The clash between Spartak Kostroma and Rotor Volgograd is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 34 % and 36 %, while a draw is 31 %. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.5 % chance. Spartak, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded, whereas Rotor, on the road, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (99.0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.1 %), Under 5.5 (96.8 %), and Away under 3.5 goals (96.7 %). Spartak’s recent form shows a loss, 0-3 to Torpedo Moskva, while Rotor has just endured two defeats, 0-1 to FK Neftekhimik, underscoring the fine balance of this encounter.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Rotor Volgograd, fell short as Spartak Kostroma secured a 1-0 home win, extending their recent run of five matches with a victory. The model had predicted an away win with a 36% chance, but that call was wrong. The final score of 1-0 gave Spartak a home win. The model’s selections performed impressively: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 99.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.0%, Under 5.5 at 96.8%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 96.7%. Each hit was confirmed by the match outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Spartak Kostroma win✓ Hit
33.6%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.45
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.54
Dafabet
2.48
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
Draw✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 3.00
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.13
Dafabet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Pinnacle
3.02
Superbet
3.00
Rotor Volgograd win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.94
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.13
1xBet
3.07
Marathonbet
2.98
Dafabet
2.90
Superbet
2.87
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Spartak Kostroma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.30
1.21
1.07
1.19
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.33
1.48
1.40
1.10
1.27
1.82
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.89
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
13% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.93
1.56
0.69
1.07
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.04
1.46
0.85
1.15
1.23
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.46+6.1%
Under 1.5
30.8%
@ 2.49-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.43
Superbet
2.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.5%
@ 2.50+3.8%
Under 2.5
58.5%
@ 1.51-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.52
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Under
1xBet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.45
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.9%
@ 4.59+1.0%
Under 3.5
79.1%
@ 1.14-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.86
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.9%
@ 2.06+4.1%
No
51.1%
@ 1.67-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
No
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.64
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 5.26+6.3%
0-0
10.9%@ 6.26+4.1%
0-1
10.2%@ 6.59+3.6%
1-0 ✓
9.7%@ 5.87+2.4%
1-2
7.9%@ 11.12+4.0%
2-1
7.6%@ 9.95+3.3%
0-2
6.8%@ 13.09+3.5%
2-0
6.4%@ 10.53+2.3%
Spartak Kostroma goals ↓
Rotor Volgograd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
6.8%
2.7%
0.8%
1
9.7%
14%
7.9%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.4%
7.6%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.4%
2.9%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartak Kostroma goals (down), columns = Rotor Volgograd goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Spartak Kostroma is 0.25 points better than Rotor Volgograd in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Spartak Kostroma is 0.08 goals worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Spartak Kostroma is 0.17 goals worse than Rotor Volgograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spartak Kostroma
For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Rotor Volgograd
For 8.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Kostroma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
10.5
-
10.5
2.1
2.2
2.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.0
-
9.0
1.8
1.8
1.8
-
-
-
vs Weaker (11)
12.0
-
12.0
2.8
3.4
2.3
-
-
-
% over line
50%
-
50%
29%
29%
29%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
-
50%
71%
71%
71%
-
-
-
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
13.0
9.0
2.5
2.5
2.4
28.5
30.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
11.0
13.0
9.0
2.3
2.6
1.9
28.5
30.0
27.0
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
3.3
2.2
4.4
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
32%
32%
32%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
68%
68%
68%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.9%
@ 2.17-0.5%
Under 9.5
58.1%
@ 1.60+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.7%
Under 21.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartak Kostroma or Draw✓ Hit
64.3%
Avg Implied 68.5% · @ 1.35
Edge
-4.2%
34%
31%
36%
covers Spartak Kostroma + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
SBO
1.31
Spartak Kostroma or Rotor Volgograd✓ Hit
69.3%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.33
Edge
-0.1%
34%
31%
36%
covers Spartak Kostroma + Rotor Volgograd
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.32
SBO
1.30
Draw or Rotor Volgograd✗ Miss
66.4%
Avg Implied 62.1% · @ 1.49
Edge
+4.2%
34%
31%
36%
covers Draw + Rotor Volgograd
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.47
SBO
1.42
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.3%
@ 1.37+1.0%
Under
31.7%
@ 2.83-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.04
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.67
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.9%
@ 2.81-1.0%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.38+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
Superbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Under
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 6.82-2.4%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.65
Superbet
6.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Spartak Kostroma over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.6%
@ 1.47+6.3%
Under
30.4%
@ 2.53-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.73
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.47
Superbet
2.42
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.4%
@ 3.24+4.9%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.29-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.35
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 8.33+0.9%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.03-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
8.40
Superbet
7.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Rotor Volgograd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Spartak Kostroma, so a minus line means Spartak Kostroma give that many goals of a start and Rotor Volgograd receive them. At -1, Spartak Kostroma must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartak Kostroma win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.56
0.38
0.43
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.42
0.62
0.46
0.46
0.38
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.3%
@ 1.53+6.7%
Under 0.5
32.7%
@ 2.36-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.50
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.5%
@ 3.41+3.7%
Under 1.5
69.5%
@ 1.25-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Superbet
3.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.9%
@ 8.53+0.3%
Under 2.5
89.1%
@ 1.01-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.70
Superbet
8.20
Under
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.2%
@ 2.28-2.3%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.56+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.51
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 8.00-1.6%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.05+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.0%
@ 2.50+9.0%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.47-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 9.30+2.9%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.03-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartak Kostroma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.79
0.36
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.76
0.80
0.40
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.22
0.75
0.25
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rotor Volgograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rotor Volgograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
1.00
0.31
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.62
0.85
0.38
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.4%
@ 1.33+5.7%
Under 0.5
25.6%
@ 2.93-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Marathonbet
2.99
1xBet
2.99
Superbet
2.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.3%
@ 2.57+3.6%
Under 1.5
60.7%
@ 1.43-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Under
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.40
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.1%
@ 5.85+0.6%
Under 2.5
83.9%
@ 1.07-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
5.75
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.7%
@ 1.92+0.8%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.76-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.73
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 5.75-3.5%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.10+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rotor Volgograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.5%
@ 2.09+8.4%
Under
47.5%
@ 1.64-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Under
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Rotor Volgograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 6.85+2.5%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.07-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Rotor Volgograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.0%
1.05
Marathonbet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.1%
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.4%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.6%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+14.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
-
-
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.8%
1.15
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+1.3%
-
Under 3.5
79.1%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
-
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.33
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Spartak Kostroma and Rotor Volgograd have a similar squad value (both €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Spartak Kostroma and Rotor Volgograd have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Spartak Kostroma and Rotor Volgograd have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Spartak Kostroma and Rotor Volgograd have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Veles
Ural
FC UFA
Torpedo Moskva
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Arsenal Tula
FK Neftekhimik
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
KAMAZ
Tekstilshchik
Chelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovsk