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Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov Prediction & Stats

Date: 13/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Vs
56%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Spartak Moscow, riding an unbeaten run that includes a 3-1 win over Rodina, are the clear favorites to win at home, with a 56% chance of victory. The match is expected to be a moderate affair, averaging 2.8 goals, and the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, which carries a 12% probability. Spartak’s home form against weaker opposition sees them scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding 1.14, while Rostov, playing away against stronger teams, averages only 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The probabilities for the three outcomes are 56% for a home win, 25% for a draw and 19% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.3%), Under 6.5 goals (97.7%), Over 19.5 fouls (97.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.1%) and Under 5.5 goals (93.8%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartak Moscow win
56.1%
Avg Implied 67.1% · @ 1.45
Edge
-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.43
Draw
25.2%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.66
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.72
Marathonbet
4.60
FC Rostov win
18.8%
Avg Implied 12.0% · @ 8.10
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D30W21W51W12L21W11D20W11D31WH·FC 24/05H·ROD25/07A·AKH02/08H·FC 05/08H·FC 09/08A·BAL16/08A·RUB19/08H·ZEN23/08H·FC 30/08H·ROD02/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.132.000.941.361.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.231.231.220.781.252.25
vs Weaker (17)2.061.063.001.141.401.00
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L42W40W00D11D10W14L01L20WH·ZEN17/05A·FC 26/07A·ROD31/07A·AKR04/08A·CSK08/08H·RUB15/08H·LOK18/08A·AKH22/08A·FC 29/08H·CSK01/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.100.931.001.471.20
vs Stronger (7)0.710.861.000.670.501.00
vs Similar (18)1.221.220.701.101.881.38
vs Weaker (5)1.801.002.001.001.671.00
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.3%
@ 1.25+4.0%
Under 1.5
22.7%
@ 3.44-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.94+2.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
@ 1.94-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.91
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.9%
@ 3.16+1.0%
Under 3.5
70.1%
@ 1.29-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.16
Marathonbet
3.16
Under
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
52.6%
@ 2.09+8.2%
No
47.4%
@ 1.67-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.09
No
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%@ 7.70+6.5%
1-0
10.3%@ 5.60+2.7%
2-0
10.3%@ 5.88+3.0%
2-1
9.8%@ 8.00+4.5%
0-0
7.4%@ 12.00+3.9%
3-0
6.2%@ 8.90+1.4%
3-1
5.9%@ 12.38+2.5%
1-2
5.2%@ 22.00+3.3%
Spartak Moscow goals ↓
FC Rostov goals →
01234
07.4%5.0%2.9%0.9%0.2%
110%12%5.2%1.7%0.4%
210%9.8%4.7%1.5%0.4%
36.2%5.9%2.8%0.9%0.2%
42.8%2.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartak Moscow goals (down), columns = FC Rostov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Spartak Moscow is 1.33 points better than FC Rostov in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Spartak Moscow is 0.67 goals better than FC Rostov in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Spartak Moscow is 0.83 goals better than FC Rostov in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Spartak Moscow is 12.8 percentage points better than FC Rostov in terms of average possession (62% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

For 6.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

16072614485675112443631097813136167910H·RODH·FC H·ZENA·BALH·FC A·AKHH·RODA·DINH·RUBA·KRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 6.3

🟨 Cards

110432856341332233425710117434377H·RODH·FC H·ZENA·BALH·FC H·FC A·AKHH·RODA·DINH·RUB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 14.6 · Total 29.6

⚠️ Fouls

390102921131316131515121114161216101512201339342928272528262733H·FC H·ZENA·BALH·FC A·AKHH·RODA·DINH·RUBA·KRYA·NIZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC RostovFC Rostov

For 3.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

110566455231926328251311105741191074H·CSKA·FC A·AKHH·RUBA·CSKA·RODA·FC H·ZENA·AKRA·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

10013321332112645116243303106H·CSKA·FC A·AKHH·LOKH·RUBA·CSKA·AKRA·RODA·FC H·ZEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.4

⚠️ Fouls

3601517171314119618171613131510132214141732302515352928233631A·FC A·AKHH·RUBA·CSKA·RODA·FC H·ZENA·AKRA·DINH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.19.24.74.64.830.529.931.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)9.09.48.45.04.85.231.730.133.8
vs Weaker (30)9.28.89.64.54.54.629.929.830.0
% over line40%33%47%70%69%71%100%100%100%
% under line60%67%53%30%31%29%0%0%0%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.28.58.14.44.64.329.229.429.0
vs Stronger (14)8.99.08.84.83.95.727.330.525.2
vs Similar (27)7.17.96.54.25.33.229.829.030.5
vs Weaker (9)11.410.012.34.43.55.230.429.031.3
% over line32%41%25%60%62%58%89%100%80%
% under line68%59%75%40%38%42%11%0%20%
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
36.9%
Under 9.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.7%
Under 3.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
93.6%
Under 21.5
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartak Moscow or Draw
81.2%
Avg Implied 88.4% · @ 1.09
Edge
-7.1%
56%
25%
19%
covers Spartak Moscow + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Spartak Moscow or FC Rostov
74.8%
Avg Implied 78.6% · @ 1.23
Edge
-3.8%
56%
25%
19%
covers Spartak Moscow + FC Rostov
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw or FC Rostov
43.9%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.92
Edge
+11.0%
56%
25%
19%
covers Draw + FC Rostov
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.91

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5
Over
83.5%
@ 1.12-1.0%
Under
16.5%
@ 6.10+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
6.10
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5
Over
53.7%
@ 1.61-4.5%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.25+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Under
Marathonbet
2.26
1xBet
2.23
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5
Over
27.0%
@ 2.95-4.9%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.38+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Spartak Moscow over/under 3.5
Over
10.9%
@ 6.30-3.8%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.08+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
FC Rostov over/under 0.5
Over
61.7%
@ 1.83+11.3%
Under
38.3%
@ 1.86-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
FC Rostov over/under 1.5
Over
25.0%
@ 5.25+7.1%
Under
75.0%
@ 1.14-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
FC Rostov over/under 2.5
Over
7.3%
@ 11.75-92.7%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Spartak Moscow, so a minus line means Spartak Moscow give that many goals of a start and FC Rostov receive them. At -1, Spartak Moscow must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartak Moscow win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartak Moscow)
Spartak Moscow -2
15.0%
@ 4.10-7.1%
Draw -2
17.6%
@ 4.33-3.4%
FC Rostov +2
67.4%
@ 1.60+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
1.60
Handicap -1 (Spartak Moscow)
Spartak Moscow -1
32.6%
@ 2.21-9.0%
Draw -1
23.4%
@ 3.40-3.6%
FC Rostov +1
43.9%
@ 2.93+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.21
Draw
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
2.93
Handicap +1 (Spartak Moscow)
Spartak Moscow +1
81.2%
@ 1.10+9.5%
Draw +1
12.0%
@ 4.50-5.6%
FC Rostov -1
6.8%
@ 7.40-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
7.40
Handicap +2 (Spartak Moscow)
Spartak Moscow +2
93.2%
Draw +2
5.0%
FC Rostov -2
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D20W12L11D01L20W00D11DH·FC 24/05H·ROD25/07A·AKH02/08H·FC 05/08H·FC 09/08A·BAL16/08A·RUB19/08H·ZEN23/08H·FC 30/08H·ROD02/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.531.190.440.640.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.540.890.440.500.75
vs Weaker (17)1.060.531.570.430.700.60
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D20W00D10W00D11D01L00DH·ZEN17/05A·FC 26/07A·ROD31/07A·AKR04/08A·CSK08/08H·RUB15/08H·LOK18/08A·AKH22/08A·FC 29/08H·CSK01/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.400.600.930.47
vs Stronger (7)0.430.570.330.670.500.50
vs Similar (18)0.670.610.300.601.120.62
vs Weaker (5)1.000.201.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.2%
@ 1.37+6.7%
Under 0.5
24.8%
@ 2.98-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Under
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.98
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.2%
@ 2.81+2.8%
Under 1.5
63.8%
@ 1.41-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Under
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 7.20+1.2%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.05-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 HT
Over
61.9%
@ 1.62+4.8%
Under
38.1%
@ 2.17-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.5%
@ 4.10-0.0%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.19+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.2%
@ 3.30+7.0%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.29-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.27
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.0%
@ 11.75-92.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W10W31W00D10W10W00D11D20WH·FC 24/05H·ROD25/07A·AKH02/08H·FC 05/08H·FC 09/08A·BAL16/08A·RUB19/08H·ZEN23/08H·FC 30/08H·ROD02/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.810.500.710.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.460.690.330.330.751.50
vs Weaker (17)1.000.531.430.710.700.40
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L31W20W00D01L10W03L00D20WH·ZEN17/05A·FC 26/07A·ROD31/07A·AKR04/08A·CSK08/08H·RUB15/08H·LOK18/08A·AKH22/08A·FC 29/08H·CSK01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.530.400.530.73
vs Stronger (7)0.290.290.670.000.000.50
vs Similar (18)0.560.610.400.500.750.75
vs Weaker (5)0.800.801.000.500.671.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.0%
@ 1.21+2.2%
Under 0.5
21.0%
@ 4.00-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.6%
@ 2.13+0.0%
Under 1.5
55.4%
@ 1.71-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Under
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.0%
@ 4.65-0.0%
Under 2.5
80.0%
@ 1.16+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.2%
@ 1.42-0.4%
Under
34.8%
@ 2.70+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.70
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 2H
Over
25.8%
@ 2.94-5.6%
Under
74.2%
@ 1.34+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.3%
@ 7.60-3.7%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.04
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2H
Over
40.8%
@ 2.73+6.8%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.41-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.80
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.38
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.8%
@ 11.85-89.2%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
12.00
1xBet
11.70
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.1%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.3%-------
Under 6.597.7%-------
Over 19.5 fouls97.4%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.1%-------
Under 5.593.8%-------
Over 21.5 fouls93.6%-------
Home +2 handicap93.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals92.7%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.0%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals91.7%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+3.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals89.1%1.08
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
---+3.8%
Over 2.5 cards87.1%-------
Over 23.5 fouls86.9%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals86.1%1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
----1.2%
Under 4.585.4%1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
---+0.1%
Home over 0.5 goals83.5%1.12
1xBet
1.12
-----1.0%
Under 11.5 corners83.4%-------
Home or Draw81.2%1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
----7.1%
Home +1 handicap81.2%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
----+9.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals80.0%1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
---+0.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals79.0%1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
---+2.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals77.5%1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
---+0.0%
Over 1.577.3%1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
---+4.0%
Over 25.5 fouls76.7%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals75.2%1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
---+6.7%
Away under 1.5 goals75.0%1.14
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
----7.1%
Home or Away74.8%1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
----3.8%
Under 10.5 corners74.5%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals74.2%1.34
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
---+5.6%
Home under 2.5 goals73.0%1.38
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.37
---+4.9%
Over 3.5 cards72.7%-------
Under 3.570.1%1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
----1.0%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Spartak Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Manfred Ugalde33%
Christopher Martins33%
Mirlind Daku25%
Ezequiel Barco25%
Christopher Wooh20%
Roman Zobnin17%
Marquinhos17%
Danyl Prutsev17%
Pablo Solari17%
Srđan Babić0%
Gedson Fernandes0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Victor Parada0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gedson Fernandes60%
Christopher Wooh40%
Roman Zobnin33%
Manfred Ugalde33%
Mirlind Daku25%
Aleksandr Maksimenko17%
Marquinhos17%
Igor Dmitriev17%
Srđan Babić0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Christopher Martins0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Danyl Prutsev0%
Ezequiel Barco0%
Victor Parada0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Pablo Solari0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marquinhos50%
Alexander Djiku33%
Mirlind Daku25%
Ezequiel Barco25%
Roman Zobnin17%
Srđan Babić0%
Gedson Fernandes0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Manfred Ugalde0%
Christopher Martins0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Danyl Prutsev0%
Victor Parada0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Pablo Solari0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manfred Ugalde33%
Srđan Babić0%
Gedson Fernandes0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Roman Zobnin0%
Marquinhos0%
Mirlind Daku0%
Christopher Martins0%
Christopher Wooh0%
Alexander Djiku0%
Danyl Prutsev0%
Ezequiel Barco0%
Victor Parada0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Pablo Solari0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Igor Dmitriev0%
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Timur Suleymanov33%
Daniil Shantaliy33%
Ivan Komarov17%
Andrey Langovich17%
Viktor Melekhin17%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Olakunle Olusegun0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantin Kuchaev50%
Oumar Sako50%
Viktor Melekhin50%
Ygor Nogueira33%
Aleksey Mironov17%
Olakunle Olusegun17%
Ivan Komarov17%
Andrey Langovich17%
Danila Prokhin0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konstantin Kuchaev33%
Andrey Langovich33%
Olakunle Olusegun17%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Maksim Mukhin0%
Ronaldo0%
Ivan Komarov0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timur Suleymanov33%
Olakunle Olusegun33%
Ivan Komarov33%
Maksim Mukhin25%
Aleksey Mironov0%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Ygor Nogueira0%
Egor Golenkov0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Ronaldo0%
Andrey Langovich0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Spartak Moscow's squad is €97m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€129m vs €32m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Spartak Moscow's attack is €45m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€59m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Spartak Moscow's midfield is €32m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€37m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Spartak Moscow's defence is €20m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€34m vs €13m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
SM wins
2
Draws
4
FR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartak Moscow vs FC Rostov · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26AFC Rostov Vs SM1-1
18/10/25HSM Vs FC Rostov1-1
18/09/25HSM Vs FC Rostov1-2
30/07/25AFC Rostov Vs SM0-2
15/05/25HSM Vs FC Rostov1-2
06/04/25AFC Rostov Vs SM0-3
27/11/24AFC Rostov Vs SM2-1
05/11/24HSM Vs FC Rostov0-1

Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HSM Vs Rodina Moskva3-1
30/08/26HSM Vs FC Orenburg1-1
23/08/26HSM Vs Zenit2-0
19/08/26ARubin Vs SM1-1
16/08/26ABaltika Vs SM1-2
09/08/26HSM Vs FC Krasnodar1-2
05/08/26HSM Vs FC Orenburg5-1
02/08/26AAkhmat Vs SM1-2
25/07/26HSM Vs Rodina Moskva3-0
24/05/26HSM Vs FC Krasnodar1-1

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HFR Vs CSKA Moscow2-0
29/08/26AFC Krasnodar Vs FR1-0
22/08/26AAkhmat Vs FR4-1
18/08/26HFR Vs Lokomotiv1-0
15/08/26HFR Vs Rubin1-1
08/08/26ACSKA Moscow Vs FR0-0
04/08/26AAkron Vs FR0-4
31/07/26ARodina Moskva Vs FR2-4
26/07/26AFC Orenburg Vs FR2-1
17/05/26HFR Vs Zenit0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.92
HomeWLWDW2.19
AwayLDWWD1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%65%46%
AVG goals2.962.923.00
Over 1.5 %86%85%88%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.802.001.58
Conceded1.160.921.42
BTTS70%69%71%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners9.149.069.24
Cards5.265.005.55
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.18
HomeLLDWW1.04
AwayWWDLL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%25%35%
AVG goals2.141.882.38
Over 1.5 %58%54%62%
Over 2.5 %30%17%42%
Over 3.5 %20%17%23%
Scored1.020.791.23
Conceded1.121.081.15
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners8.328.618.05
Cards4.735.044.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar618
100%
3.0
114+7
2.5
50%
50%
33%
8.7
50%
4.5
83%
25.2
67%
114
3435451.80.7
57%
2Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow613
67%
2.2
115+6
2.7
100%
67%
0%
10.5
50%
6.5
83%
30.3
100%
129
5937341.80.8
62%
3ZenitZenit612
67%
2.0
134+9
2.8
83%
67%
17%
9.8
33%
5.0
83%
26.3
67%
182
10031502.20.7
60%
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow612
50%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
50%
33%
7.3
17%
3.8
33%
26.8
83%
111
3748261.51.0
57%
5BaltikaBaltika610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
67%
0%
8.8
33%
3.5
33%
27.3
83%
30
106151.71.0
36%
6DynamoDynamo610
50%
1.7
87+1
2.5
67%
67%
33%
7.0
17%
4.4
80%
27.2
100%
110
4524421.31.2
63%
7RubinRubin69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
100%
50%
33%
7.7
17%
3.7
33%
24.3
67%
45
812251.51.3
47%
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala69
50%
1.5
1010+0
3.3
83%
83%
50%
9.5
67%
4.5
50%
23.7
67%
20
9381.71.7
40%
9FC OrenburgFC Orenburg67
17%
1.2
57-2
2.0
83%
33%
0%
8.5
33%
5.7
67%
30.7
100%
18
8370.81.2
39%
10AkhmatAkhmat66
17%
1.0
98+1
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.8
17%
3.8
50%
25.5
83%
30
17491.51.3
47%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
8.5
17%
5.0
60%
27.3
83%
26
96111.31.7
46%
12FC RostovFC Rostov65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.7
33%
4.5
33%
27.7
83%
32
145131.21.7
49%
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva64
17%
0.7
817-9
4.2
100%
100%
50%
10.2
50%
3.8
33%
28.2
83%
17
7371.32.8
44%
14LokomotivLokomotiv63
0%
0.5
58-3
2.2
67%
33%
17%
7.0
17%
3.5
33%
27.2
83%
68
218400.81.3
51%
15AkronAkron63
0%
0.5
615-9
3.5
83%
83%
50%
8.5
17%
4.7
67%
26.7
67%
25
11681.02.5
54%
16FakelFakel62
0%
0.3
37-4
1.7
33%
33%
17%
9.8
67%
3.7
67%
25.3
83%
14
5270.51.2
48%
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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