Spartakos Kitiou are favoured to win, with a 44% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of an Anagennisi Deryneia victory. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.9% probability. Spartakos, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded, while Anagennisi, on the road, average 1.27 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. The match-day narrative begins with Spartakos coming off a win and Anagennisi on a two-game winning streak, the latter having edged Spartakos 4-3 last time. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 5.5 (93.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.5%), Home +2 handicap (87.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.0%) and Under 4.5 (84.6%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Spartakos Kitiou win
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia win
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Spartakos Kitiou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.40
1.47
1.60
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.75
1.25
1.62
1.31
1.91
1.18
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.67
0.00
2.50
0.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anagennisi Deryneia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.73
2.00
1.33
1.27
2.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.65
1.75
2.11
1.22
1.27
2.18
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
1.70
1.83
1.50
1.25
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.1%
Under 3.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
Spartakos Kitiou goals ↓
Anagennisi Deryneia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.3%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.3%
13%
7.3%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.2%
5.7%
2.4%
0.7%
3
3.9%
4.8%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.5%
1.9%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartakos Kitiou goals (down), columns = Anagennisi Deryneia goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.03 points worse than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.09 goals better than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.11 goals better than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartakos Kitiou or Draw
71.0%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
29%
covers Spartakos Kitiou + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou or Anagennisi Deryneia
72.8%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
29%
covers Spartakos Kitiou + Anagennisi Deryneia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Anagennisi Deryneia
56.2%
Avg Implied -
44%
27%
29%
covers Draw + Anagennisi Deryneia
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5
Over
79.2%
Under
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5
Over
46.5%
Under
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5
Over
20.9%
Under
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 3.5
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
Under
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Spartakos Kitiou, so a minus line means Spartakos Kitiou give that many goals of a start and Anagennisi Deryneia receive them. At -1, Spartakos Kitiou must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartakos Kitiou win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou -2
9.2%
Draw -2
13.6%
Anagennisi Deryneia +2
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou -1
22.8%
Draw -1
21.0%
Anagennisi Deryneia +1
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou +1
71.0%
Draw +1
16.4%
Anagennisi Deryneia -1
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou +2
87.3%
Draw +2
8.5%
Anagennisi Deryneia -2
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartakos Kitiou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.54
0.77
0.69
1.18
0.36
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anagennisi Deryneia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.87
0.40
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.70
1.00
0.22
0.27
1.09
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartakos Kitiou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.73
0.87
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.71
0.85
0.62
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
1.50
0.00
2.50
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Anagennisi Deryneia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.00
1.13
0.93
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.05
1.11
1.00
1.00
1.09
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.90
1.17
0.83
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →