PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2025
Time: 17:45
Final 1-2
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Vs
57%
26%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartak Moscow win✗ Miss
57.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov win✓ Hit
16.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L20W11D24L11D22D20W40W21W22DH·BAL26/07A·FC 30/07A·AKR03/08A·LOK09/08H·DIN12/08H·ZEN16/08A·RUB23/08H·NIZ26/08H·FC 30/08A·DYN13/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.072.001.001.671.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.751.751.751.501.752.00
vs Weaker (22)1.860.822.090.821.640.82
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L14L10W01L01L33D13L11D10WA·DYN26/07H·SPA30/07H·KRY02/08H·NIZ10/08A·NIZ14/08A·RUB17/08A·LOK23/08H·DIN27/08H·AKH30/08H·CSK14/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.270.931.271.201.27
vs Stronger (10)0.401.300.141.141.001.67
vs Similar (14)1.291.571.331.831.251.38
vs Weaker (6)1.670.502.500.001.250.75
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.9%
Under 1.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.9%
Under 2.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
Spartak Moscow goals ↓
FC Rostov goals →
01234
09.6%5.6%2.7%0.7%0.1%
113%12%4.5%1.2%0.2%
212%9.4%3.8%1.0%0.2%
36.6%5.3%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.8%2.2%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartak Moscow goals (down), columns = FC Rostov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tver
2.00
Orel
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Zenit Penza
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Baltika
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
PSK Dinskaya
1.06
Shumbrat
1.06
Fankom
1.06
Kristall MEZ
1.06
Znamya Noginsk
1.06
RWChallenge
1.06
Buryatia
1.06
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Fakel
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Moscow is 0.15 points better than FC Rostov in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Orel
2.67
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Chayka
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Tver
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
PSK Dinskaya
1.23
Shumbrat
1.23
Fankom
1.23
Kristall MEZ
1.23
Znamya Noginsk
1.23
RWChallenge
1.23
Buryatia
1.23
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
Zenit Penza
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Moscow is 0.62 goals better than FC Rostov in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Chayka
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Tver
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Amkar
1.40
Akhmat
1.40
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Fakel
1.67
PSK Dinskaya
1.67
Shumbrat
1.67
Fankom
1.67
Kristall MEZ
1.67
Znamya Noginsk
1.67
RWChallenge
1.67
Buryatia
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
Zenit Penza
2.00
Murom
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Veles
2.00
KAMAZ
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Spartak Moscow is 0.08 goals worse than FC Rostov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

For 5.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

15054513496673643361049671561067914A·DYNH·FC A·RUBH·ZENA·LOKA·AKRH·BALH·DINH·KHIA·KRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.1

🟨 Cards

1004114322214344156437555453861010A·DYNH·FC H·NIZA·RUBH·ZENA·LOKA·AKRA·FC H·BALH·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 14.9 · Total 29.3

⚠️ Fouls

39017191220121514101817141311172316131310936322724352728392619A·DYNH·FC A·RUBH·ZENA·LOKA·AKRH·BALH·DINH·KHIA·KRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC RostovFC Rostov

For 3.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.9

🚩 Corners

11053344318732245342934877910497117H·CSKH·AKHA·LOKA·RUBH·NIZH·KRYA·DYNA·ZENH·ZENA·RUB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

903531313231456151228341549764H·CSKH·AKHH·DINA·LOKA·RUBA·NIZH·NIZH·KRYH·SPAA·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

340121613188131618131413112014138186102028312134272434212430H·CSKH·AKHA·LOKA·RUBH·NIZH·KRYA·DYNA·ZENH·ZENA·RUB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.68.84.74.64.830.328.732.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)9.110.38.06.16.45.931.828.834.3
vs Weaker (35)9.39.39.44.03.94.229.428.630.5
% over line39%42%35%64%59%70%92%89%94%
% under line61%58%65%36%41%30%8%11%6%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.08.93.73.73.627.426.728.2
vs Stronger (15)8.27.88.84.03.94.126.128.523.8
vs Similar (21)7.67.08.23.53.53.427.526.229.0
vs Weaker (14)10.210.010.53.63.93.428.326.231.0
% over line32%39%25%58%54%62%82%89%75%
% under line68%61%75%42%46%38%18%11%25%
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FK Sokol Saratov
14.5
Arsenal Tula
12.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl
12.0
Chernomorets
11.5
FC Orenburg
11.4
Lokomotiv
10.7
Ural
10.5
Dynamo
10.5
Akron
10.4
KAMAZ
10.3
Akhmat
9.8
Nizhny Novgorod
9.8
Zenit
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.5
Spartak Moscow
9.4
Veles
9.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.4
Baltika
9.4
Rubin
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Fakel
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.1
Rodina Moskva
9.0
FC UFA
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.8
FC Rostov
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
FC Sochi
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
Tyumen
7.4
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Akhmat
5.2
Spartak Moscow
5.2
Fakel
5.0
Rubin
4.8
FC Orenburg
4.8
CSKA Moscow
4.7
Veles
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.7
FC Rostov
4.7
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
KAMAZ
4.4
FC Krasnodar
4.4
FC UFA
4.4
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.4
FC Sochi
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
Dynamo
4.2
Baltika
4.1
Volgar Astrakhan
4.1
Zenit
4.1
Ural
4.0
Rotor Volgograd
4.0
Enisey
3.8
Chernomorets
3.8
Chayka
3.7
Torpedo Moskva
3.6
Akron
3.5
FK Sokol Saratov
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.4
Spartak Kostroma
3.3
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
Rodina Moskva
3.2
Arsenal Tula
3.2
FK Neftekhimik
3.2
Chelyabinsk
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.0
Kuban Kholding
1.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.8
Spartak Moscow
28.4
Akhmat
27.7
Fakel
26.8
Nizhny Novgorod
26.6
Rubin
26.5
FC Krasnodar
26.3
FC Rostov
26.2
Dynamo
25.8
Ural
25.8
Zenit
24.9
Lokomotiv
24.7
FC Sochi
24.6
FC Orenburg
24.5
Baltika
24.5
CSKA Moscow
24.2
Akron
24.1
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Krylia Sovetov
22.9
Enisey
14.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
90.2%
Under 9.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.1%
Under 3.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.2%
Under 21.5
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartak Moscow or Draw✗ Miss
83.5%
Avg Implied -
57%
26%
16%
covers Spartak Moscow + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow or FC Rostov✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied -
57%
26%
16%
covers Spartak Moscow + FC Rostov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Rostov✓ Hit
42.8%
Avg Implied -
57%
26%
16%
covers Draw + FC Rostov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.3%
Under
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.0%
Under
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.7%
Under
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.9%
Under
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
19.0%
Under
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Spartak Moscow, so a minus line means Spartak Moscow give that many goals of a start and FC Rostov receive them. At -1, Spartak Moscow must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartak Moscow win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartak Moscow)Actual: FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow -2
14.3%
Draw -2
18.1%
FC Rostov +2
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Spartak Moscow)Actual: FC Rostov
Spartak Moscow -1
32.4%
Draw -1
24.8%
FC Rostov +1
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Spartak Moscow)Actual: Draw
Spartak Moscow +1
83.5%
Draw +1
11.2%
FC Rostov -1
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Spartak Moscow)Actual: Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow +2
94.7%
Draw +2
4.1%
FC Rostov -2
1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D11D00D21W00D20W11D12LH·BAL26/07A·FC 30/07A·AKR03/08A·LOK09/08H·DIN12/08H·ZEN16/08A·RUB23/08H·NIZ26/08H·FC 30/08A·DYN13/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.870.470.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.001.001.000.751.001.25
vs Weaker (22)0.770.450.820.360.730.55
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L01L00D00D00D02L00D01L10WA·DYN26/07H·SPA30/07H·KRY02/08H·NIZ10/08A·NIZ14/08A·RUB17/08A·LOK23/08H·DIN27/08H·AKH30/08H·CSK14/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.400.270.400.400.40
vs Stronger (10)0.300.300.140.430.670.00
vs Similar (14)0.290.570.330.500.250.62
vs Weaker (6)0.500.170.500.000.500.25
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D11D13L11D01L20W20W10W10WH·BAL26/07A·FC 30/07A·AKR03/08A·LOK09/08H·DIN12/08H·ZEN16/08A·RUB23/08H·NIZ26/08H·FC 30/08A·DYN13/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.130.530.870.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.750.750.750.750.750.75
vs Weaker (22)1.090.361.270.450.910.27
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L10W01L01L31W13L10W00DA·DYN26/07H·SPA30/07H·KRY02/08H·NIZ10/08A·NIZ14/08A·RUB17/08A·LOK23/08H·DIN27/08H·AKH30/08H·CSK14/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.670.870.800.87
vs Stronger (10)0.101.000.000.710.331.67
vs Similar (14)1.001.001.001.331.000.75
vs Weaker (6)1.170.332.000.000.750.50
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls99.0%--------
Under 6.598.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls97.2%--------
Under 5.596.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals95.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap94.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners94.5%--------
Over 23.5 fouls93.5%--------
Home under 3.5 goals91.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners90.2%--------
Under 4.589.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls87.1%--------
Over 10.5 corners84.1%--------
Home or Draw83.5%-------✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap83.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards81.5%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals81.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals81.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.576.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals76.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 11.5 corners76.1%--------
Home or Away73.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Spartak Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Solari25%
Ezequiel Barco24%
Marquinhos Costa19%
Levi García16%
Gedson Fernandes15%
Christopher Martins Pereira15%
Manfred Ugalde14%
Christopher Wooh11%
Roman Zobnin8%
Igor Dmitriev4%
Ruslan Litvinov4%
Srđan Babić0%
Anton Zabolotnyi0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Théo Bongonda0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Oleg Reabciuk0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniil Khlusevich33%
Nail Umyarov28%
Ruslan Litvinov26%
Alexander Djiku25%
Pablo Solari25%
Marquinhos Costa23%
Christopher Wooh21%
Manfred Ugalde21%
Igor Dmitriev16%
Daniil Denisov10%
Oleg Reabciuk10%
Gedson Fernandes7%
Christopher Martins Pereira7%
Levi García4%
Aleksandr Maksimenko3%
Srđan Babić0%
Anton Zabolotnyi0%
Roman Zobnin0%
Théo Bongonda0%
Ezequiel Barco0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ezequiel Barco21%
Marquinhos Costa19%
Igor Dmitriev16%
Levi García12%
Ruslan Litvinov11%
Nail Umyarov10%
Gedson Fernandes7%
Manfred Ugalde7%
Roman Zobnin4%
Christopher Martins Pereira4%
Pablo Solari4%
Srđan Babić0%
Anton Zabolotnyi0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Théo Bongonda0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Oleg Reabciuk0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manfred Ugalde21%
Marquinhos Costa15%
Pablo Solari14%
Ezequiel Barco14%
Levi García8%
Gedson Fernandes7%
Christopher Martins Pereira7%
Ruslan Litvinov4%
Srđan Babić0%
Anton Zabolotnyi0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Roman Zobnin0%
Théo Bongonda0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Oleg Reabciuk0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ronaldo23%
Timur Suleymanov14%
Mohammad Mohebi11%
Aleksey Mironov7%
Viktor Melekhin7%
Egor Golenkov7%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Konstantin Kuchaev4%
Ivan Komarov4%
Ilya Vakhaniya3%
Dmitry Chistyakov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
David Semenchuk0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Aleksandr Tarasov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Danila Prokhin29%
Dmitry Chistyakov27%
Aleksey Mironov25%
Aleksandr Tarasov25%
Oumar Sako22%
Timur Suleymanov21%
Kirill Shchetinin21%
Andrey Langovich19%
Rustam Yatimov18%
Ronaldo15%
Viktor Melekhin14%
Egor Golenkov14%
Khoren Bayramyan12%
Mohammad Mohebi11%
David Semenchuk10%
Konstantin Kuchaev8%
Ivan Komarov8%
Ilya Vakhaniya7%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilya Zhbanov20%
Egor Golenkov14%
Kirill Shchetinin10%
Mohammad Mohebi7%
Ronaldo4%
Aleksey Mironov4%
Ilya Vakhaniya3%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Dmitry Chistyakov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
David Semenchuk0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Aleksandr Tarasov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksey Mironov21%
Egor Golenkov14%
Timur Suleymanov11%
Mohammad Mohebi11%
Andrey Langovich6%
Konstantin Kuchaev4%
Kirill Shchetinin3%
Dmitry Chistyakov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Ronaldo0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
David Semenchuk0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Aleksandr Tarasov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Spartak Moscow's squad is €97m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€129m vs €32m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Spartak Moscow's attack is €45m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€59m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Spartak Moscow's midfield is €32m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€37m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Spartak Moscow's defence is €20m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€34m vs €13m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
SM wins
0
Draws
3
FR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/25AFC Rostov Vs SM0-2
15/05/25HSM Vs FC Rostov1-2
06/04/25AFC Rostov Vs SM0-3
27/11/24AFC Rostov Vs SM2-1
05/11/24HSM Vs FC Rostov0-1
05/10/24HSM Vs FC Rostov3-0
21/04/24AFC Rostov Vs SM1-5
12/11/23HSM Vs FC Rostov2-1

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25ADynamo Vs SM2-2
30/08/25HSM Vs FC Sochi2-1
26/08/25HSM Vs Nizhny Novgorod4-0
23/08/25ARubin Vs SM0-2
16/08/25HSM Vs Zenit2-2
12/08/25HSM Vs Dinamo Makhachkala1-1
09/08/25ALokomotiv Vs SM4-2
03/08/25AAkron Vs SM1-1
30/07/25AFC Rostov Vs SM0-2
26/07/25HSM Vs Baltika0-3

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/25HFR Vs CSKA Moscow1-0
30/08/25HFR Vs Akhmat1-1
27/08/25HFR Vs Dinamo Makhachkala1-3
23/08/25ALokomotiv Vs FR3-3
17/08/25ARubin Vs FR1-0
14/08/25ANizhny Novgorod Vs FR1-0
10/08/25HFR Vs Nizhny Novgorod1-0
02/08/25HFR Vs Krylia Sovetov1-4
30/07/25HFR Vs Spartak Moscow0-2
26/07/25ADynamo Vs FR1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Russia: Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.88
HomeLDDWW1.93
AwayWDLWD1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%59%52%
AVG goals2.822.962.65
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %62%74%48%
Over 3.5 %26%26%26%
Scored1.862.041.65
Conceded0.960.931.00
BTTS42%41%43%
Clean Sheet48%44%52%
Corners9.259.638.82
Cards5.685.356.11
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Cup
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.34
HomeLWLDW1.42
AwayLLLLD1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals2.622.732.50
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %30%42%17%
Scored1.301.421.17
Conceded1.321.311.33
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners8.448.008.94
Cards4.604.854.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZenitZenit3068
67%
2.3
5319+34
2.4
77%
40%
20%
9.4
50%
4.1
53%
27.3
90%
182
10031501.80.6
59%
2FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar3066
67%
2.2
6023+37
2.8
80%
57%
20%
8.6
33%
5.1
73%
28.7
93%
114
3435452.00.8
60%
3LokomotivLokomotiv3053
47%
1.8
5439+15
3.1
83%
53%
33%
8.8
47%
4.7
50%
27.7
83%
68
218401.81.3
51%
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow3052
50%
1.7
4739+8
2.9
83%
60%
23%
8.7
37%
5.2
73%
30.8
100%
129
5937341.61.3
62%
5CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3051
50%
1.7
4433+11
2.6
67%
47%
33%
11.0
63%
4.6
57%
26.7
87%
111
3748261.51.1
56%
6BaltikaBaltika3046
37%
1.5
3821+17
2.0
63%
27%
17%
7.8
33%
5.7
83%
30.8
97%
30
106151.30.7
46%
7DynamoDynamo3045
40%
1.5
5140+11
3.0
80%
60%
37%
10.0
53%
4.5
73%
27.4
97%
110
4524421.71.3
54%
8RubinRubin3043
37%
1.4
2930-1
2.0
53%
37%
17%
8.1
27%
4.7
70%
29.6
100%
45
812251.01.0
43%
9AkhmatAkhmat3037
30%
1.2
3539-4
2.5
77%
40%
23%
8.9
41%
4.5
62%
28.8
90%
30
17491.21.3
46%
10FC RostovFC Rostov3033
27%
1.1
2532-7
1.9
50%
23%
13%
8.3
30%
5.2
70%
29.5
90%
32
145130.81.1
48%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov3032
27%
1.1
3550-15
2.8
90%
47%
30%
9.5
50%
4.7
60%
27.3
93%
26
96111.21.7
46%
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3232
22%
1.0
2237-15
1.8
62%
22%
9%
8.8
47%
4.3
56%
29.2
94%
20
9380.71.2
46%
13AkronAkron3230
22%
0.9
3754-17
2.8
84%
47%
28%
8.6
38%
3.7
44%
27.1
91%
25
11681.21.7
45%
14FC OrenburgFC Orenburg3029
23%
1.0
2944-15
2.4
60%
43%
30%
9.9
60%
4.4
67%
29.0
90%
18
8371.01.5
47%
15Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod3023
20%
0.8
2650-24
2.5
80%
57%
17%
10.3
53%
4.6
60%
29.2
100%
18
6390.91.7
43%
16FC SochiFC Sochi3022
20%
0.7
2960-31
3.0
80%
63%
33%
9.1
48%
4.5
62%
27.2
93%
15
5191.02.0
46%
17Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.0
50%
2.0
0%
28.5
100%
9
3240.51.0
42%
18UralUral20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.5
50%
4.0
50%
24.5
100%
11
4240.01.5
64%
Russia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches