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Spartakos Kitiou vs Ayia Napa Prediction & Stats

Date: 31/10/2026
Time: 12:30
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Vs
62%
22%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Spartakos Kitiou are the clear favourites, with the model rating a home win at 67%. Their recent 2-0 victory over Ahironas / Onisilos shows they are coming off a win, while Ayia Napa, despite a 3-0 win against Doxa, have struggled away, conceding 1.62 goals on average to stronger opponents. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Spartakos Kitiou, with a 9.7% chance. Spartakos average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded at home against weaker sides, whereas Ayia Napa average 1.46 scored and 1.62 conceded away against stronger teams. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Under 7.5 (97.8%), Home +2 handicap (95.1%), Under 6.5 (94.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (91.9%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.5%), Under 5.5 (87.6%), and Home or Draw (86.3%). The probabilities for the match outcome are Home win 67%, Draw 20%, Away win 14%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartakos Kitiou win
62.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa win
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L22D12L02L42W30W04L01L20WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.331.401.471.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.751.251.621.311.911.18
vs Weaker (6)0.501.670.002.500.751.25
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L00D12L02L02L03L55D03L63W30WH·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02H·DOX28/02H·OMO06/03H·MEA14/03A·KAR18/03H·ASI21/03A·NEA04/04H·PAE19/04A·DOX25/04
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.471.211.501.561.44
vs Stronger (26)1.351.541.231.461.461.62
vs Similar (4)1.751.001.002.002.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.9%
Spartakos Kitiou goals ↓
Ayia Napa goals →
01234
04.9%3.3%2.2%0.8%0.2%
17.8%10%4.7%1.6%0.4%
29.5%9.9%5.1%1.8%0.5%
36.9%7.2%3.7%1.3%0.3%
43.7%3.9%2.0%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartakos Kitiou goals (down), columns = Ayia Napa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.07 points worse than Ayia Napa in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Spartakos Kitiou and Ayia Napa are level in goals scored per game (both 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.24 goals better than Ayia Napa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartakos Kitiou or Draw
83.8%
Avg Implied -
62%
22%
16%
covers Spartakos Kitiou + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou or Ayia Napa
78.4%
Avg Implied -
62%
22%
16%
covers Spartakos Kitiou + Ayia Napa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ayia Napa
37.8%
Avg Implied -
62%
22%
16%
covers Draw + Ayia Napa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5
Over
88.6%
Under
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5
Over
63.8%
Under
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5
Over
36.9%
Under
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 3.5
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5
Over
64.7%
Under
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Spartakos Kitiou, so a minus line means Spartakos Kitiou give that many goals of a start and Ayia Napa receive them. At -1, Spartakos Kitiou must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartakos Kitiou win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou -2
21.0%
Draw -2
19.0%
Ayia Napa +2
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou -1
40.0%
Draw -1
22.2%
Ayia Napa +1
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou +1
83.8%
Draw +1
10.2%
Ayia Napa -1
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou +2
94.0%
Draw +2
4.4%
Ayia Napa -2
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D22D10W01L21W20W01L00D10WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.470.670.601.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.960.540.770.691.180.36
vs Weaker (6)0.330.170.000.000.500.25
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D02L02L02L23L02L33D00DH·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02H·DOX28/02H·OMO06/03H·MEA14/03A·KAR18/03H·ASI21/03A·NEA04/04H·PAE19/04A·DOX25/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.430.930.621.06
vs Stronger (26)0.541.080.461.000.621.15
vs Similar (4)0.500.500.000.000.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D02L01L21W10W03L01L10WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.730.870.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.790.710.850.620.730.82
vs Weaker (6)0.171.500.002.500.251.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L00D00D01L32W01L30W30WH·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02H·DOX28/02H·OMO06/03H·MEA14/03A·KAR18/03H·ASI21/03A·NEA04/04H·PAE19/04A·DOX25/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.470.790.570.940.38
vs Stronger (26)0.810.460.770.460.850.46
vs Similar (4)1.250.501.002.001.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.8%-------
Under 6.595.5%-------
Home +2 handicap94.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals91.2%-------
Under 5.589.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals88.6%-------
Over 1.583.9%-------
Home or Draw83.8%-------
Home +1 handicap83.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals82.5%-------
Home or Away78.4%-------
Under 4.577.9%-------
Away under 1.5 goals72.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
SK wins
0
Draws
3
AN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartakos Kitiou vs Ayia Napa · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AAyia Napa Vs SK2-0
12/04/25AAyia Napa Vs SK3-1
22/02/25HSK Vs Ayia Napa4-1
05/10/24AAyia Napa Vs SK1-0

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs SK0-2
21/04/26HSK Vs Halkanoras0-1
04/04/26AAPEA Vs SK4-0
21/03/26HSK Vs Digenis Morphou3-0
18/03/26AAE Zakakiou Vs SK2-4
14/03/26HSK Vs Ethnikos Latsion0-2
07/03/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs SK2-1
28/02/26HSK Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-2
21/02/26AHalkanoras Vs SK1-0
14/02/26HSK Vs APEA2-0

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26ADoxa Vs AN0-3
19/04/26HAN Vs PAEEK6-3
04/04/26ANea Salamis Vs AN3-0
21/03/26HAN Vs ASIL Lysi5-5
18/03/26AKarmiotissa Vs AN3-0
14/03/26HAN Vs MEAP Nisou0-2
06/03/26HAN Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-2
28/02/26HAN Vs Doxa1-2
21/02/26APAEEK Vs AN0-0
14/02/26HAN Vs Nea Salamis0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.42
HomeWDLWL1.52
AwayLLWLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.882.763.00
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.541.561.52
Conceded1.341.201.48
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.36
HomeLLLDW1.32
AwayWDLLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals2.822.603.04
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %22%16%28%
Scored1.321.241.40
Conceded1.501.361.64
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DoxaDoxa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
2EnosisEnosis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
3Ayia NapaAyia Napa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
4Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
5Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
7Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
9HalkanorasHalkanoras00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
10PolemidionPolemidion00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
11APEAAPEA00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
13AkritasAkritas00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
14ErmisErmis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15PAEEKPAEEK00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
16MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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