This opponent (Plzen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.53
2.06
1.31
1.29
1.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
4.00
1.33
3.33
0.33
4.67
vs Similar (3)
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (21)
2.00
0.90
2.36
0.91
1.60
0.90
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.5%
Under 2.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
Sparta Praha goals ↓
Plzen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
4.9%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
1
8.0%
12%
6.4%
2.5%
0.8%
2
8.2%
9.7%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.9%
5.8%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.2%
2.6%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sparta Praha goals (down), columns = Plzen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Sparta Praha is 0.49 points better than Plzen in terms of average points per game (2.23 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Sparta Praha is 0.46 goals better than Plzen in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Sparta Praha is 0.14 goals better than Plzen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Sparta Praha is 3.1 percentage points better than Plzen in terms of average possession (53% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sparta Praha
For 5.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Plzen
For 6.3 · Against 5.9 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Praha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
10.1
10.0
10.2
4.8
4.7
4.9
24.8
22.5
27.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
11.3
12.0
10.0
4.4
8.5
1.7
20.3
17.5
26.0
vs Weaker (25)
10.0
9.7
10.2
4.9
4.1
5.8
25.3
23.3
27.3
% over line
44%
43%
46%
70%
67%
73%
78%
71%
85%
% under line
56%
57%
54%
30%
33%
27%
22%
29%
15%
This opponent (Plzen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
11.4
10.3
12.6
3.9
3.6
4.2
22.3
23.0
21.4
vs Stronger (6)
8.5
7.0
10.0
3.3
4.3
2.3
19.0
21.0
17.0
vs Similar (5)
11.8
11.3
12.5
5.0
5.3
4.5
25.8
24.0
28.5
vs Weaker (29)
12.0
10.8
13.2
3.9
3.1
4.6
22.3
23.2
21.4
% over line
70%
68%
72%
62%
50%
75%
50%
56%
44%
% under line
30%
32%
28%
38%
50%
25%
50%
44%
56%
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Pardubice
12.0
Plzen
11.4
Baník Ostrava
11.4
Sigma Olomouc
11.2
Slavia Praha
11.0
Slovan Liberec
10.9
České Budějovice
10.5
Zbrojovka Brno
10.5
Mlada Boleslav
10.2
Teplice
10.1
Sparta Praha
10.1
Slovácko
9.5
FK Jablonec
9.3
Hradec Králové
9.0
Bohemians 1905
8.9
Zlin
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Praha
5.3
Hradec Králové
5.2
Baník Ostrava
5.2
Slavia Praha
4.8
FK Jablonec
4.3
Slovan Liberec
4.3
Plzen
4.2
Pardubice
4.1
Teplice
4.1
Sigma Olomouc
4.1
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
Bohemians 1905
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Zbrojovka Brno
3.8
Zlin
3.8
České Budějovice
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hradec Králové
29.0
Mlada Boleslav
28.1
Slovan Liberec
25.7
Zlin
25.5
Slovácko
25.4
Teplice
25.3
Slavia Praha
25.1
Sparta Praha
24.8
FK Jablonec
24.8
Baník Ostrava
24.7
Sigma Olomouc
24.6
Pardubice
24.4
České Budějovice
23.5
Bohemians 1905
23.5
Zbrojovka Brno
22.9
Plzen
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
72.5%
Under 9.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.6%
Under 3.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.2%
Under 21.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sparta Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.60
0.93
0.53
1.13
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
0.50
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (25)
1.20
0.48
1.08
0.54
1.33
0.42
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.81
0.50
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
2.50
0.00
2.33
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.24
1.00
0.09
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sparta Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.37
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.60
1.50
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (25)
1.24
0.32
1.31
0.23
1.17
0.42
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Plzen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plzen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.87
1.25
0.81
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.50
1.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.19
0.67
1.36
0.82
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plzen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jaroslav Zelený33%
Qazim Laci33%
Lukáš Sadílek33%
Martin Minchev0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Ladislav Krejčí0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Asger Sørensen33%
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Plzen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Kliment67%
Jan Sýkora25%
Jan Kopic20%
Adam Vlkanova14%
Tomáš Chorý11%
Erik Jirka0%
Milan Havel0%
Lukáš Hejda0%
Luděk Pernica0%
Aleš Čermák0%
Jhon Mosquera0%
Pavel Bucha0%
Václav Jemelka0%
Lukáš Kalvach0%
Václav Pilař0%
Libor Holík0%
Jindřich Staněk0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Fortune Akpan Bassey0%
Modou N'Diaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jan Sýkora50%
Jhon Mosquera44%
Václav Jemelka40%
Luděk Pernica38%
Mohamed Tijani33%
Jan Kliment33%
Modou N'Diaye25%
Tomáš Chorý22%
Jan Kopic20%
Lukáš Kalvach20%
Lukáš Hejda11%
Erik Jirka0%
Milan Havel0%
Aleš Čermák0%
Pavel Bucha0%
Václav Pilař0%
Libor Holík0%
Jindřich Staněk0%
Adam Vlkanova0%
Fortune Akpan Bassey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jhon Mosquera22%
Jan Kopic20%
Adam Vlkanova14%
Libor Holík11%
Václav Jemelka10%
Lukáš Kalvach10%
Erik Jirka0%
Milan Havel0%
Lukáš Hejda0%
Luděk Pernica0%
Aleš Čermák0%
Tomáš Chorý0%
Jan Sýkora0%
Pavel Bucha0%
Václav Pilař0%
Jindřich Staněk0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Jan Kliment0%
Fortune Akpan Bassey0%
Modou N'Diaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Pilař17%
Tomáš Chorý11%
Jhon Mosquera11%
Erik Jirka0%
Milan Havel0%
Lukáš Hejda0%
Luděk Pernica0%
Aleš Čermák0%
Jan Kopic0%
Jan Sýkora0%
Pavel Bucha0%
Václav Jemelka0%
Lukáš Kalvach0%
Libor Holík0%
Jindřich Staněk0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Adam Vlkanova0%
Jan Kliment0%
Fortune Akpan Bassey0%
Modou N'Diaye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Sparta Praha's squad is €35m more valuable than Plzen's (€92m vs €57m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Sparta Praha's attack is €28m more valuable than Plzen's (€43m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Sparta Praha's midfield is €5m more valuable than Plzen's (€27m vs €22m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Sparta Praha's defence is €1m more valuable than Plzen's (€22m vs €20m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Bohemians 1905
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
Pardubice
FK Jablonec
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
České Budějovice
Zbrojovka Brno
Vyškov
Příbram