
vs Weaker (15)
10.6
10.0
11.3
4.9
4.0
6.2
25.1
24.0
26.5
% over line
56%
56%
57%
63%
60%
67%
75%
78%
71%
% under line
44%
44%
43%
37%
40%
33%
25%
22%
29%
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mlada Boleslav
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
8.6
9.3
8.0
3.6
3.9
3.3
27.2
27.6
26.6
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
9.0
13.0
4.0
7.0
2.5
21.5
21.0
22.0
vs Similar (13)
9.0
9.3
8.6
3.5
3.4
3.5
28.3
28.7
27.8
vs Weaker (1)
0.0
-
0.0
4.0
-
4.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
43%
57%
65%
62%
67%
83%
86%
80%
% under line
50%
57%
43%
35%
38%
33%
17%
14%
20%
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sigma Olomouc
12.0
Pardubice
11.3
Slovan Liberec
11.1
Plzen
11.0
Sparta Praha
10.9
České Budějovice
10.9
Baník Ostrava
10.7
Teplice
10.5
Slavia Praha
10.3
Zbrojovka Brno
9.9
FK Jablonec
8.8
Hradec Králové
8.8
Mlada Boleslav
8.6
Slovácko
8.5
Bohemians 1905
8.0
Zlin
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Praha
5.3
Baník Ostrava
5.3
Slavia Praha
5.1
Hradec Králové
4.9
FK Jablonec
4.9
Sigma Olomouc
4.5
Mlada Boleslav
4.4
Plzen
4.2
Slovan Liberec
4.2
Slovácko
4.2
Bohemians 1905
4.1
Pardubice
4.1
Teplice
4.0
Zlin
3.8
České Budějovice
3.8
Zbrojovka Brno
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hradec Králové
28.8
FK Jablonec
27.4
Mlada Boleslav
27.2
Zlin
26.2
Teplice
25.9
Slovácko
25.1
Pardubice
24.7
Slovan Liberec
24.2
Sparta Praha
24.2
Bohemians 1905
24.2
Sigma Olomouc
24.1
Baník Ostrava
24.1
Slavia Praha
24.0
Zbrojovka Brno
22.0
Plzen
21.9
České Budějovice
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.5%
Under 9.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.8%
Under 21.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sparta Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.84
0.74
0.70
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.60
0.78
0.56
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mlada Boleslav
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.65
0.59
0.62
0.62
0.67
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.62
0.57
0.71
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sparta Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.84
0.21
1.00
0.20
0.67
0.22
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.20
1.11
0.22
0.83
0.17
Clean sheet %
79% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Mlada Boleslav) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mlada Boleslav
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.82
1.00
0.88
0.78
0.78
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.69
1.14
0.57
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mlada Boleslav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jaroslav Zelený33%
Qazim Laci33%
Lukáš Sadílek33%
Martin Minchev0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Ladislav Krejčí0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Asger Sørensen33%
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Mlada Boleslav · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jiří Klíma50%
Solomon John50%
Martin Šubert50%
Lukáš Letenay33%
Daniel Langhamer25%
David Kozel25%
Martin Králik0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Floder0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Hybš25%
Jiří Floder25%
Solomon John25%
Martin Šubert25%
Martin Králik0%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Klíma0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Solomon John50%
Martin Králik25%
Jiří Klíma25%
Martin Šubert25%
Josef Kolářík25%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Floder0%
Daniel Langhamer0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Jan Zíka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Langhamer25%
Solomon John25%
Martin Králik0%
Lukáš Letenay0%
Matěj Hybš0%
Ondrej Karafiat0%
Jiří Klíma0%
Jiří Floder0%
David Kozel0%
Denis Donát0%
Jan Buryan0%
Martin Šubert0%
Filip Špatenka0%
Josef Kolářík0%
Jan Zíka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Sparta Praha's squad is €81m more valuable than Mlada Boleslav's (€92m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Sparta Praha's attack is €39m more valuable than Mlada Boleslav's (€43m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Sparta Praha's midfield is €23m more valuable than Mlada Boleslav's (€27m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Sparta Praha's defence is €19m more valuable than Mlada Boleslav's (€22m vs €3m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
Pardubice
FK Jablonec
Zlin
České Budějovice
Zbrojovka Brno
Vyškov
Příbram