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Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 1-1
Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma
Vs
54%
30%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC UFA
FC UFA
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Spartak Kostroma is coming off a win against Ska-khabarovsk, and their recent form is marked by a mix of results. Meanwhile, FC UFA is recovering from a 0-3 defeat against Ural. The model predicts a home win for Spartak Kostroma, with a 54% chance of success, compared to 30% for a draw and 17% for an away win.

The expected number of goals is 2.1, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-0, with a 16.1% probability. Spartak Kostroma has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1 goal at home and conceding 1 goal against weaker opponents. FC UFA, on the other hand, has struggled to score away from home, averaging 0.44 goals against stronger opponents, and concedes an average of 1.11 goals.

The model suggests the following selections: Under 9.5 corners (100%), Under 21.5 fouls (100%), Under 3.5 (83.7%, with a 9% edge), and Over 3.5 cards (70.6%). Home win percentage is 54%, draw percentage is 30%, and away win percentage is 17%.

Results analysis

Spartak Kostroma, after a defeat, struggled to find rhythm, while FC UFA, fresh from a win, kept their form. The match ended 1-1, a draw that shocked the pre-match favourite, Home win, which the model had given a 54 % probability to. The model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.8 %, Home +2 handicap at 95.2 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.3 %, Away under 1.5 goals at 85.0 %, Under 3.5 at 83.7 %, Home or Draw at 83.3 %, and Home +1 handicap at 83.3 %. All predictions proved accurate, underscoring the game’s tight nature.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartak Kostroma win✗ Miss
53.8%
Avg Implied 56.0% · @ 1.66
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.71
Dafabet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.65
SBO
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Draw✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.54
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.67
Marathonbet
3.58
Dafabet
3.50
SBO
3.21
FC UFA win✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied 17.7% · @ 5.26
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.87
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.35
Dafabet
5.00
SBO
4.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L30W11D02L11D01L00D22D31WA·CHE11/04A·FK 18/04H·SKA22/04H·ARS25/04A·KAM01/05A·FK 10/05H·FC 16/05A·TEK25/07H·ENI01/08A·SKA09/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.231.291.071.311.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.431.381.401.101.451.64
vs Weaker (9)1.000.891.001.001.000.80
Clean sheet %13% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W01L01L10W10W10W11D03LH·TOR06/04A·URA12/04H·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.231.191.000.711.50
vs Stronger (8)0.621.001.001.000.251.00
vs Similar (22)1.091.321.251.000.901.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.5%
@ 1.38-3.0%
Under 1.5
36.5%
@ 2.74+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
2.85
1xBet
2.69
Marathonbet
2.69
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.3%
@ 2.28-6.5%
Under 2.5
64.7%
@ 1.64+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.3%
@ 4.02-6.5%
Under 3.5
83.7%
@ 1.19+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.23
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.8%
@ 2.14-4.4%
No
61.2%
@ 1.62+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
No
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.1%@ 5.08+7.7%
0-0
13.3%@ 7.28+7.4%
1-1 ✓
13.0%@ 6.44+6.4%
2-0
12.4%@ 6.46+5.7%
2-1
8.4%@ 7.97+3.1%
0-1
7.1%@ 10.78+3.1%
3-0
5.9%@ 12.01+2.3%
1-2
4.0%@ 17.27+1.6%
Spartak Kostroma goals ↓
FC UFA goals →
01234
013%7.1%2.8%0.6%0.1%
116%13%4.0%0.9%0.2%
212%8.4%2.9%0.7%0.1%
35.9%4.0%1.4%0.3%0.1%
42.1%1.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartak Kostroma goals (down), columns = FC UFA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Spartak Kostroma is 0.33 points worse than FC UFA in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Spartak Kostroma and FC UFA are level in goals scored per game (both 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Spartak Kostroma is 0.17 goals worse than FC UFA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Spartak Kostroma is 2.5 percentage points better than FC UFA in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1207536129A·TEKA·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

7023161212113422132315173346354A·TEKA·FK H·TORA·URAH·RODA·FAKH·CHEA·SHIA·ENIH·KAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FC UFAFC UFA

For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1005510H·SKA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

60223331334111213251234646523565H·SKAA·CHAH·FAKH·ARSA·CHEH·ENIH·FK A·VOLA·FK H·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (43)10.5-10.52.22.32.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)9.0-9.01.91.81.9---
vs Weaker (10)12.0-12.03.14.22.3---
% over line50%-50%30%30%30%---
% under line50%-50%70%70%70%---
This opponent (FC UFA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.0-2.72.53.0---
vs Stronger (15)---2.62.82.4---
vs Similar (35)10.010.0-2.82.43.3---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line100%100%-42%36%48%---
% under line0%0%-58%64%52%---
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.7%
@ 2.00-6.8%
Under 9.5
60.3%
@ 1.74+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Pinnacle
1.96
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.4%
Under 3.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartak Kostroma or Draw✓ Hit
83.3%
Avg Implied 83.0% · @ 1.12
Edge
+0.3%
54%
30%
17%
covers Spartak Kostroma + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
SBO
1.07
Spartak Kostroma or FC UFA✗ Miss
70.5%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
-4.1%
54%
30%
17%
covers Spartak Kostroma + FC UFA
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
SBO
1.18
Draw or FC UFA✓ Hit
46.2%
Avg Implied 42.4% · @ 2.19
Edge
+3.8%
54%
30%
17%
covers Draw + FC UFA
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.22
SBO
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.0%
@ 1.17-2.6%
Under
24.0%
@ 4.30+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.30
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.8%
@ 1.96-6.3%
Under
58.2%
@ 1.81+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 3.97-6.0%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.21+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.02
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Spartak Kostroma over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 8.30-5.2%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
FC UFA over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
49.5%
@ 1.78-2.8%
Under
50.5%
@ 1.95+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
FC UFA over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 4.95-3.7%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.14+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
FC UFA over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Spartak Kostroma, so a minus line means Spartak Kostroma give that many goals of a start and FC UFA receive them. At -1, Spartak Kostroma must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartak Kostroma win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartak Kostroma)Actual: FC UFA
Spartak Kostroma -2
10.9%
@ 5.70-4.6%
Draw -2
16.9%
@ 4.70-1.9%
FC UFA +2
72.2%
@ 1.34+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.70
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.34
Handicap -1 (Spartak Kostroma)Actual: FC UFA
Spartak Kostroma -1
27.8%
@ 2.80-3.7%
Draw -1
26.0%
@ 3.20-1.5%
FC UFA +1
46.2%
@ 2.16+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.80
Draw
Marathonbet
3.20
Away
Marathonbet
2.16
Handicap +1 (Spartak Kostroma)Actual: Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma +1
83.3%
@ 1.12+12.8%
Draw +1
11.8%
@ 4.30-6.5%
FC UFA -1
4.8%
@ 7.10-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (Spartak Kostroma)Actual: Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma +2
95.2%
Draw +2
3.9%
FC UFA -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W20W00D01L11D01L00D11D00DA·CHE11/04A·FK 18/04H·SKA22/04H·ARS25/04A·KAM01/05A·FK 10/05H·FC 16/05A·TEK25/07H·ENI01/08A·SKA09/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.570.790.440.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.480.620.600.700.360.55
vs Weaker (9)0.560.780.501.000.600.60
Clean sheet %40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D00D00D00D10W10W00D01LH·TOR06/04A·URA12/04H·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.400.620.250.430.57
vs Stronger (8)0.380.250.500.250.250.25
vs Similar (22)0.590.450.670.250.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L10W11D01L00D00D00D11D31WA·CHE11/04A·FK 18/04H·SKA22/04H·ARS25/04A·KAM01/05A·FK 10/05H·FC 16/05A·TEK25/07H·ENI01/08A·SKA09/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.710.290.880.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.950.760.800.401.091.09
vs Weaker (9)0.440.110.500.000.400.20
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC UFA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC UFAFC UFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W01L01L10W00D00D11D02LH·TOR06/04A·URA12/04H·CHE18/04H·KAM22/04A·ROD26/04H·ROT10/05A·SPA16/05H·SKA26/07H·KAM03/08A·URA08/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.830.560.750.290.93
vs Stronger (8)0.250.750.500.750.000.75
vs Similar (22)0.500.860.580.750.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC UFA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap95.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.3%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
---+5.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals85.0%1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
---+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 3.583.7%1.19
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
--+6.5%✓ Hit
Home or Draw83.3%1.12
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
SBO
1.07
--+0.3%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap83.3%1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
----+12.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals82.7%1.21
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
--+6.0%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.4%--------
Under 11.5 corners81.4%1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
---+6.5%-
Home over 0.5 goals76.0%1.17
1xBet
1.17
-----2.6%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap72.2%1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
----+6.4%✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.0%1.42
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
--+7.4%-
Under 5.5 cards70.6%--------
Home or Away70.5%1.25
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
SBO
1.18
---4.1%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Spartak Kostroma's squad is €3m more valuable than FC UFA's (€8m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Spartak Kostroma and FC UFA have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Spartak Kostroma and FC UFA have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Spartak Kostroma's defence is €2m more valuable than FC UFA's (€4m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
SK wins
1
Draws
1
FU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HSK Vs FC UFA0-1
04/10/25AFC UFA Vs SK0-0

Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26ASka-khabarovsk Vs SK1-3
01/08/26HSK Vs Enisey2-2
25/07/26ATekstilshchik Vs SK0-0
16/05/26HSK Vs FC UFA0-1
10/05/26AFK Sokol Saratov Vs SK1-1
01/05/26AKAMAZ Vs SK2-0
25/04/26HSK Vs Arsenal Tula1-1
22/04/26HSK Vs Ska-khabarovsk3-0
18/04/26AFK Neftekhimik Vs SK3-1
11/04/26AChernomorets Vs SK1-2

FC UFAFC UFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AUral Vs FU3-0
03/08/26HFU Vs KAMAZ1-1
26/07/26HFU Vs Ska-khabarovsk1-0
16/05/26ASpartak Kostroma Vs FU0-1
10/05/26HFU Vs Rotor Volgograd1-0
26/04/26ARodina Moskva Vs FU1-0
22/04/26HFU Vs KAMAZ0-1
18/04/26HFU Vs Chernomorets1-0
12/04/26AUral Vs FU0-0
06/04/26HFU Vs Torpedo Moskva1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartak Kostroma
Spartak Kostroma
Russia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDW1.53
HomeWWDLD1.50
AwayLLDDW1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%35%39%
AVG goals2.472.152.74
Over 1.5 %74%75%74%
Over 2.5 %44%30%57%
Over 3.5 %23%10%35%
Scored1.351.201.48
Conceded1.120.951.26
BTTS67%65%70%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners10.50-10.50
Cards4.044.603.62
FC UFA
FC UFA
Russia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.14
HomeWLWWD1.65
AwayLDLWL0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%46%8%
AVG goals2.082.191.96
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %34%38%29%
Over 3.5 %18%19%17%
Scored0.901.150.62
Conceded1.181.041.33
BTTS38%38%38%
Clean Sheet34%46%21%
Corners10.0010.00-
Cards4.263.724.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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