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Spartakos Kitiou vs MEAP Nisou Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 16:00
Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Vs
42%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Spartakos Kitiou are tipped to win, with a 42 % chance of triumph, 29 % for a draw and 29 % for a MEAP Nisou victory. The match is expected to see 2.5 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals at 27 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.9 % probability. Spartakos, playing at home against a similar-strength side, average 1.58 goals scored and 1.25 conceded, while MEAP Nisou, on the road, average 0.91 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3 %), Under 5.5 (95.8 %), Home under 3.5 goals (94.7 %), Away under 2.5 goals (89.7 %), Under 4.5 (89.0 %) and Home +2 handicap (88.1 %). Spartakos have just come off a win, while MEAP Nisou are off a draw. The model’s selection points to a modestly high likelihood of a 1-1 draw, yet the overall shape favours a Spartakos win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spartakos Kitiou win
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou win
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L22D12L02L42W30W04L01L20WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.331.401.471.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.751.251.621.311.911.18
vs Weaker (6)0.501.670.002.500.751.25
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D01L24L20W12L01L02L12L33DA·DOX14/02H·ASI21/02A·OMO28/02H·NEA07/03A·AYI14/03H·PAE18/03A·KAR21/03H·DOX04/04A·ASI17/04H·OMO24/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.671.062.001.071.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.001.891.122.500.911.45
vs Weaker (11)1.181.271.001.501.670.67
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
Spartakos Kitiou goals ↓
MEAP Nisou goals →
01234
09.4%7.8%5.1%1.9%0.5%
110%14%7.1%2.6%0.7%
27.9%8.8%4.9%1.8%0.5%
33.7%4.1%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Spartakos Kitiou goals (down), columns = MEAP Nisou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
Digenis Morphou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.34 points better than MEAP Nisou in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.38 goals better than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Spartakos Kitiou is 0.48 goals better than MEAP Nisou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Spartakos Kitiou or Draw
71.1%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
29%
covers Spartakos Kitiou + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou or MEAP Nisou
70.8%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
29%
covers Spartakos Kitiou + MEAP Nisou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or MEAP Nisou
58.1%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
29%
covers Draw + MEAP Nisou
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5
Over
75.1%
Under
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5
Over
40.5%
Under
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5
Over
67.2%
Under
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Spartakos Kitiou, so a minus line means Spartakos Kitiou give that many goals of a start and MEAP Nisou receive them. At -1, Spartakos Kitiou must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Spartakos Kitiou win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou -2
7.6%
Draw -2
12.8%
MEAP Nisou +2
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou -1
20.4%
Draw -1
21.5%
MEAP Nisou +1
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou +1
71.1%
Draw +1
17.0%
MEAP Nisou -1
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Spartakos Kitiou)
Spartakos Kitiou +2
88.1%
Draw +2
8.3%
MEAP Nisou -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D22D10W01L21W20W01L00D10WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.470.670.601.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.960.540.770.691.180.36
vs Weaker (6)0.330.170.000.000.500.25
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L01L20W11D01L01L11D11DA·DOX14/02H·ASI21/02A·OMO28/02H·NEA07/03A·AYI14/03H·PAE18/03A·KAR21/03H·DOX04/04A·ASI17/04H·OMO24/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.620.810.710.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.421.160.381.250.451.09
vs Weaker (11)1.090.360.880.381.670.33
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D02L01L21W10W03L01L10WH·APE14/02A·HAL21/02H·AHI28/02A·IRA07/03H·ETH14/03A·AE 18/03H·DIG21/03A·APE04/04H·HAL21/04A·AHI25/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.870.730.870.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.790.710.850.620.730.82
vs Weaker (6)0.171.500.002.500.251.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (MEAP Nisou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D23L00D01L00D01L01L22DA·DOX14/02H·ASI21/02A·OMO28/02H·NEA07/03A·AYI14/03H·PAE18/03A·KAR21/03H·DOX04/04A·ASI17/04H·OMO24/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.441.190.360.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.740.751.250.450.36
vs Weaker (11)0.090.910.121.120.000.33
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MEAP Nisou over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.3%-------
Under 5.595.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.7%-------
Under 4.589.0%-------
Home +2 handicap88.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals83.6%-------
Away +2 handicap79.6%-------
Under 3.575.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.1%-------
Over 1.572.7%-------
Home or Draw71.1%-------
Home +1 handicap71.1%-------
Home or Away70.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
SK wins
3
Draws
0
MN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Spartakos Kitiou vs MEAP Nisou · H/A from SK
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HSK Vs MEAP Nisou1-1
02/04/25AMEAP Nisou Vs SK2-2
08/02/25HSK Vs MEAP Nisou1-1
23/11/24HSK Vs MEAP Nisou1-0

Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AAhironas / Onisilos Vs SK0-2
21/04/26HSK Vs Halkanoras0-1
04/04/26AAPEA Vs SK4-0
21/03/26HSK Vs Digenis Morphou3-0
18/03/26AAE Zakakiou Vs SK2-4
14/03/26HSK Vs Ethnikos Latsion0-2
07/03/26AIraklis Yerolakkou Vs SK2-1
28/02/26HSK Vs Ahironas / Onisilos2-2
21/02/26AHalkanoras Vs SK1-0
14/02/26HSK Vs APEA2-0

MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/26HMN Vs Omonia 29is Maiou3-3
17/04/26AASIL Lysi Vs MN2-1
04/04/26HMN Vs Doxa0-2
21/03/26AKarmiotissa Vs MN1-0
18/03/26HMN Vs PAEEK1-2
14/03/26AAyia Napa Vs MN0-2
07/03/26HMN Vs Nea Salamis2-4
28/02/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs MN1-0
21/02/26HMN Vs ASIL Lysi0-0
14/02/26ADoxa Vs MN0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Spartakos Kitiou
Spartakos Kitiou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.42
HomeWDLWL1.52
AwayLLWLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.882.763.00
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.541.561.52
Conceded1.341.201.48
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---
MEAP Nisou
MEAP Nisou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.18
HomeDLLLD1.16
AwayWLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.482.762.20
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %42%48%36%
Over 3.5 %20%32%8%
Scored1.121.201.04
Conceded1.361.561.16
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
2Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
3DoxaDoxa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
4Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
5EnosisEnosis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
6Ayia NapaAyia Napa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
7HalkanorasHalkanoras00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8PolemidionPolemidion00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
9APEAAPEA00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
10ASIL LysiASIL Lysi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
11AkritasAkritas00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.00.0
-
12ErmisErmis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
13Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
14Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15PAEEKPAEEK00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
16MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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