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Spartakos Kitiou vs Anagennisi Deryneia Result & Analysis

Date: 26/04/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 3-4
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Vs
65%
21%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartakos Kitiou win✗ Miss
64.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia win✓ Hit
14.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D23L41W13L01L30W21W22D21W13LH·MEA08/02A·HAL15/02H·AYI22/02A·ANA01/03A·OTH08/03H·DOX14/03A·PEY29/03A·MEA02/04H·HAL05/04A·AYI12/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.611.572.001.211.211.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.501.281.671.111.331.44
vs Weaker (10)1.802.102.601.401.002.80
Clean sheet %21% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L31W24L31W00D10W31W30W00D21WA·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03H·AYI29/03H·PEY02/04A·OTH05/04H·DOX12/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.672.001.311.072.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.531.682.111.221.002.10
vs Weaker (11)1.641.641.861.431.252.00
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.3%
Under 2.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
Spartakos Kitiou goals ↓
Anagennisi Deryneia goals →
01234
05.1%3.1%1.9%0.6%0.1%
18.4%9.8%4.3%1.4%0.3%
210%9.9%4.7%1.5%0.4%
37.6%7.3%3.5%1.1%0.3%
44.2%4.0%1.9%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartakos Kitiou goals (down), columns = Anagennisi Deryneia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.07 points better than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.07 goals better than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.59).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.07 goals better than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D21W03L00D20W11D21W00D11DH·MEA08/02A·HAL15/02H·AYI22/02A·ANA01/03A·OTH08/03H·DOX14/03A·PEY29/03A·MEA02/04H·HAL05/04A·AYI12/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.680.920.420.380.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.500.710.140.330.78
vs Weaker (9)0.891.001.200.800.501.25
Clean sheet %48% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L30W00D00D10W10W00D00DA·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03H·AYI29/03H·PEY02/04A·OTH05/04H·DOX12/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.810.380.211.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.681.000.220.201.10
vs Weaker (11)0.450.730.570.570.251.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L20W10W01L10W10W01L21W02LH·MEA08/02A·HAL15/02H·AYI22/02A·ANA01/03A·OTH08/03H·DOX14/03A·PEY29/03A·MEA02/04H·HAL05/04A·AYI12/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.920.681.080.420.770.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.940.500.860.291.000.67
vs Weaker (9)0.891.001.400.600.251.50
Clean sheet %52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W21W01L00D10W21W20W00D21WA·PEY08/02H·OTH15/02A·DOX23/02H·SPA01/03H·MEA08/03A·HAL15/03H·AYI29/03H·PEY02/04A·OTH05/04H·DOX12/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.971.190.940.861.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.951.001.111.000.801.00
vs Weaker (11)1.180.911.290.861.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
SK wins
0
Draws
1
AD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartakos Kitiou vs Anagennisi Deryneia · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs SK3-1
08/01/25AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs SK1-3

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25AAyia Napa Vs SK3-1
05/04/25HSK Vs Halkanoras2-1
02/04/25AMEAP Nisou Vs SK2-2
29/03/25APeyia Vs SK1-2
14/03/25HSK Vs Doxa3-0
08/03/25AOthellos Vs SK1-0
01/03/25AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs SK3-1
22/02/25HSK Vs Ayia Napa4-1
15/02/25AHalkanoras Vs SK3-2
08/02/25HSK Vs MEAP Nisou1-1

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HAD Vs Doxa2-1
05/04/25AOthellos Vs AD0-0
02/04/25HAD Vs Peyia3-0
29/03/25HAD Vs Ayia Napa3-1
15/03/25AHalkanoras Vs AD0-1
08/03/25HAD Vs MEAP Nisou0-0
01/03/25HAD Vs Spartakos Kitiou3-1
23/02/25ADoxa Vs AD4-2
15/02/25HAD Vs Othellos3-1
08/02/25APeyia Vs AD1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.36
HomeWDWWW2.00
AwayLLWDL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%64%21%
AVG goals3.183.213.14
Over 1.5 %71%71%71%
Over 2.5 %64%57%71%
Over 3.5 %43%29%57%
Scored1.612.001.21
Conceded1.571.211.93
BTTS54%50%57%
Clean Sheet21%36%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.18
HomeWDWWW1.62
AwayLLLWD0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals3.122.883.38
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %44%35%54%
Scored1.381.621.12
Conceded1.741.272.25
BTTS58%65%50%
Clean Sheet20%27%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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