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Spartakos Kitiou vs Ayia Napa Result & Analysis

Date: 22/02/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 4-1
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Vs
51%
26%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartakos Kitiou win✓ Hit
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W01L31W24L10W04L30W11D23LH·ASI07/12A·PEY13/12H·KRA21/12A·ANA08/01H·DOX11/01H·OTH18/01A·DOX26/01H·PEY01/02H·MEA08/02A·HAL15/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.601.731.361.221.89
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.571.141.671.111.401.20
vs Weaker (6)1.332.672.002.501.002.75
Clean sheet %25% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L03L02L11D31W21W10W12L11DH·HAL07/12A·DIG14/12H·MEA21/12A·AE 08/01H·ASI11/01A·HAL18/01A·PEY24/01H·ANA01/02A·OTH08/02H·DOX15/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.800.711.860.941.75
vs Stronger (26)0.691.960.582.000.791.93
vs Similar (4)1.750.751.501.002.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
Spartakos Kitiou goals ↓
Ayia Napa goals →
01234
07.1%5.4%3.6%1.3%0.4%
19.2%12%6.2%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.7%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.1%5.6%3.0%1.1%0.3%
42.2%2.4%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartakos Kitiou goals (down), columns = Ayia Napa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.14
Olympiakos
1.97
Akritas
1.86
AE Zakakiou
1.72
Digenis Morphou
1.69
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Doxa
1.38
Spartakos Kitiou
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.31
Halkanoras
1.28
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.24
PAEEK
1.21
Othellos
1.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.00
Peyia
0.86
Spartakos Kitiou and Ayia Napa are level in average points per game (both 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Digenis Morphou
1.76
Halkanoras
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Akritas
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.59
Olympiakos
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.59
Doxa
1.55
AE Zakakiou
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.24
PAEEK
1.24
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Othellos
1.14
Ayia Napa
0.97
Peyia
0.72
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.69 goals better than Ayia Napa in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Krasava Ypsonas
0.59
Olympiakos
0.66
Akritas
1.00
AE Zakakiou
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.21
Doxa
1.31
ASIL Lysi
1.34
PAEEK
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.41
Othellos
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.66
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.72
Halkanoras
1.76
Peyia
2.07
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.07
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.24 goals worse than Ayia Napa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L12L00D02L20W00D11DH·ASI07/12A·PEY13/12H·KRA21/12A·ANA08/01H·DOX11/01H·OTH18/01A·DOX26/01H·PEY01/02H·MEA08/02A·HAL15/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.590.780.440.120.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.250.710.140.000.40
vs Weaker (5)0.601.401.001.500.331.33
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L02L11D10W10W00D00D00DH·HAL07/12A·DIG14/12H·MEA21/12A·AE 08/01H·ASI11/01A·HAL18/01A·PEY24/01H·ANA01/02A·OTH08/02H·DOX15/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.900.331.000.330.80
vs Stronger (26)0.311.000.381.080.230.92
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.000.501.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W00D30W12L10W02L10W11D12LH·ASI07/12A·PEY13/12H·KRA21/12A·ANA08/01H·DOX11/01H·OTH18/01A·DOX26/01H·PEY01/02H·MEA08/02A·HAL15/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.710.890.441.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.080.500.860.291.400.80
vs Weaker (5)0.601.201.001.000.331.33
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D02L00D00D21W11D10W12L11DH·HAL07/12A·DIG14/12H·MEA21/12A·AE 08/01H·ASI11/01A·HAL18/01A·PEY24/01H·ANA01/02A·OTH08/02H·DOX15/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.970.470.870.471.07
vs Stronger (26)0.351.040.310.920.381.15
vs Similar (4)1.250.501.500.501.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SK wins
0
Draws
1
AN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartakos Kitiou vs Ayia Napa · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24AAyia Napa Vs SK1-0

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25AHalkanoras Vs SK3-2
08/02/25HSK Vs MEAP Nisou1-1
01/02/25HSK Vs Peyia3-0
26/01/25ADoxa Vs SK4-0
18/01/25HSK Vs Othellos1-0
11/01/25HSK Vs Doxa2-4
08/01/25AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs SK1-3
21/12/24HSK Vs Krasava Ypsonas0-1
13/12/24APeyia Vs SK0-3
07/12/24HSK Vs ASIL Lysi1-0

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25HAN Vs Doxa1-1
08/02/25AOthellos Vs AN2-1
01/02/25HAN Vs Anagennisi Deryneia1-0
24/01/25APeyia Vs AN1-2
18/01/25AHalkanoras Vs AN1-3
11/01/25HAN Vs ASIL Lysi1-1
08/01/25AAE Zakakiou Vs AN2-0
21/12/24HAN Vs MEAP Nisou0-3
14/12/24ADigenis Morphou Vs AN2-1
07/12/24HAN Vs Halkanoras2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.25
HomeLLWWD1.73
AwayLWWLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%55%22%
AVG goals3.103.093.11
Over 1.5 %65%64%67%
Over 2.5 %55%45%67%
Over 3.5 %40%27%56%
Scored1.501.731.22
Conceded1.601.361.89
BTTS45%45%44%
Clean Sheet25%36%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.12
HomeWLDWD1.17
AwayLLWWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%29%31%
AVG goals2.642.882.42
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %20%29%12%
Scored1.041.170.92
Conceded1.601.711.50
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2962
66%
2.1
4617+29
2.2
59%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.60.6
-
2OlympiakosOlympiakos2957
59%
2.0
4619+27
2.2
72%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.60.7
-
3AkritasAkritas2954
59%
1.9
4829+19
2.7
69%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.0
-
4AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2950
52%
1.7
3831+7
2.4
72%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2949
52%
1.7
5145+6
3.3
83%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
6ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
45%
1.5
3639-3
2.6
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
7DoxaDoxa2940
41%
1.4
4538+7
2.9
72%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
8Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2938
41%
1.3
4848+0
3.3
72%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
9Ayia NapaAyia Napa2938
38%
1.3
2841-13
2.4
66%
48%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
10HalkanorasHalkanoras2937
38%
1.3
5051-1
3.5
86%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2936
34%
1.2
3535+0
2.4
72%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2936
34%
1.2
4650-4
3.3
76%
69%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
13PAEEKPAEEK2935
31%
1.2
3639-3
2.6
76%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
14OthellosOthellos2931
31%
1.1
3341-8
2.6
66%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2929
31%
1.0
3660-24
3.3
79%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
16PeyiaPeyia2925
24%
0.9
2160-39
2.8
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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