This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.93
1.47
1.67
0.80
2.20
vs Stronger (21)
1.24
2.14
1.55
2.09
0.90
2.20
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.44
1.25
0.50
0.60
2.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.5%
Under 2.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
Spartak Moscow goals ↓
Khimki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
2.6%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.1%
8.9%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
2
12%
9.5%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
9.1%
7.5%
3.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
5.4%
4.4%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartak Moscow goals (down), columns = Khimki goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
2.23
Zenit
2.20
CSKA Moscow
1.97
Spartak Moscow
1.90
Dynamo
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.77
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Rostov
1.30
Akron
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.03
Khimki
0.97
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.97
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.88
FC Orenburg
0.63
Fakel
0.60
Spartak Moscow is 0.93 points better than Khimki in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo
2.03
FC Sochi
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.97
Zenit
1.93
Spartak Moscow
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.70
CSKA Moscow
1.57
Rubin
1.40
FC Rostov
1.37
Akron
1.30
Krylia Sovetov
1.20
Khimki
1.17
Ural
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.94
FC Orenburg
0.93
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.90
Fakel
0.47
Spartak Moscow is 0.70 goals better than Khimki in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zenit
0.60
CSKA Moscow
0.70
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Spartak Moscow
0.83
Dynamo
1.17
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.17
Lokomotiv
1.37
Fakel
1.40
FC Rostov
1.43
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Akhmat
1.56
Krylia Sovetov
1.70
Nizhny Novgorod
1.81
Akron
1.83
Khimki
1.87
FC Orenburg
1.87
Spartak Moscow is 1.03 goals better than Khimki in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Spartak Moscow
63%
Zenit
61%
FC Krasnodar
57%
CSKA Moscow
54%
Dynamo
52%
FC Rostov
52%
FC Orenburg
51%
Lokomotiv
50%
Krylia Sovetov
49%
Akhmat
48%
Khimki
47%
Akron
47%
Ural
46%
FC Sochi
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
43%
Nizhny Novgorod
43%
Rubin
43%
Fakel
42%
Spartak Moscow is 15.4 percentage points better than Khimki in terms of average possession (63% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Spartak Moscow
For 6.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 16.1 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Khimki
For 5.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Moscow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.6
4.0
3.9
4.2
27.7
27.5
27.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.2
9.9
8.6
5.2
4.8
5.8
28.9
27.6
30.1
vs Weaker (33)
10.1
10.2
10.1
3.4
3.4
3.4
27.0
27.5
26.6
% over line
50%
47%
52%
54%
50%
58%
79%
82%
76%
% under line
50%
53%
48%
46%
50%
42%
21%
18%
24%
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.0
11.6
3.1
3.2
3.0
24.6
24.7
24.5
vs Stronger (25)
10.6
10.1
11.2
2.8
3.0
2.7
23.7
23.7
23.7
vs Similar (25)
10.9
9.9
12.2
3.3
3.3
3.3
26.3
26.6
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
72%
65%
80%
46%
48%
44%
72%
73%
71%
% under line
28%
35%
20%
54%
52%
56%
28%
27%
29%
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Orenburg
11.4
Lokomotiv
11.0
Dynamo
11.0
Khimki
10.9
Ural
10.8
Akron
10.4
Nizhny Novgorod
10.2
Akhmat
10.1
Spartak Moscow
9.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.6
Fakel
9.5
Zenit
9.5
Rubin
9.4
FC Rostov
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
FC Sochi
9.1
FC Krasnodar
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.2
Akhmat
5.1
Spartak Moscow
5.1
Lokomotiv
4.8
FC Rostov
4.7
FC Krasnodar
4.7
Rubin
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
Dynamo
4.4
Ural
4.2
Zenit
4.1
FC Sochi
4.1
Khimki
3.7
Akron
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.2
Fakel
27.3
Spartak Moscow
27.1
Akhmat
26.6
Nizhny Novgorod
26.4
Rubin
25.9
FC Rostov
25.8
FC Krasnodar
25.4
Ural
24.8
Khimki
24.6
Lokomotiv
24.3
FC Orenburg
24.2
Dynamo
24.2
CSKA Moscow
23.4
Zenit
23.4
FC Sochi
23.1
Akron
23.1
Krylia Sovetov
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.6%
Under 9.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.3%
Under 3.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.6%
Under 21.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartak Moscow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.13
0.53
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.09
1.00
1.17
0.83
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (19)
0.84
0.47
1.11
0.33
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.53
0.40
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
0.57
0.36
0.45
0.30
0.70
vs Similar (9)
0.56
1.00
1.00
0.25
0.20
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartak Moscow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.40
1.07
0.60
0.93
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.64
0.83
1.00
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (19)
1.11
0.26
1.22
0.33
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.23
0.93
1.27
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (21)
0.90
1.57
1.18
1.64
0.60
1.50
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.44
0.25
0.25
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartak Moscow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Moscow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Spartak Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Esequiel Barco41%
Manfred Ugalde38%
Shamar Nicholson25%
Théo Bongonda22%
Pablo Solari18%
Nail Umyarov11%
Christopher Martins Pereira9%
Ricardo Mangas9%
Levi García9%
Srđan Babić8%
Roman Zobnin6%
Jesús Medina6%
Danil Prutsev5%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Nikita Chernov0%
Myenty Abena0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Mikhail Ignatov0%
Marquinhos Costa0%
Oleg Reabciuk0%
Willian José0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Anton Zinkovskiy0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pablo Solari45%
Srđan Babić35%
Alexis Duarte33%
Daniil Denisov32%
Christopher Martins Pereira32%
Daniil Khlusevich25%
Nail Umyarov21%
Esequiel Barco19%
Myenty Abena17%
Oleg Reabciuk15%
Ruslan Litvinov14%
Nikita Chernov12%
Roman Zobnin12%
Shamar Nicholson12%
Jesús Medina11%
Marquinhos Costa8%
Manfred Ugalde7%
Danil Prutsev5%
Aleksandr Maksimenko4%
Théo Bongonda4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Mikhail Ignatov0%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Willian José0%
Anton Zinkovskiy0%
Levi García0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Esequiel Barco22%
Marquinhos Costa20%
Christopher Martins Pereira18%
Jesús Medina11%
Danil Prutsev11%
Manfred Ugalde10%
Pablo Solari9%
Daniil Khlusevich8%
Oleg Reabciuk7%
Alexis Duarte7%
Daniil Denisov4%
Srđan Babić4%
Théo Bongonda4%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Nikita Chernov0%
Myenty Abena0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Mikhail Ignatov0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Roman Zobnin0%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Willian José0%
Anton Zinkovskiy0%
Levi García0%
Shamar Nicholson0%
Ruslan Litvinov0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Levi García45%
Manfred Ugalde38%
Esequiel Barco37%
Théo Bongonda33%
Pablo Solari27%
Christopher Martins Pereira14%
Ruslan Litvinov5%
Srđan Babić0%
Ilya Pomazun0%
Nikita Chernov0%
Myenty Abena0%
Aleksandr Maksimenko0%
Mikhail Ignatov0%
Nail Umyarov0%
Roman Zobnin0%
Marquinhos Costa0%
Ricardo Mangas0%
Oleg Reabciuk0%
Danil Prutsev0%
Willian José0%
Jesús Medina0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Anton Zinkovskiy0%
Alexis Duarte0%
Shamar Nicholson0%
Daniil Denisov0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Nikita Massalyga0%
Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural