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Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II Result & Analysis

Date: 31/03/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven
Vs
44%
33%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartak Pleven win✗ Miss
44.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W20W10W01L10W10W01L21W00DA·BEL03/11H·SPA12/11H·MAR25/11A·DUN02/12H·SEP10/12A·DOB17/02H·STR24/02A·MON02/03H·CHE09/03A·LIT15/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.031.140.710.621.31
vs Stronger (14)0.790.710.750.880.830.50
vs Similar (16)0.941.311.670.500.501.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D11D20W01L21W20W30W00DA·YAN17/11H·CHE23/11A·SEP04/12H·DOB11/12H·DUN15/12A·STR17/02H·MON24/02A·CHE04/03H·LIT09/03H·MAR15/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.931.530.800.931.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.160.961.580.670.771.23
vs Weaker (5)1.600.801.331.332.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.3%
Under 1.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.9%
Under 2.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.0%
Under 3.5
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.3%
No
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.1%
0-0
15.1%
1-1 ✓
14.3%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
Spartak Pleven goals ↓
Ludogorets II goals →
01234
015%9.6%4.3%1.1%0.2%
115%14%5.1%1.3%0.3%
29.8%7.7%3.1%0.8%0.2%
33.9%3.1%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.2%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartak Pleven goals (down), columns = Ludogorets II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartak Varna
2.12
Septemvri Sofia
1.91
Marek
1.79
Montana
1.68
Strumska Slava
1.50
Dobrudzha
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.47
Yantra 2019
1.38
Dunav Ruse
1.35
Spartak Pleven
1.32
Litex
1.32
Ludogorets II
1.29
Belasitsa
1.26
Sportist Svoge
1.18
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.12
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.88
Bdin
0.65
Spartak Pleven is 0.03 points better than Ludogorets II in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spartak Varna
1.76
Septemvri Sofia
1.35
Montana
1.35
Dobrudzha
1.26
Yantra 2019
1.15
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.15
Ludogorets II
1.15
Belasitsa
1.09
Marek
1.06
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Strumska Slava
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.97
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.91
Dunav Ruse
0.88
Litex
0.88
Spartak Pleven
0.85
Bdin
0.56
Spartak Pleven is 0.29 goals worse than Ludogorets II in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Marek
0.76
Septemvri Sofia
0.76
Spartak Varna
0.82
Strumska Slava
0.82
Montana
0.91
Spartak Pleven
0.94
Belasitsa
0.97
Dobrudzha
1.00
Dunav Ruse
1.06
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.06
Litex
1.06
Yantra 2019
1.09
Ludogorets II
1.15
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.21
Sportist Svoge
1.32
Chernomorets Balchik
1.44
Bdin
1.47
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.65
Spartak Pleven is 0.21 goals better than Ludogorets II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.94 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W20W00D00D00D00D01L11D00DA·BEL03/11H·SPA12/11H·MAR25/11A·DUN02/12H·SEP10/12A·DOB17/02H·STR24/02A·MON02/03H·CHE09/03A·LIT15/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.300.500.290.060.31
vs Stronger (14)0.210.360.380.380.000.33
vs Similar (16)0.310.250.670.170.100.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D11D10W00D10W10W10W00DA·YAN17/11H·CHE23/11A·SEP04/12H·DOB11/12H·DUN15/12A·STR17/02H·MON24/02A·CHE04/03H·LIT09/03H·MAR15/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.370.600.270.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.400.400.500.250.310.54
vs Weaker (5)0.800.201.000.330.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartak Pleven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D10W01L10W10W00D10W00DA·BEL03/11H·SPA12/11H·MAR25/11A·DUN02/12H·SEP10/12A·DOB17/02H·STR24/02A·MON02/03H·CHE09/03A·LIT15/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.640.430.561.00
vs Stronger (14)0.570.360.380.500.830.17
vs Similar (16)0.621.061.000.330.401.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D00D10W01L11D10W20W00DA·YAN17/11H·CHE23/11A·SEP04/12H·DOB11/12H·DUN15/12A·STR17/02H·MON24/02A·CHE04/03H·LIT09/03H·MAR15/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.570.930.530.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.760.561.080.420.460.69
vs Weaker (5)0.800.600.331.001.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartak Pleven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Pleven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (22)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
C1B (19)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Spartak Pleven and Ludogorets II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
Spartak Pleven and Ludogorets II have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
DOB (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Spartak Pleven and Ludogorets II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (11)
€3m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
MAR (9)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Spartak Pleven and Ludogorets II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
SP wins
0
Draws
2
LI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartak Pleven vs Ludogorets II · H/A from SP
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23ALudogorets II Vs SP0-2
06/03/23HSP Vs Ludogorets II1-3
06/08/22ALudogorets II Vs SP1-0

Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/24ALitex Vs SP0-0
09/03/24HSP Vs Chernomorets Balchik2-1
02/03/24AMontana Vs SP1-0
24/02/24HSP Vs Strumska Slava1-0
17/02/24ADobrudzha Vs SP0-1
10/12/23HSP Vs Septemvri Sofia0-1
02/12/23ADunav Ruse Vs SP0-1
25/11/23HSP Vs Maritsa Plovdiv2-0
12/11/23HSP Vs Spartak Varna2-1
03/11/23ABelasitsa Vs SP0-2

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/24HLI Vs Marek0-0
09/03/24HLI Vs Litex3-0
04/03/24AChernomorets Balchik Vs LI0-2
24/02/24HLI Vs Montana2-1
17/02/24AStrumska Slava Vs LI1-0
15/12/23HLI Vs Dunav Ruse2-0
11/12/23HLI Vs Dobrudzha1-1
04/12/23ASeptemvri Sofia Vs LI0-0
23/11/23HLI Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0-1
17/11/23AYantra 2019 Vs LI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.22
HomeWWLWW1.62
AwayWWWLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%19%
AVG goals2.241.922.54
Over 1.5 %60%58%62%
Over 2.5 %42%33%50%
Over 3.5 %20%8%31%
Scored1.021.120.92
Conceded1.220.791.62
BTTS34%29%38%
Clean Sheet38%46%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.70
HomeDWWWD2.19
AwayLDDLW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%65%33%
AVG goals2.182.272.08
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %36%38%33%
Over 3.5 %18%19%17%
Scored1.281.620.92
Conceded0.900.651.17
BTTS36%42%29%
Clean Sheet42%50%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna3472
68%
2.1
6028+32
2.6
79%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.80.8
-
2Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia3465
56%
1.9
4626+20
2.1
74%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.40.8
-
3MarekMarek3461
47%
1.8
3626+10
1.8
50%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.10.8
-
4MontanaMontana3457
47%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
68%
35%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
5Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3451
41%
1.5
3428+6
1.8
53%
21%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6DobrudzhaDobrudzha3450
41%
1.5
4334+9
2.3
68%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
7CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3450
38%
1.5
3936+3
2.2
65%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Yantra 2019Yantra 20193447
35%
1.4
3937+2
2.2
71%
47%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.11.1
-
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3446
35%
1.4
3036-6
1.9
71%
24%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
10Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3445
38%
1.3
2932-3
1.8
53%
26%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.90.9
-
11LitexLitex3445
35%
1.3
3036-6
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
12Ludogorets IILudogorets II3444
32%
1.3
3939+0
2.3
68%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.1
-
13BelasitsaBelasitsa3443
35%
1.3
3733+4
2.1
65%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
14Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3440
29%
1.2
3645-9
2.4
71%
35%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
15Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3438
26%
1.1
3341-8
2.2
68%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.2
-
16Chernomorets BalchikChernomorets Balchik3436
29%
1.1
3649-13
2.5
76%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
17Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv3430
26%
0.9
3156-25
2.6
65%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
18BdinBdin3422
15%
0.6
1950-31
2.0
47%
26%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.5
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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