Spartakos Kitiou are tipped to win, with a 42 % chance of triumph, 29 % for a draw and 29 % for a MEAP Nisou victory. The match is expected to see 2.5 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals at 27 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.9 % probability. Spartakos, playing at home against a similar-strength side, average 1.58 goals scored and 1.25 conceded, while MEAP Nisou, on the road, average 0.91 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3 %), Under 5.5 (95.8 %), Home under 3.5 goals (94.7 %), Away under 2.5 goals (89.7 %), Under 4.5 (89.0 %) and Home +2 handicap (88.1 %). Spartakos have just come off a win, while MEAP Nisou are off a draw. The model’s selection points to a modestly high likelihood of a 1-1 draw, yet the overall shape favours a Spartakos win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Spartakos Kitiou win
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou win
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Spartakos Kitiou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.40
1.47
1.60
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.75
1.25
1.62
1.31
1.91
1.18
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.67
0.00
2.50
0.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MEAP Nisou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.67
1.06
2.00
1.07
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.00
1.89
1.12
2.50
0.91
1.45
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
1.27
1.00
1.50
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
Spartakos Kitiou goals ↓
MEAP Nisou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
7.8%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
7.1%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.9%
8.8%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.7%
4.1%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartakos Kitiou goals (down), columns = MEAP Nisou goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
Digenis Morphou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.34 points better than MEAP Nisou in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.38 goals better than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.48 goals better than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartakos Kitiou or Draw
71.1%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
29%
covers Spartakos Kitiou + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou or MEAP Nisou
70.8%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
29%
covers Spartakos Kitiou + MEAP Nisou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or MEAP Nisou
58.1%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
29%
covers Draw + MEAP Nisou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5
Over
75.1%
Under
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5
Over
40.5%
Under
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5
Over
67.2%
Under
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Spartakos Kitiou, so a minus line means Spartakos Kitiou give that many goals of a start and MEAP Nisou receive them. At -1, Spartakos Kitiou must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartakos Kitiou win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou -2
7.6%
Draw -2
12.8%
MEAP Nisou +2
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou -1
20.4%
Draw -1
21.5%
MEAP Nisou +1
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou +1
71.1%
Draw +1
17.0%
MEAP Nisou -1
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou +2
88.1%
Draw +2
8.3%
MEAP Nisou -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Spartakos Kitiou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.54
0.77
0.69
1.18
0.36
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MEAP Nisou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.62
0.81
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.42
1.16
0.38
1.25
0.45
1.09
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.36
0.88
0.38
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Spartakos Kitiou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.73
0.87
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.71
0.85
0.62
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
1.50
0.00
2.50
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MEAP Nisou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.44
1.19
0.36
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.74
0.75
1.25
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (11)
0.09
0.91
0.12
1.12
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →