The clash between Sparta Praha and Slavia Praha is a finely balanced affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 33% and 40% respectively, while a draw is 27%. The expected total goals hover near 2.9, with the most probable total being 2 goals at 24%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7% chance. Sparta, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, whereas Slavia, on the road, averages 2.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals (98.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 3% edge), Under 6.5 (96.3% with a 1% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.6% with a 2% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (94.1% with a 2% edge) and Away under 3.5 goals (91.7%). The match remains open, but the model’s pick points to Slavia Praha securing the victory.
Results analysis
Sparta Praha’s recent form has slipped, coming off a defeat, while Slavia Praha remain unbeaten in their last five. The model’s favourite, an away win, came through as the final score was 0-3, confirming the prediction. The model also selected an away win with a 40% probability, and the most likely total of 2 goals fell short, but the 2-goal expectation was still close. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.4%, Under 6.5 at 96.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.1%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 91.7%. The model’s selections were largely correct.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sparta Praha win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied 33.8% · @ 2.75
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.84
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.80
BetVictor
2.75
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.36
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.40
Slavia Praha win✓ Hit
39.6%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.40
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.48
Unibet
2.48
Dafabet
2.44
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sparta Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.07
2.50
1.07
1.31
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
1.86
0.67
1.67
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.26
0.83
3.00
0.91
1.58
0.75
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.30
1.27
2.60
1.00
2.00
1.53
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
4.00
2.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.83
1.17
1.50
0.25
2.50
3.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.43
1.17
3.10
1.00
1.92
1.31
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
@ 1.23+4.4%
Under 1.5
19.6%
@ 3.88-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.20
BetVictor
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.88
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.4%
@ 1.76+3.1%
Under 2.5
43.6%
@ 2.02-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
SBO
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.78
Under
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.09
Pinnacle
2.07
Betfair
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
@ 2.84+1.2%
Under 3.5
66.0%
@ 1.39-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.15
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.94
Unibet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.4%
@ 1.59+2.4%
No
39.6%
@ 2.21-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.60
No
1xBet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
BetVictor
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 6.22+5.3%
1-2
8.8%@ 8.54+3.5%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.42+3.2%
0-1
7.0%@ 8.79+1.8%
0-0
6.4%@ 11.26+2.4%
1-0
6.3%@ 9.41+1.5%
0-2
6.2%@ 12.08+2.5%
2-2
6.2%@ 11.71+2.3%
Sparta Praha goals ↓
Slavia Praha goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
7.0%
6.2%
3.2%
1.2%
1
6.3%
13%
8.8%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.2%
8.0%
6.2%
3.2%
1.2%
3
2.4%
3.8%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.9%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sparta Praha goals (down), columns = Slavia Praha goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Sparta Praha is 0.83 points worse than Slavia Praha in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Sparta Praha is 0.83 goals worse than Slavia Praha in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Sparta Praha is 0.83 goals worse than Slavia Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Sparta Praha is 11.2 percentage points better than Slavia Praha in terms of average possession (65% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sparta Praha
For 5.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slavia Praha
For 6.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Praha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.5
3.9
4.2
3.6
24.7
23.0
26.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
10.8
11.5
10.0
3.6
3.4
3.7
25.5
23.0
28.4
vs Weaker (36)
9.4
9.5
9.3
4.0
4.5
3.6
24.4
23.0
25.9
% over line
43%
43%
43%
52%
50%
54%
73%
52%
95%
% under line
57%
57%
57%
48%
50%
46%
27%
48%
5%
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.5
11.6
4.0
3.8
4.3
26.9
26.0
27.7
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
10.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
25.5
25.5
-
vs Similar (11)
9.1
9.0
9.2
5.7
4.7
7.0
29.8
29.8
29.8
vs Weaker (37)
11.7
11.1
12.2
3.5
3.4
3.6
26.1
24.9
27.2
% over line
61%
52%
70%
54%
50%
58%
85%
78%
91%
% under line
39%
48%
30%
46%
50%
42%
15%
22%
9%
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Hradec Králové
9.9
Baník Ostrava
9.9
Pardubice
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Slovan Liberec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Slavia Praha
4.5
Teplice
4.5
Pardubice
4.4
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Hradec Králové
3.7
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.6
Teplice
28.2
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
Sigma Olomouc
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.5
Artis
26.5
Plzen
26.1
Pardubice
25.5
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Baník Ostrava
24.5
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.8
Zbrojovka Brno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.1%
@ 1.68+4.9%
Under 9.5
39.9%
@ 2.06-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Marathonbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Unibet
2.07
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.4%
Under 3.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.0%
Under 21.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sparta Praha or Draw✗ Miss
59.0%
Avg Implied 61.1% · @ 1.52
Edge
-2.2%
34%
27%
40%
covers Sparta Praha + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Sparta Praha or Slavia Praha✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
+1.2%
34%
27%
40%
covers Sparta Praha + Slavia Praha
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Draw or Slavia Praha✓ Hit
67.0%
Avg Implied 66.1% · @ 1.41
Edge
+1.0%
34%
27%
40%
covers Draw + Slavia Praha
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.4%
@ 1.27+3.3%
Under
23.6%
@ 3.46-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.73
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.4%
@ 2.33+2.3%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.55-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 5.27+0.1%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.13-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
BetVictor
5.25
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Sparta Praha over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 12.42-1.7%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Slavia Praha over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.4%
@ 1.23+4.8%
Under
19.6%
@ 3.80-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.25
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.94
BetVictor
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Slavia Praha over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.5%
@ 2.14+4.9%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.65-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Slavia Praha over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
22.5%
@ 4.60+2.3%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.16-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Slavia Praha over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 10.44-0.7%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sparta Praha, so a minus line means Sparta Praha give that many goals of a start and Slavia Praha receive them. At -1, Sparta Praha must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sparta Praha win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sparta Praha)Actual: Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha -2
5.8%
@ 9.90-3.0%
Draw -2
9.9%
@ 6.55-3.4%
Slavia Praha +2
84.3%
@ 1.12+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.70
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Sparta Praha)Actual: Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha -1
15.7%
@ 5.06-1.8%
Draw -1
17.2%
@ 4.30-3.4%
Slavia Praha +1
67.0%
@ 1.44+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Away
Superbet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Handicap +1 (Sparta Praha)Actual: Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha +1
59.0%
@ 1.51+0.3%
Draw +1
19.6%
@ 4.10-2.1%
Slavia Praha -1
21.5%
@ 4.53+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Away
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Sparta Praha)Actual: Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha +2
78.5%
@ 1.16+0.7%
Draw +2
12.6%
@ 6.79-0.6%
Slavia Praha -2
8.8%
@ 10.12-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Unibet
6.40
Superbet
6.40
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Superbet
9.10
Marathonbet
8.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sparta Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
1.21
0.57
0.38
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.57
0.00
0.67
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.96
0.43
1.55
0.55
0.42
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.47
1.40
0.53
1.27
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.25
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.39
0.39
1.60
0.50
1.23
0.31
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.0%
@ 1.33+3.9%
Under 0.5
26.0%
@ 3.12-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.27
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.9%
@ 2.51+4.0%
Under 1.5
59.1%
@ 1.47-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 5.90-1.8%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.10+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.70
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 2.04+1.6%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.70-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.69
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 6.23-2.6%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.09+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 18.67-3.1%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Slavia Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.9%
@ 1.92+2.5%
Under
49.1%
@ 1.80-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Unibet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.91
Under
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Slavia Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 5.56-0.4%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.11+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Slavia Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 16.00-3.3%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sparta Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.60
1.29
0.50
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.29
0.67
1.00
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.30
0.39
1.45
0.36
1.17
0.42
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.20
0.47
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.67
0.75
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.78
1.50
0.50
0.69
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.9%
@ 1.20+3.8%
Under 0.5
19.1%
@ 4.05-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.1%
@ 1.97-1.0%
Under 1.5
53.9%
@ 1.76+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Under
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 3.92-3.5%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.21+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.45
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.60
Under
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.8%
@ 1.76+4.1%
Under
43.2%
@ 1.96-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
1xBet
1.69
Under
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.91
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 4.62-1.8%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.16+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.55
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Under
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 13.25-3.4%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Slavia Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.7%
@ 1.69+0.8%
Under
44.3%
@ 2.06-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.61
Under
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Slavia Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.4%
@ 4.20-3.7%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.19+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.40
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Under
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Slavia Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.0%
@ 11.67-3.1%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.02+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.1%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.7%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.3%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.16
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.19
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.20
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.4%
1.23
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.4%
1.23
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.2%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.21
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
78.5%
1.16
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
77.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-2.3%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
76.4%
1.27
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.27
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.0%
1.33
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.0%
1.28
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.9%
1.38
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
+5.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
John Mercado43%
Adam Karabec29%
Matěj Ryneš29%
Andy Irving17%
Jonatan Braut Brunes17%
Josimar Alcócer14%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Roman Macek0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Hollý67%
Adam Karabec29%
Matěj Ryneš29%
Jaroslav Zelený20%
Roman Macek20%
Josimar Alcócer14%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Andy Irving0%
Jonatan Braut Brunes0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
John Mercado0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jaroslav Zelený20%
Andy Irving17%
Martin Suchomel17%
Matěj Ryneš14%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Haraslín0%
Roman Macek0%
Jonatan Braut Brunes0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Adam Karabec0%
John Mercado0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Josimar Alcócer0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Ebrima Singhateh0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lukáš Haraslín33%
Ebrima Singhateh25%
Jonatan Braut Brunes17%
Adam Karabec14%
John Mercado14%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Roman Macek0%
Andy Irving0%
Santiago Eneme0%
Jakub Surovčík0%
Matyáš Vojta0%
Matěj Ryneš0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Dominik Hollý0%
Martin Suchomel0%
Josimar Alcócer0%
Adam Ševinský0%
Garang Kuol0%
Hugo Sochurek0%
Slavia Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Wiktor Nowak50%
Mojmír Chytil40%
Emmanuel Ayaosi40%
Tomáš Chorý33%
Adonija Ouanda33%
Mubarak Suleiman25%
Tomáš Holeš20%
David Zima20%
Michal Sadílek17%
Danijel Šturm17%
Tomáš Vlček0%
Ivan Schranz0%
Lukáš Provod0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Ange N'Guessan0%
Štěpán Chaloupek0%
David Moses0%
Pavel Kačor0%
Samuel Isife0%
Mikuláš Konečný0%
Elias Pitak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mubarak Suleiman50%
Tomáš Vlček33%
Wiktor Nowak33%
Tomáš Holeš20%
Ange N'Guessan20%
Emmanuel Ayaosi20%
Michal Sadílek17%
Danijel Šturm17%
Tomáš Chorý0%
Ivan Schranz0%
Mojmír Chytil0%
Lukáš Provod0%
Jakub Markovič0%
David Zima0%
Štěpán Chaloupek0%
David Moses0%
Pavel Kačor0%
Samuel Isife0%
Mikuláš Konečný0%
Elias Pitak0%
Adonija Ouanda0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Sadílek33%
David Moses33%
Adonija Ouanda33%
Mubarak Suleiman25%
Ivan Schranz20%
Ange N'Guessan20%
Danijel Šturm17%
Štěpán Chaloupek17%
Wiktor Nowak17%
Tomáš Chorý0%
Tomáš Vlček0%
Tomáš Holeš0%
Mojmír Chytil0%
Lukáš Provod0%
Jakub Markovič0%
David Zima0%
Emmanuel Ayaosi0%
Pavel Kačor0%
Samuel Isife0%
Mikuláš Konečný0%
Elias Pitak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mojmír Chytil60%
Wiktor Nowak33%
Elias Pitak33%
Mubarak Suleiman25%
Michal Sadílek17%
Lukáš Provod17%
Tomáš Chorý0%
Tomáš Vlček0%
Tomáš Holeš0%
Ivan Schranz0%
Jakub Markovič0%
David Zima0%
Danijel Šturm0%
Ange N'Guessan0%
Štěpán Chaloupek0%
Emmanuel Ayaosi0%
David Moses0%
Pavel Kačor0%
Samuel Isife0%
Mikuláš Konečný0%
Adonija Ouanda0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Sparta Praha's squad is €31m less valuable than Slavia Praha's (€92m vs €123m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Sparta Praha's attack is €17m more valuable than Slavia Praha's (€43m vs €27m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Sparta Praha's midfield is €8m less valuable than Slavia Praha's (€27m vs €35m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Sparta Praha's defence is €40m less valuable than Slavia Praha's (€22m vs €61m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Artis
Slovácko
Pardubice
Zlin