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Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II Result & Analysis

Date: 06/03/2023
Time: 13:30
Final 1-3
Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven
Vs
64%
26%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartak Pleven win✗ Miss
63.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II win✓ Hit
10.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D03L22D10W10W24L01L00D01LH·BEL30/09A·FK 09/10H·CSK17/10A·STR22/10H·ETA28/10H·LIT04/11A·DUN14/11A·MAR11/02H·SOZ19/02A·YAN24/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.351.101.600.801.101.40
vs Stronger (8)1.251.751.672.001.001.60
vs Similar (12)1.420.671.570.291.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L10W02L10W03L30W10W02L11DH·DOB04/10A·LEV11/10H·BOT18/10A·MON24/10H·VIT31/10A·SPO05/11H·BEL11/11H·FK 12/02A·CSK20/02H·STR25/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.851.201.400.400.302.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.881.241.500.500.331.89
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.000.000.003.00
Clean sheet %35% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.5%
Under 2.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
34.6%
No
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.5%
2-0
15.3%
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.9%
3-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
Spartak Pleven goals ↓
Ludogorets II goals →
01234
012%5.0%1.6%0.3%0.0%
117%11%2.7%0.5%0.1%
215%8.2%2.2%0.4%0.1%
38.4%4.5%1.2%0.2%0.0%
43.5%1.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartak Pleven goals (down), columns = Ludogorets II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
2.18
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.85
Levski Krumovgrad
1.76
Ludogorets II
1.68
Sportist Svoge
1.53
Dunav Ruse
1.47
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.38
Yantra 2019
1.29
Montana
1.29
Litex
1.29
Spartak Pleven
1.24
Belasitsa
1.21
Dobrudzha
1.15
Strumska Slava
1.15
FK Minyor Pernik
1.12
Sozopol
1.12
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.06
Botev Plovdiv II
0.82
Spartak Pleven is 0.44 points worse than Ludogorets II in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.76
Dunav Ruse
1.38
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Spartak Pleven
1.29
Levski Krumovgrad
1.26
Ludogorets II
1.24
Sportist Svoge
1.21
Dobrudzha
1.12
Montana
1.09
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.06
Strumska Slava
1.03
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.00
Belasitsa
0.97
FK Minyor Pernik
0.97
Sozopol
0.94
Litex
0.94
Yantra 2019
0.91
Botev Plovdiv II
0.74
Spartak Pleven is 0.06 goals better than Ludogorets II in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
0.50
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.65
Litex
0.82
Levski Krumovgrad
0.97
Yantra 2019
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
1.03
Ludogorets II
1.03
Dunav Ruse
1.12
Montana
1.15
Dobrudzha
1.18
Sportist Svoge
1.18
Belasitsa
1.21
Strumska Slava
1.29
Spartak Pleven
1.29
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.35
Vitosha Bistritsa
1.47
Botev Plovdiv II
1.53
Sozopol
1.53
Spartak Pleven is 0.26 goals worse than Ludogorets II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D11D00D00D21W00D00D01LH·BEL30/09A·FK 09/10H·CSK17/10A·STR22/10H·ETA28/10H·LIT04/11A·DUN14/11A·MAR11/02H·SOZ19/02A·YAN24/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.450.500.300.600.60
vs Stronger (8)0.500.750.330.670.600.80
vs Similar (12)0.580.250.570.140.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %55% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D10W01L10W10W02L00DH·DOB04/10A·LEV11/10H·BOT18/10A·MON24/10H·VIT31/10A·SPO05/11H·BEL11/11H·FK 12/02A·CSK20/02H·STR25/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.800.100.200.90
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.530.530.880.120.220.89
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %70% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartak Pleven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D03L11D10W10W03L01L00D00DH·BEL30/09A·FK 09/10H·CSK17/10A·STR22/10H·ETA28/10H·LIT04/11A·DUN14/11A·MAR11/02H·SOZ19/02A·YAN24/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.651.100.500.500.80
vs Stronger (8)0.751.001.331.330.400.80
vs Similar (12)0.830.421.000.140.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W02L00D02L20W00D00D11DH·DOB04/10A·LEV11/10H·BOT18/10A·MON24/10H·VIT31/10A·SPO05/11H·BEL11/11H·FK 12/02A·CSK20/02H·STR25/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.700.600.300.101.10
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.350.710.620.380.111.00
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.500.000.002.00
Clean sheet %45% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartak Pleven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
Y2 (18)
€3m
EVT (23)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Spartak Pleven and Ludogorets II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
Spartak Pleven and Ludogorets II have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Spartak Pleven and Ludogorets II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
EVT (8)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Spartak Pleven and Ludogorets II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SP wins
0
Draws
1
LI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II · H/A from SP
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/22ALudogorets II Vs SP1-0

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/23AYantra 2019 Vs SP1-0
19/02/23HSP Vs Sozopol0-0
11/02/23AMaritsa Plovdiv Vs SP1-0
14/11/22ADunav Ruse Vs SP4-2
04/11/22HSP Vs Litex1-0
28/10/22HSP Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-0
22/10/22AStrumska Slava Vs SP2-2
17/10/22HSP Vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II0-3
09/10/22AFK Minyor Pernik Vs SP0-0
30/09/22HSP Vs Belasitsa1-1

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/23HLI Vs Strumska Slava1-1
20/02/23ACSKA 1948 Sofia II Vs LI2-0
12/02/23HLI Vs FK Minyor Pernik1-0
11/11/22HLI Vs Belasitsa3-0
05/11/22ASportist Svoge Vs LI3-0
31/10/22HLI Vs Vitosha Bistritsa1-0
24/10/22AMontana Vs LI2-0
18/10/22HLI Vs Botev Plovdiv II1-0
11/10/22ALevski Krumovgrad Vs LI1-0
04/10/22HLI Vs Dobrudzha2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.45
HomeDLWWD2.10
AwayDDLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%60%20%
AVG goals2.452.402.50
Over 1.5 %65%70%60%
Over 2.5 %45%50%40%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.351.601.10
Conceded1.100.801.40
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet40%50%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.35
HomeWWWWD2.40
AwayWLLLL0.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%70%10%
AVG goals2.051.802.30
Over 1.5 %55%50%60%
Over 2.5 %30%30%30%
Over 3.5 %15%10%20%
Scored0.851.400.30
Conceded1.200.402.00
BTTS30%40%20%
Clean Sheet35%60%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3474
65%
2.2
6017+43
2.3
71%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.5
-
2Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3463
53%
1.9
4722+25
2.0
62%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.6
-
3Levski KrumovgradLevski Krumovgrad3460
50%
1.8
4333+10
2.2
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4Ludogorets IILudogorets II3457
50%
1.7
4235+7
2.3
62%
35%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.0
-
5Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3452
41%
1.5
4140+1
2.4
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
6Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
68%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.1
-
7Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv3447
41%
1.4
3646-10
2.4
68%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
8LitexLitex3444
32%
1.3
3228+4
1.8
50%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.90.8
-
9MontanaMontana3444
35%
1.3
3739-2
2.2
53%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.1
-
10Yantra 2019Yantra 20193444
32%
1.3
3134-3
1.9
50%
32%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.91.0
-
11Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3442
29%
1.2
4444+0
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
12BelasitsaBelasitsa3441
35%
1.2
3341-8
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
13DobrudzhaDobrudzha3439
29%
1.1
3840-2
2.3
74%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.2
-
14Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3439
26%
1.1
3544-9
2.3
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3438
26%
1.1
3335-2
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
16SozopolSozopol3438
26%
1.1
3252-20
2.5
76%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
17Vitosha BistritsaVitosha Bistritsa3436
26%
1.1
3450-16
2.5
71%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
18Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II3428
21%
0.8
2552-27
2.3
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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