Spartak Pleven vs Vihren Result & Analysis

The match between Spartak Pleven and Vihren is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are almost even: a 38% chance for Spartak Pleven, 27% for a draw and 35% for Vihren. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, with the most likely total being two goals, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8% chance. Spartak Pleven, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Vihren, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.4% probability. The suggested picks are: Over 1.5 - 79.4%. The probabilities for the match outcome are: Home win - 38%, Draw - 27%, Away win - 35%.

The upset came early as Spartak Pleven, the pre-match favourite with a 38% chance of victory, fell short, losing 2-3 to Vihren. The model’s call was wrong, and the final result was an away win. Spartak’s recent form - three straight defeats - did not help, while Vihren, unbeaten in their last five, capitalised on the opportunity. The model’s single other selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit its mark, with a 79.4% probability. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, but the match ended 2-3, proving the prediction model’s expectations were off on the outcome, though correct on the total-goals side.